NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3NYR

NYR

27-30-8

WPG

26-28-10

NHLThu, Mar 12FinalSeriesNYR lead series 1-0VegasWPG -155

NYR · top performer

Tye Kartye

LW · #24

2Points

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrodzinskiC · #22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10:06
J. ChmelarRW · #49	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	8:45
W. CuylleLW · #50	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	17:34
A. EdstromC · #84	1	0	-1	2	1	1	0	13:45
T. KartyeLW · #24	1	1	1	2	4	1	0	14:27
N. LabaC · #42	1	0	1	1	4	1	0	14:24
A. LafreniereLW · #13	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	18:19
J. ParssinenC · #71	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	9:30
G. PerreaultRW · #94	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	19:09
C. ShearyLW · #43	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	15:08
V. TrocheckC · #16	0	2	0	1	4	3	0	19:32
M. ZibanejadC · #93	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	18:23

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BorgenD · #17	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	18:15
A. FoxD · #23	1	0	0	1	0	4	0	21:11
V. GavrikovD · #44	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	19:32
M. RobertsonD · #29	0	1	1	3	1	1	0	21:22
B. SchneiderD · #4	0	2	2	0	3	2	0	22:25
U. VaakanainenD · #18	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	16:13

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ShesterkinG · #31	26	3	23	.885	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BarronC · #36	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	13:31
K. ConnorLW · #81	1	0	-1	5	2	1	0	23:25
A. IafalloLW · #9	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	17:36
C. KoepkeLW · #45	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	11:02
B. LambertC · #93	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:14
A. LowryC · #17	0	1	-1	1	6	0	0	13:57
G. NyquistRW · #14	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	9:18
C. PerfettiC · #91	0	1	-1	1	0	1	0	15:31
I. RosenRW · #27	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	11:15
M. ScheifeleC · #55	0	1	-1	1	1	0	0	24:21
J. ToewsC · #19	0	0	-1	2	0	2	0	13:19
G. VilardiC · #13	1	0	-2	2	0	0	2	17:19

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrysonD · #78	0	1	-1	2	0	0	0	13:12
D. DeMeloD · #2	0	0	-1	2	3	1	0	23:18
H. FleuryD · #24	0	0	-1	0	2	2	0	14:16
J. MorrisseyD · #44	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	25:35
E. SalomonssonD · #57	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	20:11
D. SambergD · #54	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	21:57

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HellebuyckG · #37	16	5	11	.688	58:34

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

NYR lead series 1-0

Mar 13

NYR6@

WPG3today

Mar 22

WPG3@

NYR2

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+13043%

WPG-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 69 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat WPG 6-3. T. Kartye led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	1	1	4	6
WPG	0	2	1	3

Period scoring

NYR won 2 · WPG won 1

NYR

WPG

Play-by-play · 306 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·19:44
Will Borgen Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·19:32
Morgan Barron hit Jonny Brodzinski
·
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·19:20
Giveaway by Haydn Fleury
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·19:19
Juuso Parssinen hit Haydn Fleury
·
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·19:09
Juuso Parssinen faceoff won against Morgan Barron
·
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·19:09
Noah Laba Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Tye Kartye (9), Vincent Trocheck (33)
· ·
NYR 6·WPG 3
3rd·18:48
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:48
Icing
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:43
Adam Fox Wrist Shot Wide Left
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:41
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:34
Gabriel Vilardi Tip-In Wide Left
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:20
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:20
Puck in Netting
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:18
Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Tye Kartye
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:13
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:13
Puck in Netting
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·18:12
Gabriel Vilardi shot blocked by Braden Schneider
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·16:58
Giveaway by Dylan Samberg
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·16:12
Alex Iafallo shot blocked by Urho Vaakanainen
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·15:45
Adam Lowry hit Braden Schneider
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·15:40
Adam Lowry Tip-In Wide Left
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·15:37
Josh Morrissey Snap Shot Hit Right Post
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·15:24
Adam Lowry hit Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·15:21
Morgan Barron Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·14:49
Isak Rosen shot blocked by Adam Fox
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·14:27
Giveaway by Jonathan Toews
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·14:12
Tye Kartye Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
NYR 5·WPG 3
3rd·14:09
Giveaway by Tye Kartye
NYR 5·WPG 3

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR +130/WPG -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers went into Winnipeg Jets and beat them, 6–3.

NYR +1.5 cashed (WPG lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.9%

ensemble · WPG favored

Elo Static
56.9%
P(WPG win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
56.9%
P(WPG win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
56.9%
P(WPG win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

New York RangersWinnipeg Jets

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