HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 4
-2.9pppeak
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+5.3pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
TEX 0@HOU 3
+40.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA9:05 - 4th
SEA 59@ATL 70
+8.0ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 4
-2.9pppeak
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+5.3pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBEnd 3
TEX 0@HOU 3
+40.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA9:05 - 4th
SEA 59@ATL 70
+8.0ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
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Texas Rangers
TEX#6 · American League

Texas Rangers

55-54 (50.5%) · L2 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#20 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .478 · exp 52.2-56.8 vs act 55-54 · n=109 · luck +2.8W · thru 2026-07-31 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-26 → 2026-07-30 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 2 vs SEA, 4-6, 2026-07-26. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 vs SEA, 7-3, 2026-07-27. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 3 at TB, 4-1, 2026-07-28. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at TB, 0-3, 2026-07-29. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at TB, 2-3, 2026-07-30. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Josh Jung92 G.802
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran101 G.769
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo104 G.761
  4. 4Jake Burger105 G.720

Home runs

  1. 1Jake Burger105 G19
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran101 G12
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo104 G10
  4. 4Josh Jung92 G9

RBI

  1. 1Jake Burger105 G66
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran101 G57
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo104 G39
  4. 4Josh Jung92 G35

Batting average

  1. 1Josh Jung92 G.294
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran101 G.268
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo104 G.266
  4. 4Jake Burger105 G.235

Stolen bases

  1. 1Ezequiel Duran101 G8
  2. 2Brandon Nimmo104 G5
  3. 3Jake Burger105 G2
  4. 4Josh Jung92 G1

ERA

  1. 1Jacob deGrom110.3 IP3.67
  2. 2Nathan Eovaldi125.0 IP4.18
  3. 3MacKenzie Gore122.7 IP4.77

WHIP

  1. 1Jacob deGrom110.3 IP1.07
  2. 2Nathan Eovaldi125.0 IP1.19
  3. 3MacKenzie Gore122.7 IP1.26

Strikeouts

  1. 1MacKenzie Gore122.7 IP136
  2. 2Jacob deGrom110.3 IP132
  3. 3Nathan Eovaldi125.0 IP132

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.246vs .244League avg

OBP

.319vs .318League avg

SLG

.403vs .401League avg

OPS

.722vs .720League avg

HR

125

R / G

4.1

K / G

8.4

Pitching

ERA

4.26vs 4.18Slight gap

FIP (approx)

4.10vs 4.19Slight edge

WHIP

1.26vs 1.30Slight edge

K / 9

8.6vs 8.5Slight edge

BB / 9

2.9vs 3.4Above avg

BAA

.245

HR / 9

1.3

GP

110

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.83 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.50PEAK1st2nd · 0.67 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.002nd3rd · 0.58 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.083rd4th · 0.67 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.424th5th · 0.67 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.085th6th · 0.58 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.336th7th · 0.33 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.337th8th · 0.25 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.088th9th · 0.08 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.589thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

4.7 avg / 4.1 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.63

Blowout wins (4+)

6

Shutout games

2

Form last 30

17-13

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.6 runs

2356AVG 4.601324344353667891011RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-06-24 → 2026-07-30

Record

17-13

Win pct

56.7%

Avg margin

-0.3

Longest W

6

Longest L

2

Upset wins

4

Favorite losses

7

2026-06-24 · @ MIA · L 2-4 · model gave 38%MIA2026-06-25 · @ TOR · W 6-5 · model gave 63%TOR2026-06-26 · @ TOR · W 5-4 · model gave 63%TOR2026-06-27 · @ TOR · W 7-4 · model gave 64%TOR2026-06-28 · @ TOR · W 3-2 · model gave 63%TOR2026-06-29 · @ CLE · W 6-3 · model gave 43%CLE2026-06-30 · @ CLE · W 4-2 · model gave 43%CLE2026-07-01 · @ CLE · L 4-9 · model gave 40%CLE2026-07-02 · vs DET · W 10-4 · model gave 64%DET2026-07-04 · vs DET · L 0-3 · model gave 64%DET2026-07-05 · vs DET · L 3-6 · model gave 62%DET2026-07-07 · vs LAA · W 8-3 · model gave 69%LAA2026-07-08 · vs LAA · L 1-13 · model gave 67%LAA2026-07-09 · vs LAA · W 7-6 · model gave 68%LAA2026-07-10 · vs HOU · W 7-3 · model gave 52%HOU2026-07-11 · vs HOU · L 3-9 · model gave 52%HOU2026-07-12 · vs HOU · W 6-5 · model gave 52%HOU2026-07-17 · @ ATL · L 1-15 · model gave 43%ATL2026-07-18 · @ ATL · W 7-6 · model gave 45%ATL2026-07-19 · @ ATL · L 5-8 · model gave 44%ATL2026-07-20 · vs CHW · L 3-10 · model gave 51%CHW2026-07-21 · vs CHW · W 10-0 · model gave 52%CHW2026-07-22 · vs CHW · L 2-4 · model gave 53%CHW2026-07-24 · vs SEA · W 5-4 · model gave 58%SEA2026-07-25 · vs SEA · W 7-1 · model gave 59%SEA2026-07-26 · vs SEA · L 4-6 · model gave 58%SEA2026-07-27 · vs SEA · W 7-3 · model gave 58%SEA2026-07-28 · @ TB · W 4-1 · model gave 36%TB2026-07-29 · @ TB · L 0-3 · model gave 36%TB2026-07-30 · @ TB · L 2-3 · model gave 36%TB

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

162 games · 2025-08-01 → 2026-07-30

Peak 1546 · Now 1513 · Trough 1461

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 11

    Recalled RHP Luis Curvelo from Round Rock (PCL). Placed LHP Jalen Beeks on the 15-day IL retroactive to June 10.

  2. Jun 9

    Optioned RHP Luis Curvelo to Round Rock (PCL). Sent 2B Josh Smith on a rehab assignment to Round Rock. Reinstated RHP Cole Winn from the 15-day IL.

  3. Jun 7

    Released LF Sam Haggerty.

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Alejandro Osuna

A. Osuna

LF · #19

Austin Wynns

A. Wynns

C · #38

Ben Peoples

B. Peoples

RP · #70

Brandon Nimmo

B. Nimmo

RF · #24

Cal Quantrill

C. Quantrill

RP · #44

Cam Cauley

C. Cauley

CF · #27

Chase Silseth

C. Silseth

RP · #63

Cole Winn

C. Winn

RP · #60

Corey Seager

C. Seager

SS · #5

Elias Diaz

E. Diaz

C · #35

Evan Carter

E. Carter

CF · #32

Ezequiel Duran

E. Duran

SS · #20

Jacob deGrom

J. deGrom

SP · #48

Jacob Latz

J. Latz

RP · #67

Jake Burger

J. Burger

1B · #21

Joc Pederson

J. Pederson

DH · #3

Justin Foscue

J. Foscue

2B · #14

Kumar Rocker

K. Rocker

SP · #80

Luis Curvelo

L. Curvelo

RP · #57

MacKenzie Gore

M. Gore

SP · #1

Nathan Eovaldi

N. Eovaldi

SP · #17

Nicky Lopez

N. Lopez

2B · #33

Peyton Gray

P. Gray

RP · #75

Robby Ahlstrom

R. Ahlstrom

RP · #54

Tyler Alexander

T. Alexander

RP · #13

Wyatt Langford

W. Langford

LF · #36

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 56-38
60%Last 30 · 246-166
Receipts →

Model picks on TEX

21-20 graded · 51.2% (95% CI 36.5-65.7) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-31

All MLB · 698-590 graded

Tonight's graded board →