Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in NSH at SEA?

The model favors SEA, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2NSH

NSH

29-27-8

SEA

29-25-9

NHLTue, Mar 10FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasSEA -110

NSH · top performer

Steven Stamkos

C · #91

1Points

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

Matty Beniers

C · #10

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	18:25
F. ForsbergLW · #9	0	0	-2	2	1	0	0	19:34
E. HaulaLW · #56	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	18:03
T. JostC · #17	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	9:52
J. KemellRW · #25	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7:11
Z. L'HeureuxLW · #68	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	14:51
J. MarchessaultRW · #81	0	2	2	1	1	0	0	17:56
R. O'ReillyC · #90	0	1	1	2	1	2	0	19:39
R. SchaeferLW · #49	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:09
S. StamkosC · #91	1	0	2	3	1	0	0	19:20
F. SvechkovC · #40	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	11:32
M. WoodRW · #71	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	12:11

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BarronD · #20	0	0	0	0	1	0	7	10:45
N. HagueD · #41	0	1	2	0	2	1	0	24:31
R. JosiD · #59	0	0	-1	4	0	2	0	24:42
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	22:06
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	23:24
R. UfkoD · #85	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:05

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SarosG · #74	45	2	43	.956	59:44

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BeniersC · #10	1	0	-1	3	0	0	5	17:58
B. CattonC · #27	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	14:27
J. EberleRW · #7	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	20:21
F. GaudreauC · #89	0	0	-1	7	1	1	0	17:15
K. KakkoRW · #84	1	0	1	3	0	0	2	14:30
J. McCannLW · #19	0	1	-1	4	2	0	0	19:26
J. MelansonRW · #63	0	0	-2	1	3	0	0	8:25
B. MeyersC · #59	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	8:51
C. StephensonC · #9	0	0	-1	2	0	2	0	19:55
E. TolvanenRW · #20	0	0	0	5	6	5	0	16:41
R. WintertonC · #26	0	0	-2	2	2	1	0	9:28
S. WrightC · #51	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	14:26

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. DunnD · #29	0	1	-2	2	0	1	0	21:54
R. EvansD · #41	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	17:28
A. LarssonD · #6	0	0	-1	2	1	3	0	19:31
R. LindgrenD · #55	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	19:42
B. MontourD · #62	0	0	-1	3	1	3	0	24:42
J. OleksiakD · #24	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	14:49

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DaccordG · #35	26	3	23	.885	58:11

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 2

NSH1@

SEA4

Mar 11

NSH4@

SEA2today

Mar 20

SEA1@

NSH3

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSH-11052%

SEA-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 29 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat SEA 4-2. S. Stamkos led the way — 1 G · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	3	1	4
SEA	2	0	0	2

Period scoring

NSH won 2 · SEA won 1

NSH

SEA

Play-by-play · 346 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NSH 4·SEA 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NSH 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:55
Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
NSH 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:55
Steven Stamkos Goal (31) Wrist Shot, assists: Nicolas Hague (10)
·
NSH 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:50
Giveaway by Chandler Stephenson
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:29
Jonathan Marchessault Backhand Wide Right
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:24
Vince Dunn Slap Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:19
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:19
Icing
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:26
Ryan O'Reilly Wrist Shot Wide Left
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:25
Giveaway by Brandon Montour
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:06
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:06
Icing
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:02
Jared McCann hit Brady Skjei
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:55
Jared McCann Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:49
Brady Skjei Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:48
Matty Beniers faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:48
Icing
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:35
Jamie Oleksiak hit Filip Forsberg
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:30
Shane Wright faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:30
Icing
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:24
Takeaway by Berkly Catton
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:17
Ryker Evans hit Roman Josi
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:00
Steven Stamkos hit Ryker Evans
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:31
Giveaway by Adam Larsson
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:25
Freddy Gaudreau Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:13
Brady Skjei hit Freddy Gaudreau
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·15:09
Nicolas Hague shot blocked by Jordan Eberle
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·14:43
Jordan Eberle Backhand Hit Left Post
·
NSH 3·SEA 2
3rd·14:41
Erik Haula faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
NSH 3·SEA 2

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH -110/SEA -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 4–2.

NSH +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

58.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
58.1%
P(SEA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
58.1%
P(SEA win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
58.1%
P(SEA win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-110

Close price

-110

Open no-vig

50.0%

Close no-vig

50.0%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in NSH at SEA?: The model favors SEA, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

Nashville PredatorsSeattle Kraken

Elsewhere in the NHL