Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Aug 23, 2025

FINAL+11BOS

BOS

71-59

121

NYY

69-60

Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York

45,512 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

47.4%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
49.5%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
47.3%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
48.2%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.90 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

94% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 109 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
7.8± 2.6high
Gerrit ColeNYY
6.2± 2.7low
Payton TolleBOS
6.0± 2.4medium

Hits

Ceddanne RafaelaBOS
1.4± 0.8high
Luis Garcia Jr.NYY
1.2± 1.0high
Caleb DurbinBOS
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Ceddanne RafaelaBOS
2.7± 2.5high
Luis Garcia Jr.NYY
2.5± 2.8high
Wilyer AbreuBOS
2.0± 2.7high

RBIs

Ceddanne RafaelaBOS
1.1± 1.3high
Luis Garcia Jr.NYY
0.8± 0.9high
Andruw MonasterioBOS
0.6± 0.9high

Earned runs

Will WarrenNYY
2.5± 2.3high
Payton TolleBOS
2.3± 2.2medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.3± 1.9low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BOS

league avg

NYY

.717

OPS

.720

.722

.317

OBP

◀

.318

.309

4.36

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.57

3.52

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.34

1.23

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.19

8.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

BOS wins

BOS 12 · NYY 1 (by 11)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked BOS +0pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BOS	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	7	12
NYY	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnthonyLF	.284	4	2	2	1	0	1	2
A. Bregman3B	.305	4	0	0	1	0	1	0
J. DuranLF	.259	4	1	1	1	0	1	1
T. StorySS	.261	5	2	3	3	1	0	0
N. LoweDH	.357	4	1	2	1	0	1	1
M. YoshidaDH	.234	4	0	1	0	0	1	0
C. RafaelaCF	.249	5	2	2	1	0	0	0
D. Hamilton3B	.193	5	2	3	0	0	0	2
C. NarvaezC	.249	4	2	3	2	1	0	1
J. GarciaRF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		39	12	17	10	2	5	7

Player

.284

.305

.259

.261

.357

.234

.249

.193

.249

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. CrochetSP	7.0	5	1	1	1	11	103
G. WeissertRP	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	13
J. WilsonRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4
J. HicksRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	12
Team	9.0	7	1	1	2	13	132

Player

G. CrochetSP

7.0

103

G. WeissertRP

0.2

J. WilsonRP

0.1

J. HicksRP

1.0

Team

9.0

132

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. Goldschmidt1B	.281	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. JudgeRF	.326	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
C. BellingerLF	.272	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
G. StantonDH	.299	4	1	1	1	1	0	3
A. Rosario3B	.545	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
T. GrishamCF	.243	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. VolpeSS	.208	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CaballeroSS	.320	2	0	0	0	0	2	1
A. WellsC	.209	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. Rice1B	.242	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.236	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	1	7	1	1	2	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. WarrenSP	4.0	7	5	5	3	3	69
T. HillRP	1.2	2	0	0	0	2	23
P. BlackburnRP	3.1	8	7	7	2	2	71
Team	9.0	17	12	12	5	7	163

Team

BOS

NYY

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs BOS.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs BOS.

3 sub-models, blended.