Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Aug 23, 2025

FINAL+11CHC

CHC

75-55

121

LAA

61-68

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

44,355 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

36.0%

ensemble · CHC favored

Elo Static
44.0%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
39.5%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
42.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.83 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

88% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs CHC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 102 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.3± 2.0high
Kevin GausmanCHC
5.4± 2.3high
Shota ImanagaCHC
5.2± 1.6high

Hits

Nico HoernerCHC
1.4± 1.4high
Alex BregmanCHC
1.3± 1.2high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
1.2± 0.8high

Total bases

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
2.3± 3.1high
Alex BregmanCHC
2.2± 2.6high
Nico HoernerCHC
2.1± 2.5high

RBIs

Nico HoernerCHC
0.8± 1.3high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
0.8± 1.3high
Tyrone TaylorCHC
0.8± 1.3high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.5± 2.7low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.3± 3.3low
Kevin GausmanCHC
3.1± 2.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHC

league avg

LAA

.753

OPS

◀

.719

.693

.338

OBP

◀

.318

.312

5.10

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.15

4.07

Team ERA

◀

4.18

4.46

1.25

WHIP

◀

1.30

1.36

7.8

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHC wins

CHC 12 · LAA 1 (by 11)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked CHC +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHC	0	0	2	4	0	4	2	0	0	12
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Busch1B	.263	5	2	2	1	0	0	1
K. TuckerRF	.262	5	2	3	5	2	0	0
S. SuzukiRF	.243	5	0	1	0	0	0	2
P. Crow-ArmstrongCF	.256	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
I. HappLF	.227	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
N. Hoerner2B	.289	3	2	1	0	0	1	0
W. Castro2B	.188	5	1	2	0	0	0	1
D. SwansonSS	.248	4	1	1	1	0	0	1
R. McGuireC	.223	2	2	1	5	1	1	1
M. ShawRF	.226	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. CaissieRF	.263	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. Turner1B	.218	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		39	12	14	12	3	3	6

Player

.263

.262

.243

.256

.227

.289

.188

.248

.223

.226

.263

.218

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HortonSP	6.0	3	0	0	1	7	74
B. BrownRP	3.0	2	1	1	0	3	44
Team	9.0	5	1	1	1	10	118

Player

C. HortonSP

6.0

B. BrownRP

3.0

Team

9.0

118

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.264	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Schanuel1B	.266	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. TroutCF	.237	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
T. WardLF	.231	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Moncada3B	.234	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. AdellRF	.236	4	1	2	1	1	0	0
L. RengifoLF	.249	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	.226	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. TeodosioLF	.224	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. Peraza2B	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. Kavadas1B	.200	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
C. Moore2B	.184	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	1	5	1	1	1	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. MederosRP	4.0	4	6	6	2	4	68
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	11
C. FulmerRP	1.1	7	6	6	1	0	35
L. GarciaRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	6
O. Peraza2B	2.0	2	0	0	0	0	20
Team	9.0	14	12	12	3	6	140

Team

CHC

LAA

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs CHC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs CHC.

3 sub-models, blended.