NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5MIN

UTA

34-26-5

MIN

38-16-11

NHLTue, Mar 10FinalSeriesUTA wins series 2-1VegasMIN -162

UTA · top performer

Logan Cooley

C · #92

0Points

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

Kirill Kaprizov

LW · #97

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	11:44
L. CooleyC · #92	0	0	-3	4	0	0	0	15:49
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	15:21
D. GuentherRW · #11	0	0	-2	2	0	1	0	17:33
B. HaytonC · #27	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	14:57
C. KellerRW · #9	0	0	-1	3	0	0	2	19:49
A. KerfootC · #15	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	13:16
J. McBainC · #22	0	0	-1	3	4	1	0	12:03
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	-3	2	0	0	0	12:33
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	19:03
K. StenlundC · #82	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:00
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	0	-2	3	0	1	0	10:47

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	-2	1	1	3	0	19:51
N. DeSimoneD · #57	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	17:58
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	-4	0	2	0	0	20:13
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	19:01
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	20:25
M. WeegarD · #52	0	0	-2	0	2	2	7	16:43

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	30	5	25	.833	59:54

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BoldyLW · #12	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	18:36
B. BrinkRW · #10	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	12:37
J. Eriksson EkC · #14	0	1	1	1	3	1	0	18:18
N. FolignoLW · #71	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	11:41
R. HartmanRW · #38	1	0	1	3	0	0	5	13:27
M. JohanssonLW · #90	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	13:21
K. KaprizovLW · #97	1	1	2	3	3	0	2	20:45
M. McCarronC · #47	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	13:27
V. TarasenkoRW · #91	0	2	3	2	0	0	0	14:02
Y. TreninC · #13	0	0	0	0	9	0	0	12:17
D. YurovRW · #22	1	0	3	1	0	0	2	12:05
M. ZuccarelloRW · #36	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	19:22

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BogosianD · #24	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	15:28
J. BrodinD · #25	0	0	1	5	0	3	0	18:45
B. FaberD · #7	0	0	2	5	1	2	2	21:47
Q. HughesD · #43	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	23:43
J. MiddletonD · #5	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	16:53
J. SpurgeonD · #46	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17:34

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. GustavssonG · #32	25	0	25	1.000	59:52

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

UTA wins series 2-1

Oct 25

UTA6@

MIN2

Feb 28

MIN2@

UTA5

Mar 11

UTA0@

MIN5today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA+13642%

MIN-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 17 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat UTA 5-0. K. Kaprizov led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
UTA	0	0	0	0
MIN	1	1	3	5

Period scoring

UTA won 0 · MIN won 3

UTA

MIN

Play-by-play · 331 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·19:21
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·19:21
Off-side
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:58
Jack McBain shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:39
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Danila Yurov
·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:39
Ryan Hartman Goal (15) Backhand, assists: Nick Foligno (9), Kirill Kaprizov (41)
· ·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:38
Ryan Hartman Deflected Hit Right Post
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:37
Nick Foligno Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:27
Giveaway by Zach Bogosian
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:09
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:09
Puck in Netting
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:06
Dylan Guenther Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·17:22
Barrett Hayton Tip-In saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:33
Clayton Keller Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:16
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:16
TV Timeout
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:16
Kirill Kaprizov Tripping against Clayton Keller
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:04
Jake Middleton hit Logan Cooley
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:01
Jack McBain Tip-In saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·15:54
Logan Cooley Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·15:44
Matt Boldy Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·15:29
Mats Zuccarello Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:55
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:55
Goalie Stopped
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:52
Nick Schmaltz Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:23
Bobby Brink Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:17
Marcus Johansson Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:09
Vladimir Tarasenko Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:00
Giveaway by Nate Schmidt
UTA 0·MIN 4

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 5.5·UTA +136/MIN -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild held off Utah Mammoth, 5–0.

MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

59.5%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
59.5%
P(MIN win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
59.5%
P(MIN win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
59.5%
P(MIN win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Utah MammothMinnesota Wild

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