Mar 19, 26sim 99
133
29(H)6
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1BOS
LA
26-23-15
12
BOS
36-22-6
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
oston Bruins held off Los Angeles Kings, 2–1 in overtime.
LA +1.5 cashed (BOS won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Adrian Kempe
RW · #9
1Points
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
BOS · top performer
Viktor Arvidsson
LW · #71
1Points
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final / OT
LA26-23-15
12
BOS36-22-6
LA26-23-15BOS36-22-6
LA
26-23-15
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
BOS
36-22-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
13
PIM
9
Season series
BOS wins series 2-0
Nov 22BOS2@LA1
BOS2@LA1Mar 10LA1@BOS2today
LA1@BOS2todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BOS -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
LA+13642%BOS-16262%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
BOS beat LA 2-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Period scoring
LA won 0 · BOS won 1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
0
1
OT
LA
BOS
Play-by-play · 309 plays
period
event
player
- OT·0:39
Game End
LA 1·BOS 2
- OT·0:39
End of OT
LA 1·BOS 2
- OT·0:39
Charlie McAvoy Goal (7) Backhand, assists: David Pastrnak (53), Mark Kastelic (9)
· ·
LA 1·BOS 2
- OT·0:30
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- OT·0:28
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- OT·0:00
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·19:53
Drew Doughty Slap Shot Wide Right
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·19:45
Giveaway by Adrian Kempe
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·19:20
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·19:20
Goalie Stopped
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·19:19
Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·18:28
Adrian Kempe hit Marat Khusnutdinov
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·18:09
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·18:09
Goalie Stopped
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·18:08
Tanner Jeannot Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·18:04
Mark Kastelic Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·17:43
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Mark Kastelic
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·17:43
Goalie Stopped
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·17:41
Fraser Minten Snap Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·16:31
Giveaway by Morgan Geekie
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·16:21
Elias Lindholm Batted Failed Bank Attempt
· ·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·16:19
Elias Lindholm Tip-In High and Wide Left
· ·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·16:06
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·16:06
Goalie Stopped
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·16:04
Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Scott Laughton
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·16:03
Charlie McAvoy Snap Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·15:43
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Scott Laughton
· ·
LA 1·BOS 1
- 3rd·15:43
Quinton Byfield Holding the stick against Elias Lindholm
· ·
LA 1·BOS 1
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
BOS
Home
16
Shots
23
0.0
PCT
0.0
13
PIM
9
22
Faceoffs W
27
17
Blocks
13
12
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
4
Betting line
BOS -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +136/BOS -162
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · CSKATE MPH23.092
Morgan GeekieBOS · CSHOT MPH88.989
Jonathan AspirotBOS · DSHOT MPH94.081
Tanner JeannotBOS · LWSHOT MPH86.679
Elias LindholmBOS · CSHOT MPH86.478
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · BOS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-162
Close price
-162
Open no-vig
59.3%
Close no-vig
59.3%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit
Player projections
BOS vs LA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
141
projections · 126 high confidence
Shots on goal
- David PastrnakBOS3.2± 2.2high
- Alex LaferriereLA3.0± 1.6high
- Quinton ByfieldLA3.0± 2.2high
Goals
- Morgan GeekieBOS0.6± 0.9high
- Adrian KempeLA0.5± 0.7high
- Quinton ByfieldLA0.4± 0.7high
Points
- David PastrnakBOS1.1± 1.1high
- Morgan GeekieBOS0.9± 1.2high
- Alex LaferriereLA0.8± 0.8high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands