NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5MIN

UTA

34-26-5

MIN

38-16-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 10FinalSeriesUTA wins series 2-1VegasMIN -162

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild held off Utah Mammoth, 5–0.

MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

Michael Carcone

LW · #53

0Points

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

Kirill Kaprizov

LW · #97

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

UTA34-26-5

MIN38-16-11

UTA34-26-5MIN38-16-11

UTA

34-26-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

MIN

38-16-11

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

UTA wins series 2-1

Oct 25

UTA6@

MIN2

Feb 28

MIN2@

UTA5

Mar 11

UTA0@

MIN5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA+13642%

MIN-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat UTA 5-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
UTA	0	0	0	0
MIN	1	1	3	5

Period scoring

UTA won 0 · MIN won 3

UTA

MIN

Play-by-play · 331 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·19:21
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·19:21
Off-side
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:58
Jack McBain shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:39
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Danila Yurov
·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:39
Ryan Hartman Goal (15) Backhand, assists: Nick Foligno (9), Kirill Kaprizov (41)
· ·
UTA 0·MIN 5
3rd·18:38
Ryan Hartman Deflected Hit Right Post
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:37
Nick Foligno Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:27
Giveaway by Zach Bogosian
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:09
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:09
Puck in Netting
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·18:06
Dylan Guenther Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·17:22
Barrett Hayton Tip-In saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:33
Clayton Keller Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:16
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:16
TV Timeout
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:16
Kirill Kaprizov Tripping against Clayton Keller
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:04
Jake Middleton hit Logan Cooley
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·16:01
Jack McBain Tip-In saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·15:54
Logan Cooley Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·15:44
Matt Boldy Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·15:29
Mats Zuccarello Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:55
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:55
Goalie Stopped
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:52
Nick Schmaltz Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:23
Bobby Brink Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:17
Marcus Johansson Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:09
Vladimir Tarasenko Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
UTA 0·MIN 4
3rd·14:00
Giveaway by Nate Schmidt
UTA 0·MIN 4

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 5.5·UTA +136/MIN -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Brock FaberMIN · D
BURSTS2799+
Matt BoldyMIN · LW
SHOT MPH92.897
Marcus JohanssonMIN · LW
SKATE MPH23.296
Quinn HughesMIN · D
BURSTS1895
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C
SHOT MPH92.195

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.