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FINAL+1CHI
CHI

CHI

26-30-12

21
MIN

MIN

39-19-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Mar 19FinalSeriesMIN wins series 3-1VegasMIN -198

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks went into Minnesota Wild and beat them, 2–1.

CHI +1.5 cashed (MIN lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

MIN
Hunter Haight

Hunter Haight

C · #37

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
1
CHI26-30-12MIN39-19-12
CHI

CHI

26-30-12

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
MIN

MIN

39-19-12

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

18

PIM

18

Season series

MIN wins series 3-1

Nov 27MINMIN4@CHICHI3
Jan 28CHICHI3@MINMIN4
Mar 17MINMIN4@CHICHI3
Mar 19CHICHI2@MINMIN1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+16438%
MINMIN-19866%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat MIN 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CHI1102
MIN0101

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · MIN won 0

1
0

1

1
1

2

0
0

3

CHI
MIN

Play-by-play · 316 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  3. 3rd·19:57

    Mats Zuccarello Tip-In saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  4. 3rd·19:52

    Matt Boldy Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  5. 3rd·19:47

    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Louis Crevier

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  6. 3rd·19:21

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  7. 3rd·19:21

    Icing

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  8. 3rd·19:17

    Louis Crevier Snap Shot Wide Left

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  9. 3rd·19:15

    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Louis Crevier

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  10. 3rd·18:58

    Marcus Johansson Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  11. 3rd·18:56

    Matt Boldy Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  12. 3rd·18:39

    Ilya Mikheyev shot blocked by Matt Boldy

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  13. 3rd·18:28

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  14. 3rd·18:28

    Puck in Crowd

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  15. 3rd·18:06

    Mats Zuccarello shot blocked by Matt Grzelcyk

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  16. 3rd·17:31

    Connor Bedard hit Nick Foligno

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  17. 3rd·17:30

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  18. 3rd·16:26

    Bobby Brink hit Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  19. 3rd·16:14

    Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  20. 3rd·15:49

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Danila Yurov

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  21. 3rd·15:49

    Jake Middleton Roughing against Sam Rinzel

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  22. 3rd·15:49

    Sam Rinzel Roughing against Jake Middleton

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  23. 3rd·15:49

    Ryan Donato Slashing against Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  24. 3rd·15:49

    Michael McCarron Cross-checking against Ryan Donato

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  25. 3rd·15:49

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  26. 3rd·15:47

    Sam Rinzel Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  27. 3rd·15:35

    Ryan Donato faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  28. 3rd·15:35

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  29. 3rd·15:33

    Connor Bedard shot blocked by Michael McCarron

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

  30. 3rd·15:17

    Connor Bedard Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 2·MIN 1

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

26

Shots

29

0.0

PCT

0.0

18

PIM

18

29

Faceoffs W

34

10

Blocks

13

12

Giveaways

15

4

Takeaways

4

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 5.5·CHI +164/MIN -198

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 29 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock FaberMIN · D
    BURSTS2799+
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Matt BoldyMIN · LW
    SHOT MPH92.897
  • Marcus JohanssonMIN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.296
  • Ilya MikheyevCHI · RW
    SKATE MPH23.595

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-198

Close price

-198

Open no-vig

63.7%

Close no-vig

63.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR