NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NYI

NYI

37-23-5

STL

25-29-10

NHLTue, Mar 10FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNYI -125

NYI · top performer

Bo Horvat

C · #14

1Points

—

SOG

STL · top performer

Jimmy Snuggerud

RW · #21

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BarzalC · #13	1	2	1	4	0	0	0	21:21
C. CizikasC · #53	0	0	-1	0	1	1	0	10:07
M. GatcombC · #16	0	0	-1	1	5	1	0	9:25
E. HeinemanLW · #51	0	0	-1	5	5	0	0	16:22
S. HolmstromRW · #92	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	18:41
B. HorvatC · #14	1	0	-1	9	0	0	0	21:53
A. LeeLW · #27	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	16:28
J. PageauC · #44	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	17:55
O. PalatLW · #81	0	0	-1	2	0	3	0	12:19
C. RitchieC · #64	1	1	-1	3	0	1	0	14:02
B. SchennC · #10	0	1	0	5	2	0	0	17:06
M. ShabanovRW · #49	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	10:07

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. DeAngeloD · #77	0	1	-1	2	0	4	0	19:41
S. MayfieldD · #24	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	13:53
A. PelechD · #3	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	21:44
R. PulockD · #6	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	19:10
M. SchaeferD · #48	0	1	1	6	1	1	0	27:21
C. SoucyD · #4	0	0	-1	3	1	0	0	15:19

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. SorokinG · #30	23	3	20	.870	61:50

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. BuchnevichLW · #89	0	0	-1	2	1	1	4	19:04
J. DrouinLW · #92	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:50
D. DvorskyRW · #54	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	13:27
J. FinleyC · #37	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	10:51
D. HollowayLW · #81	1	0	2	2	2	0	0	20:22
J. KyrouRW · #25	0	0	-1	2	0	0	2	15:02
J. NeighboursLW · #63	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13:58
J. SnuggerudRW · #21	1	2	2	8	3	0	2	19:46
O. StenbergC · #28	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	12:59
P. SuterC · #22	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	14:02
R. ThomasC · #18	0	2	3	1	0	1	0	16:21
A. ToropchenkoRW · #13	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	10:32

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. BrobergD · #6	1	0	0	3	1	2	0	24:07
C. FowlerD · #17	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	20:25
T. LindsteinD · #41	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	13:39
L. MaillouxD · #23	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	23:39
C. ParaykoD · #55	0	0	1	0	3	2	0	21:45
T. TuckerD · #75	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	15:11

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. HoferG · #30	49	4	46	.939	61:55

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

STL

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 22

STL2@

NYI1

Mar 10

NYI4@

STL3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYI-12556%

STL+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗

Line movement · 22 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYI beat STL 4-3. B. Horvat led the way — 1 G · 9 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
NYI	0	1	2	1	4
STL	1	2	0	0	3

Period scoring

NYI won 2 · STL won 2

NYI

STL

Play-by-play · 290 plays

period

event

player

OT·2:11
Game End
NYI 4·STL 3
OT·2:11
End of OT
NYI 4·STL 3
OT·2:11
Mathew Barzal Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: Brayden Schenn (17), Tony DeAngelo (26)
· ·
NYI 4·STL 3
OT·1:49
Jimmy Snuggerud Snap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·1:39
Brayden Schenn Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·1:20
Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Jonathan Drouin
·
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·1:20
Off-side
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·0:41
Bo Horvat Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·0:30
Pius Suter faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·0:30
Off-side
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·0:00
Bo Horvat faceoff won against Jack Finley
·
NYI 3·STL 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·19:58
Mathew Barzal Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·19:54
Emil Heineman Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·19:50
Dylan Holloway hit Matthew Schaefer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·19:50
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·19:43
Matthew Schaefer Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·19:42
Simon Holmstrom Backhand saved by Joel Hofer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·19:14
Giveaway by Jimmy Snuggerud
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·17:47
Jordan Kyrou faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·17:47
Goalie Stopped
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·17:44
Logan Mailloux Wrist Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·16:54
Pius Suter faceoff won against Brayden Schenn
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·16:54
Goalie Stopped
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·16:52
Jimmy Snuggerud Wrist Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·16:43
Matthew Schaefer Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·16:36
Otto Stenberg hit Matthew Schaefer
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·16:21
Emil Heineman hit Otto Stenberg
·
NYI 3·STL 3
3rd·16:13
Takeaway by Philip Broberg
NYI 3·STL 3

Betting line

NYI -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYI -125/STL +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ew York Islanders went into St. Louis Blues and beat them, 4–3 in overtime.

STL +1.5 cashed (NYI won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Bo Horvat · NYI22:060.8070.2%71.9%22:06 TOI · 0.80 iXG · 70.2% CF · 71.9% xGF
Jimmy Snuggerud · STL19:540.7045.0%41.8%19:54 TOI · 0.70 iXG · 45.0% CF · 41.8% xGF
Anders Lee · NYI16:480.6873.0%73.0%16:48 TOI · 0.68 iXG · 73.0% CF · 73.0% xGF
#848422114:300.6476.9%90.3%14:30 TOI · 0.64 iXG · 76.9% CF · 90.3% xGF
Emil Heineman · NYI16:180.4560.6%61.4%16:18 TOI · 0.45 iXG · 60.6% CF · 61.4% xGF
Pius Suter · STL14:180.4531.3%31.5%14:18 TOI · 0.45 iXG · 31.3% CF · 31.5% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Joel Hofer · STL46–4.939+1.0746–4 · .939 SV% · +1.07 GSAx
Ilya Sorokin · NYI20–3.870-0.7420–3 · .870 SV% · -0.74 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

48.2%

ensemble · NYI favored

Elo Static
48.2%
P(STL win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
48.2%
P(STL win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
48.2%
P(STL win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

New York IslandersSt. Louis Blues

Elsewhere in the NHL