Apr 4, 26sim 99
51
13(H)4
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+4UTA
UTA
38-30-6
62
LA
29-26-18
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
tah Mammoth went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 6–2.
UTA +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
UTA · top performer
Logan Cooley
C · #92
2Points
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
LA · top performer
Adrian Kempe
RW · #9
2Points
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
UTA38-30-6
62
LA29-26-18
UTA38-30-6LA29-26-18
UTA
38-30-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
LA
29-26-18
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
6
Season series
UTA wins series 2-1
Dec 9LA4@UTA2
LA4@UTA2Mar 23LA3@UTA4
LA3@UTA4Mar 29UTA6@LA2today
UTA6@LA2todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LA -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
UTA-10551%LA-11553%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
UTA beat LA 6-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| LA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Period scoring
UTA won 2 · LA won 0
3
1
1
2
0
2
1
1
3
UTA
LA
Play-by-play · 344 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·19:56
Nate Schmidt Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·18:35
Joel Armia Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·18:00
Giveaway by John Marino
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·17:39
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·17:39
Goalie Stopped
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·17:34
Jeff Malott Backhand saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·17:19
Samuel Helenius hit Sean Durzi
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·17:04
Jeff Malott hit Dylan Guenther
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·17:04
Giveaway by Dylan Guenther
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·17:01
Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·16:43
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·16:35
Kailer Yamamoto faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·16:35
Goalie Stopped
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·16:32
Scott Laughton Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·16:12
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·16:12
Hand Pass
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·16:00
Trevor Moore Slap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·15:52
Jack McBain hit Cody Ceci
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·15:43
Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·15:43
Icing
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·15:35
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·15:35
Puck Frozen - Goalie
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·15:31
Scott Laughton Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·15:07
Giveaway by Joel Edmundson
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·14:27
Jeff Malott Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·14:15
Giveaway by Cody Ceci
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·14:00
Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
UTA 6·LA 2
- 3rd·14:00
Off-side
UTA 6·LA 2
Team stats
UTA
Away
Stat
LA
Home
28
Shots
31
66.7
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
6
29
Faceoffs W
33
13
Blocks
23
13
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
2
Betting line
LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·UTA -105/LA -115
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.