NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1VAN

NSH

29-27-9

VAN

20-37-8

NHLThu, Mar 12FinalSeriesVAN wins series 2-1VegasNSH -170

Recap · NHL

ancouver Canucks held off Nashville Predators, 4–3.

VAN +1.5 cashed (NSH lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

Tyson Jost

C · #17

2Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Brock Boeser

RW · #6

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	21:12
F. ForsbergLW · #9	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	21:51
E. HaulaLW · #56	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	19:00
T. JostC · #17	2	0	1	4	1	1	2	13:00
Z. L'HeureuxLW · #68	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	8:38
J. MarchessaultRW · #81	0	0	-1	2	2	0	0	17:00
R. O'ReillyC · #90	0	0	-1	2	1	2	2	23:14
R. SchaeferLW · #49	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	7:07
S. StamkosC · #91	0	0	-2	1	3	2	0	20:46
F. SvechkovC · #40	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	14:24
O. WiesblattC · #89	0	0	2	0	5	0	0	12:21
M. WoodRW · #71	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	10:48

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BarronD · #20	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	14:33
N. HagueD · #41	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	22:47
R. JosiD · #59	0	1	0	1	0	3	0	28:35
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	20:01
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	23:48
R. UfkoD · #85	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	13:55

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SarosG · #74	27	3	24	.889	65:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BluegerC · #53	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	19:16
B. BoeserRW · #6	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	18:26
J. DeBruskLW · #74	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	11:25
C. DouglasC · #42	0	0	-1	1	2	0	2	9:53
E. KaneLW · #91	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	17:44
L. KarlssonC · #94	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	14:40
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	0	0	1	4	2	1	0	18:40
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	16:47
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	19:36
A. RatyC · #54	0	0	-1	3	1	0	0	10:15
M. RossiC · #93	1	2	2	1	0	0	4	14:08
M. SassonC · #63	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15:58

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	18:44
F. HronekD · #17	1	1	3	1	1	3	0	29:03
V. ManciniD · #90	0	0	-2	0	2	1	0	12:20
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	-1	0	2	2	0	24:54
Elias N. PetterssonD · #25	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	17:14
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	23:04

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. TolopiloG · #60	19	3	16	.842	63:53

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

VAN wins series 2-1

Oct 24

VAN1@

NSH2

Nov 4

VAN5@

NSH4

Mar 13

NSH3@

VAN4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSH-17063%

VAN+14241%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

NSH

T. Jost

Top skater

2 G · 4 SOG

J. Saros

Goaltender

24 SV · 3 GA · .889

VAN

B. Boeser

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG

N. Tolopilo

Goaltender

16 SV · 3 GA · .842

How it ended

VAN beat NSH 4-3. B. Boeser led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
NSH	1	2	0	0	0	3
VAN	1	0	2	0	1	4

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · VAN won 2

NSH

VAN

Play-by-play · 278 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
End of OT
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
Steven Stamkos Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
Elias Pettersson Backhand saved by Juuse Saros
· ·
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
Jake DeBrusk Goal Wrist Shot
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
Ryan O'Reilly Backhand Above Crossbar
·
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
Liam Ohgren Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 0·VAN 1
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
NSH 0·VAN 1
OT·5:00
End of OT
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:47
Drew O'Connor Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:26
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:26
Puck in Crowd
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:23
Brady Skjei Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:16
Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Marco Rossi
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:16
Goalie Stopped
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:13
Elias Pettersson Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
· ·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·4:04
Ryan O'Reilly Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·3:47
Elias Pettersson Snap Shot Wide Left
· ·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·2:55
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·2:55
Goalie Stopped
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·2:53
Luke Evangelista Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·0:47
Takeaway by Liam Ohgren
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·0:19
Filip Forsberg shot blocked by Filip Hronek
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·0:00
Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
NSH 3·VAN 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
NSH 3·VAN 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NSH 3·VAN 3
3rd·19:38
Liam Ohgren Snap Shot Wide Left
·
NSH 3·VAN 3
3rd·19:37
Takeaway by Liam Ohgren
NSH 3·VAN 3

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH -170/VAN +142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 24 skaters with EDGE

Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498
Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
iXG34.998
Filip HronekVAN · D
DIST MI292.398
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
DIST MI265.898
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
SKATE MPH23.497

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

34.1%

ensemble · NSH favored

Elo Static
46.2%
P(VAN win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
46.2%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
46.2%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+142

Close price

+142

Open no-vig

39.6%

Close no-vig

39.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit