Live · 3
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+2NSH
SEA

SEA

31-28-9

13
NSH

NSH

31-28-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Mar 19FinalSeriesNSH wins series 2-1VegasNSH -120

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators held off Seattle Kraken, 3–1.

NSH -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Frederick Gaudreau

Frederick Gaudreau

C · #89

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Nashville Predators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
3
SEA31-28-9NSH31-28-9
SEA

SEA

31-28-9

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NSH

NSH

31-28-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

6

Season series

NSH wins series 2-1

Jan 2NSHNSH1@SEASEA4
Mar 11NSHNSH4@SEASEA2
Mar 20SEASEA1@NSHNSH3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+10050%
NSHNSH-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat SEA 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA1001
NSH1113

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · NSH won 2

1
1

1

0
1

2

0
1

3

SEA
NSH

Play-by-play · 314 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Chandler Stephenson Wrist Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  4. 3rd·19:51

    Erik Haula Backhand Wide Right

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  5. 3rd·19:37

    Chandler Stephenson Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  6. 3rd·19:32

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  7. 3rd·19:32

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  8. 3rd·19:29

    Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  9. 3rd·19:29

    Timeout - Visitor

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  10. 3rd·19:29

    Puck Frozen - Skater

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  11. 3rd·18:47

    Ryan O'Reilly Backhand Wide Right

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  12. 3rd·18:42

    Giveaway by Brandon Montour

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  13. 3rd·18:23

    Jonathan Marchessault hit Ryker Evans

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  14. 3rd·18:10

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Shane Wright

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  15. 3rd·18:10

    Filip Forsberg Goal (30) Wrist Shot, assists: none

    SEA 1·NSH 3

  16. 3rd·18:08

    Takeaway by Filip Forsberg

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  17. 3rd·17:49

    Luke Evangelista shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  18. 3rd·17:42

    Giveaway by Steven Stamkos

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  19. 3rd·17:21

    Matty Beniers Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  20. 3rd·17:07

    Zachary L'Heureux hit Ryan Lindgren

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  21. 3rd·15:52

    Giveaway by Kaapo Kakko

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  22. 3rd·15:42

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Matthew Wood

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  23. 3rd·15:42

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  24. 3rd·15:39

    Ryan O'Reilly Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  25. 3rd·15:33

    Giveaway by Bobby McMann

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  26. 3rd·15:18

    Jordan Eberle Tip-In saved by Justus Annunen

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  27. 3rd·15:05

    Ryker Evans Wrist Shot saved by Justus Annunen

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  28. 3rd·14:51

    Ryker Evans hit Luke Evangelista

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  29. 3rd·14:45

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Steven Stamkos

    ·

    SEA 1·NSH 2

  30. 3rd·14:45

    TV Timeout

    SEA 1·NSH 2

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

26

Shots

28

0.0

PCT

33.3

8

PIM

6

29

Faceoffs W

25

13

Blocks

8

16

Giveaways

15

3

Takeaways

4

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +100/NSH -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 24 skaters with EDGE
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR