WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

CHI

4-10

PregameSun, 7:00 PM EDT

DAL

9-6

Verdict

Pass · no edge tonight.

The model doesn't see daylight against the posted line on this game. We don't surface negative-EV picks; check the drill-down for sub-model context.

WNBASun, Jul 127/12 - 7:00 PM EDTSeriesDAL leads series 1-0

Preview · WNBA

hicago Sky visit Dallas Wings Sunday at 7/12 - 7:00 PM EDT. DAL is 4-3 in their last 7.

The market hasn't shipped a line worth tagging key numbers on yet — check back closer to first pitch.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Updated 0s ago

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

DAL

Home

FG %

Season series

DAL leads series 1-0

May 21

DAL99@

CHI89

Jun 21

CHI@

DALupcoming

Jul 12

CHI@

DALtoday

Scouting report

CHI @ DAL

7/12 - 7:00 PM EDT

StorylineCHI dropped 4 straight.

Tale of the tape

CHImetricDAL

4-10

Record

9-6

Conf rank

-5.3

Pt diff

+4.9

Streak

1-9

Last 10

6-4

Composite signals from ESPN standings + 21-day power rolling. NBA pace / ORtg / DRtg from ESPN core team-stats; NFL yards-per-game from nflverse aggregation. Park factors, weather, KenPom-class metrics still on the roadmap.

Drill down

Sub-model tables · ensemble breakdown · last meeting · book shop · player props

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

43.9%

ensemble · CHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
31%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
35%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

DAL vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

Paige BueckersDAL
18.2± 8.8medium
Rickea JacksonCHI
16.0± 11.0low
Skylar DigginsCHI
15.8± 7.2low

Rebounds

Jessica ShepardDAL
11.8± 4.2medium
Kamilla CardosoCHI
7.6± 4.5medium
Azura StevensCHI
5.7± 5.0low

Assists

Paige BueckersDAL
6.1± 4.0medium
Jessica ShepardDAL
5.1± 3.5medium
Sug SuttonDAL
4.6± 3.0low

Blocks

Kamilla CardosoCHI
1.7± 2.2medium
Elizabeth WilliamsCHI
1.3± 1.3low
Rickea JacksonCHI
1.2± 1.6low

Steals

Azzi FuddDAL
1.6± 1.6medium
Aziaha JamesDAL
1.4± 1.4medium
Aicha CoulibalyCHI
1.1± 1.2low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CHI

league avg

DAL

42.3%

FG%

44.5

▶

45.8%

31.5%

3PT %

33.3

▶

34.1%

83.1

PPG

85.5

▶

87.6

19.4

Assists / G

18.0

▶

23.1

12.5

Turnovers / G

13.0

▶

10.3

Data via ESPN · wehoop

Chicago Sky at Dallas Wings

3 sub-models, blended.

DAL vs CHI.

Team rate stats vs league