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FINAL+1CHI
CHI

CHI

25-29-11

32
UTA

UTA

34-26-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Mar 12FinalSeriesCHI wins series 4-0VegasUTAH -230

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 3–2 in overtime.

CHI +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

UTA
Michael Carcone

Michael Carcone

LW · #53

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
3
2
CHI25-29-11UTA34-26-6
CHI

CHI

25-29-11

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

34-26-6

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

4

Season series

CHI wins series 4-0

Oct 14UTAUTA1@CHICHI3
Mar 1CHICHI4@UTAUTA0
Mar 10UTAUTA2@CHICHI3
Mar 13CHICHI3@UTAUTA2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+19034%
UTAUTA-23070%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat UTA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
CHI00213
UTA01102

Period scoring

CHI won 2 · UTA won 1

0
0

1

0
1

2

2
1

3

1
0

OT

CHI
UTA

Play-by-play · 313 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·3:57

    Game End

    CHI 3·UTA 2

  2. OT·3:57

    End of OT

    CHI 3·UTA 2

  3. OT·3:57

    Connor Bedard Goal (27) Snap Shot, assists: Alex Vlasic (15), Nick Lardis (3)

    · ·

    CHI 3·UTA 2

  4. OT·3:54

    Alex Vlasic Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  5. OT·3:44

    Nick Schmaltz Backhand saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  6. OT·3:26

    Dylan Guenther Snap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  7. OT·3:10

    Matt Grzelcyk hit Clayton Keller

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  8. OT·3:08

    Clayton Keller Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  9. OT·2:57

    Clayton Keller Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  10. OT·2:24

    Jack McBain faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  11. OT·2:24

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  12. OT·2:22

    Ryan Greene Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  13. OT·0:58

    MacKenzie Weegar Snap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  14. OT·0:52

    Takeaway by Lawson Crouse

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  15. OT·0:34

    Mikhail Sergachev Backhand saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  16. OT·0:25

    Connor Bedard Snap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  17. OT·0:00

    Frank Nazar faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  18. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  19. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  20. 3rd·19:20

    Matt Grzelcyk Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  21. 3rd·18:34

    Jack McBain shot blocked by Louis Crevier

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  22. 3rd·18:20

    Takeaway by Frank Nazar

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  23. 3rd·18:12

    Lawson Crouse hit Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  24. 3rd·17:42

    Landon Slaggert hit MacKenzie Weegar

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  25. 3rd·17:40

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  26. 3rd·17:40

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  27. 3rd·17:26

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  28. 3rd·17:26

    Off-side

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  29. 3rd·17:04

    Kailer Yamamoto hit Alex Vlasic

    ·

    CHI 2·UTA 2

  30. 3rd·16:59

    Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev

    CHI 2·UTA 2

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

23

Shots

31

100.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

4

21

Faceoffs W

28

17

Blocks

11

13

Giveaways

12

8

Takeaways

8

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·CHI +190/UTA -230

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Alex VlasicCHI · D
    BURSTS7190
  • Ryan DonatoCHI · C
    SHOT MPH91.388
  • Wyatt KaiserCHI · D
    BURSTS6587

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR