HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBEnd 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBEnd 2
CHW 1@NYY 1
-1.2pphigh
MLBBot 1
SF 1@ATL 1
-2.9ppmedium
MLBMid 3
TOR 1@BOS 0
-30.0ppmedium
MLBBot 4
KC 0@WSH 2
+36.3pplow
MLBMid 2
NYM 0@CIN 4
+45.0pplow
MLBEnd 3
MIA 0@PHI 7
+43.3pplow
WNBA7:27 - 2nd
TOR 30@IND 34
+1.7ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Texas Rangers
TEX#7 · American League

Texas Rangers

35-37 (48.6%) · L1 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#11 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .506 · exp 36.5-35.5 vs act 35-37 · n=72 · luck -1.5W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 2 at KC, 4-2, 2026-06-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 9 at BOS, 1-10, 2026-06-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at BOS, 3-6, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 at BOS, 6-4, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 2 vs MIN, 2-4, 2026-06-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Josh Jung67 G.818
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran63 G.761
  3. 3Jake Burger70 G.740
  4. 4Brandon Nimmo70 G.727
  5. 5Evan Carter66 G.613

Home runs

  1. 1Jake Burger70 G12
  2. 2Josh Jung67 G8
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo70 G7
  4. 4Evan Carter66 G6
  5. 5Ezequiel Duran63 G4

RBI

  1. 1Jake Burger70 G42
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran63 G35
  3. 3Josh Jung67 G30
  4. 4Brandon Nimmo70 G25
  5. 5Evan Carter66 G21

Batting average

  1. 1Josh Jung67 G.302
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran63 G.281
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo70 G.253
  4. 4Jake Burger70 G.247
  5. 5Evan Carter66 G.176

Stolen bases

  1. 1Evan Carter66 G10
  2. 2Ezequiel Duran63 G5
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo70 G2
  4. 4Josh Jung67 G1
  5. 5Jake Burger70 G1

ERA

  1. 1Jacob deGrom76.7 IP3.17
  2. 2Nathan Eovaldi87.3 IP4.23
  3. 3MacKenzie Gore78.0 IP4.27
  4. 4Jack Leiter76.0 IP4.97

WHIP

  1. 1Jacob deGrom76.7 IP0.99
  2. 2Nathan Eovaldi87.3 IP1.17
  3. 3MacKenzie Gore78.0 IP1.31
  4. 4Jack Leiter76.0 IP1.41

Strikeouts

  1. 1Jacob deGrom76.7 IP89
  2. 2MacKenzie Gore78.0 IP86
  3. 3Nathan Eovaldi87.3 IP83
  4. 4Jack Leiter76.0 IP79

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.238vs .243Slight gap

OBP

.316vs .319League avg

SLG

.383vs .398Slight gap

OPS

.699vs .717Slight gap

HR

72

R / G

4.0

K / G

8.4

Pitching

ERA

3.79vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

4.09vs 4.19Slight edge

WHIP

1.22vs 1.31Above avg

K / 9

8.5vs 8.5League avg

BB / 9

3.1vs 3.5Above avg

BAA

.232

HR / 9

1.2

GP

72

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.42 for / 0.58 against · margin -0.171st2nd · 0.42 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.082nd3rd · 0.75 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.42PEAK3rd4th · 0.58 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.174th5th · 0.17 for / 0.92 against · margin -0.755th6th · 0.50 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.176th7th · 0.42 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.087th8th · 0.33 for / 0.58 against · margin -0.258th9th · 0.25 for / 0.00 against · margin +0.259thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.8 avg / 4.3 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.37

Blowout wins (4+)

4

Shutout games

3

Form last 30

15-15

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.4 runs

2356AVG 4.430413253456678931011RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-13 → 2026-06-15

Record

15-15

Win pct

50.0%

Avg margin

+0.2

Longest W

5

Longest L

4

Upset wins

2

Favorite losses

14

2026-05-13 · vs ARI · W 6-5 · model gave 56%ARI2026-05-15 · @ HOU · L 0-2 · model gave 55%HOU2026-05-16 · @ HOU · L 1-4 · model gave 56%HOU2026-05-17 · @ HOU · W 8-0 · model gave 58%HOU2026-05-18 · @ COL · L 6-7 · model gave 65%COL2026-05-19 · @ COL · W 10-0 · model gave 65%COL2026-05-20 · @ COL · W 5-4 · model gave 64%COL2026-05-22 · @ LAA · L 6-9 · model gave 56%LAA2026-05-23 · @ LAA · L 2-5 · model gave 56%LAA2026-05-24 · @ LAA · L 1-2 · model gave 55%LAA2026-05-25 · vs HOU · L 0-9 · model gave 53%HOU2026-05-26 · vs HOU · W 10-7 · model gave 51%HOU2026-05-27 · vs HOU · L 3-4 · model gave 52%HOU2026-05-28 · vs HOU · L 1-5 · model gave 53%HOU2026-05-29 · vs KC · W 9-1 · model gave 60%KC2026-05-30 · vs KC · W 7-6 · model gave 60%KC2026-05-31 · vs KC · W 6-3 · model gave 59%KC2026-06-01 · @ STL · W 2-1 · model gave 46%STL2026-06-02 · @ STL · W 7-4 · model gave 45%STL2026-06-03 · @ STL · L 3-5 · model gave 44%STL2026-06-05 · vs CLE · W 3-2 · model gave 51%CLE2026-06-06 · vs CLE · L 0-6 · model gave 51%CLE2026-06-07 · vs CLE · W 10-0 · model gave 52%CLE2026-06-09 · @ KC · L 3-5 · model gave 52%KC2026-06-10 · @ KC · W 6-4 · model gave 52%KC2026-06-11 · @ KC · W 4-2 · model gave 52%KC2026-06-12 · @ BOS · L 1-10 · model gave 50%BOS2026-06-13 · @ BOS · L 3-6 · model gave 50%BOS2026-06-14 · @ BOS · W 6-4 · model gave 50%BOS2026-06-15 · vs MIN · L 2-4 · model gave 57%MIN

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

162 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-15

Peak 1546 · Now 1495 · Trough 1480

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 11

    Recalled RHP Luis Curvelo from Round Rock (PCL). Placed LHP Jalen Beeks on the 15-day IL retroactive to June 10.

  2. Jun 9

    Optioned RHP Luis Curvelo to Round Rock (PCL). Sent 2B Josh Smith on a rehab assignment to Round Rock. Reinstated RHP Cole Winn from the 15-day IL.

  3. Jun 7

    Released LF Sam Haggerty.

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Alejandro Osuna

A. Osuna

LF · #19

Brandon Nimmo

B. Nimmo

RF · #24

Cal Quantrill

C. Quantrill

RP · #44

Cody Freeman

C. Freeman

3B · #39

Cole Winn

C. Winn

RP · #60

Elias Diaz

E. Diaz

C · #35

Ezequiel Duran

E. Duran

2B · #20

Jack Leiter

J. Leiter

SP · #22

Jacob deGrom

J. deGrom

SP · #48

Jacob Latz

J. Latz

RP · #67

Jake Burger

J. Burger

1B · #21

Jakob Junis

J. Junis

RP · #16

Joc Pederson

J. Pederson

DH · #3

Joe Ross

J. Ross

RP · #41

Josh Jung

J. Jung

3B · #6

Josh Smith

J. Smith

2B · #8

Justin Foscue

J. Foscue

2B · #14

Kumar Rocker

K. Rocker

SP · #80

Kyle Higashioka

K. Higashioka

C · #11

MacKenzie Gore

M. Gore

SP · #1

Nathan Eovaldi

N. Eovaldi

SP · #17

Nicky Lopez

N. Lopez

2B · #33

Peyton Gray

P. Gray

RP · #75

Robby Ahlstrom

R. Ahlstrom

RP · #54

Tyler Alexander

T. Alexander

RP · #13

Wyatt Langford

W. Langford

LF · #36

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on TEX

16-16 graded · 50.0% (95% CI 33.6-66.4) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-31

All MLB · 594-464 graded

Tonight's graded board →