NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CBJ

NYR

28-33-8

CBJ

36-21-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Mar 19FinalSeriesCBJ win series 2-1VegasCBJ -218

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off New York Rangers, 6–3.

CBJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

Alexis Lafreniere

LW · #13

2Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Adam Fantilli

C · #19

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYR28-33-8

CBJ36-21-11

NYR28-33-8CBJ36-21-11

NYR

28-33-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

36-21-11

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CBJ win series 2-1

Nov 16

NYR2@

CBJ1

Mar 3

CBJ5@

NYR4

Mar 19

NYR3@

CBJ6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+18036%

CBJ-21869%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat NYR 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	1	1	1	3
CBJ	2	2	2	6

Period scoring

NYR won 0 · CBJ won 3

NYR

CBJ

Play-by-play · 293 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·19:55
Jaroslav Chmelar shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·19:46
Jonny Brodzinski Tip-In Wide Right
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·19:09
Takeaway by Gabe Perreault
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·18:42
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·18:25
Conor Sheary Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·18:07
Tye Kartye Snap Shot High and Wide Right
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·18:01
Giveaway by Ivan Provorov
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·17:49
Boone Jenner faceoff won against J.T. Miller
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·17:49
Puck in Netting
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·17:48
Erik Gudbranson shot blocked by Adam Edstrom
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·17:19
Giveaway by Jonny Brodzinski
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·17:06
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Jonny Brodzinski
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·17:06
Adam Fantilli Goal (21) Wrist Shot, assists: Sean Monahan (23)
·
NYR 3·CBJ 6
3rd·16:54
Will Borgen Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·16:43
Kirill Marchenko hit Will Cuylle
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·16:18
Takeaway by Sean Monahan
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·16:12
Giveaway by Vincent Trocheck
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·15:43
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Danton Heinen
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·14:40
Giveaway by Adam Fox
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·14:30
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·14:30
Puck in Netting
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·13:50
Boone Jenner Slap Shot Wide Right
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·13:07
Giveaway by Vladislav Gavrikov
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·13:00
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·13:00
Goalie Stopped
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·12:59
J.T. Miller Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·12:55
Vladislav Gavrikov Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5
3rd·12:51
J.T. Miller Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
NYR 3·CBJ 5

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

16.7

PCT

20.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·NYR +180/CBJ -218

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

J.T. MillerNYR · LW
SHOT MPH102.699+
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Adam EdstromNYR · C
SKATE MPH23.898
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
DIST MI289.198

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+180

Close price

+180

Open no-vig

34.3%

Close no-vig

34.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

CBJ vs NYR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high
Adam FantilliCBJ
2.4± 2.0high

Goals

Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high
Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Boone JennerCBJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high
Mika ZibanejadNYR
0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands