Live · 3
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+2NSH
NSH

NSH

29-27-8

42
SEA

SEA

29-25-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 10FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasSEA -110

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 4–2.

NSH +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Jonathan Marchessault

Jonathan Marchessault

RW · #81

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

SEA
Matty Beniers

Matty Beniers

C · #10

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
2
NSH29-27-8SEA29-25-9
NSH

NSH

29-27-8

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SEA

SEA

29-25-9

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

7

PIM

7

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 2NSHNSH1@SEASEA4
Mar 11NSHNSH4@SEASEA2today
Mar 20SEASEA1@NSHNSH3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH-11052%
SEASEA-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat SEA 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH0314
SEA2002

Period scoring

NSH won 2 · SEA won 1

0
2

1

3
0

2

1
0

3

NSH
SEA

Play-by-play · 346 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 4·SEA 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 4·SEA 2

  3. 3rd·19:55

    Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Shane Wright

    ·

    NSH 4·SEA 2

  4. 3rd·19:55

    Steven Stamkos Goal (31) Wrist Shot, assists: Nicolas Hague (10)

    ·

    NSH 4·SEA 2

  5. 3rd·19:50

    Giveaway by Chandler Stephenson

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  6. 3rd·19:29

    Jonathan Marchessault Backhand Wide Right

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  7. 3rd·19:24

    Vince Dunn Slap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  8. 3rd·19:19

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  9. 3rd·19:19

    Icing

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  10. 3rd·18:26

    Ryan O'Reilly Wrist Shot Wide Left

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  11. 3rd·18:25

    Giveaway by Brandon Montour

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  12. 3rd·18:06

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  13. 3rd·18:06

    Icing

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  14. 3rd·18:02

    Jared McCann hit Brady Skjei

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  15. 3rd·17:55

    Jared McCann Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  16. 3rd·17:49

    Brady Skjei Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  17. 3rd·17:48

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  18. 3rd·17:48

    Icing

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  19. 3rd·17:35

    Jamie Oleksiak hit Filip Forsberg

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  20. 3rd·17:30

    Shane Wright faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  21. 3rd·17:30

    Icing

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  22. 3rd·17:24

    Takeaway by Berkly Catton

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  23. 3rd·17:17

    Ryker Evans hit Roman Josi

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  24. 3rd·17:00

    Steven Stamkos hit Ryker Evans

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  25. 3rd·16:31

    Giveaway by Adam Larsson

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  26. 3rd·16:25

    Freddy Gaudreau Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  27. 3rd·16:13

    Brady Skjei hit Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  28. 3rd·15:09

    Nicolas Hague shot blocked by Jordan Eberle

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  29. 3rd·14:43

    Jordan Eberle Backhand Hit Left Post

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

  30. 3rd·14:41

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    NSH 3·SEA 2

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

27

Shots

45

0.0

PCT

0.0

7

PIM

7

35

Faceoffs W

34

8

Blocks

18

13

Giveaways

14

5

Takeaways

7

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH -110/SEA -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 24 skaters with EDGE
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-110

Close price

-110

Open no-vig

50.0%

Close no-vig

50.0%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR