NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5BOS

WPG

28-29-11

BOS

38-23-8

NHLThu, Mar 19FinalSeriesBOS wins series 2-0VegasBOS -142

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins held off Winnipeg Jets, 6–1.

BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WPG · top performer

Jonathan Toews

C · #19

1Points

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

David Pastrnak

RW · #88

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BarronC · #36	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	11:30
K. ConnorLW · #81	0	0	-3	1	1	0	0	20:41
A. IafalloLW · #9	0	0	-2	2	2	1	0	14:34
C. KoepkeLW · #45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:41
B. LambertC · #93	0	1	-1	1	0	0	0	12:16
A. LowryC · #17	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	14:38
G. NyquistRW · #14	0	0	-1	1	0	1	2	14:59
C. PerfettiC · #91	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	17:48
I. RosenRW · #27	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	11:51
M. ScheifeleC · #55	0	0	-3	1	0	0	0	21:56
J. ToewsC · #19	1	0	-1	4	0	0	0	14:59
G. VilardiC · #13	0	0	-3	3	1	0	0	19:13

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrysonD · #78	0	0	-2	2	0	0	0	11:49
D. DeMeloD · #2	0	0	-2	0	1	1	0	22:28
H. FleuryD · #24	0	0	-3	1	2	0	0	11:55
J. MorrisseyD · #44	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	25:19
E. SalomonssonD · #57	0	1	-1	1	1	0	0	21:21
D. SambergD · #54	0	0	-2	0	0	2	0	21:02

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HellebuyckG · #37	27	6	21	.778	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	1	1	2	2	0	0	2	14:15
M. GeekieC · #39	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	14:55
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	14:43
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	14:25
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	12:28
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	16:21
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	16:39
F. MintenC · #93	1	0	2	4	1	0	0	14:40
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	2	2	2	1	0	0	14:11
D. PastrnakRW · #88	1	1	2	3	3	0	4	14:55
L. ReichelLW · #75	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	14:45
P. ZachaC · #18	1	1	2	2	0	1	0	12:54

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	1	0	4	1	2	2	0	17:17
H. LindholmD · #27	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	21:20
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	20:23
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	0	4	2	0	1	0	20:34
A. PeekeD · #26	0	1	2	2	2	3	0	19:06
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	19:33

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SwaymanG · #1	24	1	23	.958	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

BOS wins series 2-0

Dec 12

BOS6@

WPG3

Mar 19

WPG1@

BOS6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPG+12045%

BOS-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 17 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

WPG

J. Toews

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

C. Hellebuyck

Goaltender

21 SV · 6 GA · .778

BOS

D. Pastrnak

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG

J. Swayman

Goaltender

23 SV · 1 GA · .958

How it ended

BOS beat WPG 6-1. D. Pastrnak led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WPG	0	0	1	1
BOS	1	2	3	6

Period scoring

WPG won 0 · BOS won 3

WPG

BOS

Play-by-play · 278 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·19:36
Gustav Nyquist Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·19:23
Tanner Jeannot Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·19:06
Dylan Samberg Slap Shot Wide Right
·
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·19:03
Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
·
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·18:25
Cole Perfetti Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·18:22
Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·18:18
Adam Lowry faceoff won against Sean Kuraly
·
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·18:18
Jonathan Aspirot Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Morgan Geekie (24), Lukas Reichel (4)
· ·
WPG 1·BOS 6
3rd·17:46
Mark Kastelic hit Gabriel Vilardi
·
WPG 1·BOS 5
3rd·17:32
Tanner Jeannot Snap Shot Wide Right
·
WPG 1·BOS 5
3rd·16:59
Giveaway by Hampus Lindholm
·
WPG 1·BOS 5
3rd·15:52
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Morgan Barron
· ·
WPG 1·BOS 5
3rd·15:52
Fraser Minten Goal (16) Tip-In, assists: David Pastrnak (57), Andrew Peeke (9)
· ·
WPG 1·BOS 5
3rd·15:34
Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·14:38
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·14:38
Off-side
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·14:24
Mark Kastelic hit Jonathan Toews
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·14:22
Tanner Jeannot hit Jacob Bryson
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·14:13
Sean Kuraly shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:50
Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Jonathan Toews
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:50
Puck in Crowd
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:48
Mark Kastelic shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:38
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Jonathan Toews
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:38
Goalie Stopped
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:36
Tanner Jeannot Snap Shot Wide Right
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:06
Lukas Reichel shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·13:00
Dylan DeMelo hit Morgan Geekie
·
WPG 1·BOS 4
3rd·12:48
Morgan Barron faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
WPG 1·BOS 4

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG +120/BOS -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Morgan BarronWPG · C
SHOT MPH95.697
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397
Haydn FleuryWPG · D
SKATE MPH23.195

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Gabriel Vilardi · WPG19:240.6783.3%94.6%19:24 TOI · 0.67 iXG · 83.3% CF · 94.6% xGF
Fraser Minten · BOS15:000.5642.9%38.1%15:00 TOI · 0.56 iXG · 42.9% CF · 38.1% xGF
Tanner Jeannot · BOS14:420.5654.2%73.0%14:42 TOI · 0.56 iXG · 54.2% CF · 73.0% xGF
Adam Lowry · WPG14:540.5269.0%68.6%14:54 TOI · 0.52 iXG · 69.0% CF · 68.6% xGF
Mark Scheifele · WPG22:120.4973.1%79.9%22:12 TOI · 0.49 iXG · 73.1% CF · 79.9% xGF
Jonathan Toews · WPG15:000.4040.0%43.3%15:00 TOI · 0.40 iXG · 40.0% CF · 43.3% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Jeremy Swayman · BOS23–1.958+1.3823–1 · .958 SV% · +1.38 GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck · WPG21–6.778-3.2221–6 · .778 SV% · -3.22 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

59.9%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
64.1%
P(BOS win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
64.1%
P(BOS win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
64.1%
P(BOS win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-142

Close price

-142

Open no-vig

56.3%

Close no-vig

56.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit