ORL
45-36
CHI
31-50
Recap · NBA
rlando Magic went into Chicago Bulls and beat them, 127–103. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ORL -16.5 cashed (won by 24). Total stayed UNDER 246.5 by 16.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
ORL · top performer
Jamal Cain
F · #8
20
Pts
8
Reb
2
Ast
CHI · top performer
Tre Jones
G · #30
23
Pts
4
Reb
4
Ast
NBA · Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 27 | 14 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-6 | +21 | 9 | 7 | |
| 23 | 25 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 6-9 | +12 | 2 | 4 | |
| 25 | 11 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | +19 | 6 | 0 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1-4 | — | — | +4 | 1 | 4 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4-11 | 4-9 | — | +13 | 1 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 25 | 20 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | +15 | 8 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | — | +18 | 3 | 6 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 17 | 15 | 6-7 | — | 3-3 | +4 | 11 | 0 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1-2 | — | 1-1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 21 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | — | +8 | 1 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | +4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 8 | 3-12 | 2-7 | — | +1 | 3 | 2 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-5 | — | — | +1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 127 | 49-94 | 13-37 | 16-24 | 47 | 33 | ||
| DNP: M. Wagner | ||||||||
DNP: M. Wagner
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 27 | 14 | 6-17 | 0-9 | 2-3 | -18 | 8 | 3 | |
| 39 | 15 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | -22 | 7 | 4 | |
| 32 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-4 | -3 | 9 | 5 | |
| 27 | 12 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-5 | -28 | 2 | 4 | |
| 26 | 23 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 5-5 | -5 | 4 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 27 | 8 | 3-10 | 2-6 | — | -24 | 4 | 0 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | — | -2 | 3 | 2 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-1 | -2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 27 | 13 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | -7 | 4 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -9 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team | 103 | 38-87 | 10-39 | 17-26 | 42 | 25 | ||
| DNP: Z. Collins, A. Simons | ||||||||
DNP: Z. Collins, A. Simons
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
44
33
Ast
25
Season series
Series tied 2-2
CHI110@ORL98CHI120@ORL125ORL114@CHI121ORL127@CHI103todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ORL -16.5
Between 10 and —
Total
246.5
High-scoring · +20.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ORL-135093%CHI+80011%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
16.5
0.0 since open
Total
246.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 1:01
ORLJ. Cain
FGame leader · 25 min
20 PTS · 8 REB · 2 AST
CHIT. Jones
GGame leader · 26 min
23 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
ORL beat CHI 127-103. J. Cain led with 20 PTS, 8 REB, 2 AST. ORL outscored the other side 36-27 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs ORL
Starters vs bench
production by unitORLstarters 50% of ptsStarters(5)
64 PTS · 19 REB · 19 AST
GS 49
Bench(9)
63 PTS · 28 REB · 14 AST
GS 64
CHIstarters 68% of ptsStarters(5)
70 PTS · 30 REB · 20 AST
GS 58
Bench(5)
33 PTS · 12 REB · 5 AST
GS 15
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 28 | 36 | 35 | 28 | 127 |
| CHI | 26 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 103 |
Period scoring
ORL won 4 · CHI won 0
Q1
Banchero 7
Jones 11
Q2
Cain 10
Buzelis 7
Q3
Suggs 12
Jones 10
Q4
Richardson 8
McClung 7
Shooting comparison
52%
49-94
FG
44%
38-87
35%
13-37
3PT
26%
10-39
67%
16-24
FT
65%
17-26
Play-by-play · 501 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
ORL 127·CHI 103
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
ORL 127·CHI 103
- Q4·15.1
Jase Richardson makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot (Noah Penda assists)
·
ORL 127·CHI 103
- Q4·30.9
Jevon Carter defensive rebound
ORL 125·CHI 103
- Q4·33.5
Yuki Kawamura misses 28-foot three point jumper
ORL 125·CHI 103
- Q4·45.6
Jevon Carter makes two point shot
ORL 125·CHI 103
- Q4·1:08
Leonard Miller makes 1-foot dunk (Yuki Kawamura assists)
·
ORL 123·CHI 103
- Q4·1:28
Jase Richardson makes 1-foot dunk (Jevon Carter assists)
·
ORL 123·CHI 101
- Q4·1:30
Mac McClung bad pass turnover (Jase Richardson steals)
·
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·1:43
Alex Morales out of bounds lost ball turnover
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·1:55
Colin Castleton defensive rebound
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·1:59
Lachlan Olbrich misses free throw 2 of 2
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·1:59
Bulls offensive team rebound
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·1:59
Lachlan Olbrich misses free throw 1 of 2
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·1:59
Colin Castleton loose ball foul
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·1:59
Bulls defensive team rebound
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·2:01
Noah Penda misses 24-foot three point jumper
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·2:13
Magic defensive team rebound
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·2:16
Mac McClung misses 27-foot three point jumper
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·2:27
Mac McClung defensive rebound
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·2:30
Jevon Carter misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·2:40
Mac McClung makes free throw 1 of 1
ORL 121·CHI 101
- Q4·2:40
Jase Richardson shooting foul
ORL 121·CHI 100
- Q4·2:40
Mac McClung makes 29-foot three point jumper (Lachlan Olbrich assists)
·
ORL 121·CHI 100
- Q4·2:51
Jevon Carter makes 21-foot pullup jump shot (Noah Penda assists)
·
ORL 121·CHI 97
- Q4·3:10
Mac McClung makes 28-foot three point jumper (Mouhamadou Gueye assists)
·
ORL 119·CHI 97
- Q4·3:30
Jase Richardson makes running dunk
ORL 119·CHI 94
- Q4·3:34
Mouhamadou Gueye lost ball turnover (Jase Richardson steals)
·
ORL 117·CHI 94
- Q4·3:47
Jase Richardson makes running layup (Jevon Carter assists)
·
ORL 117·CHI 94
- Q4·3:52
Yuki Kawamura lost ball turnover (Colin Castleton steals)
·
ORL 115·CHI 94
Team stats
ORL
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
49-94
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
38-87
52
FG %
44
13-37
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
10-39
16-24
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-26
33
Assists
25
14
Turnovers
20
Betting line
ORL -16.5·O/U 246.5·ORL -1350/CHI +800
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort
Paolo BancheroORL · FDRIVES18.699
Franz WagnerORL · FDEFL4.398
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL · CCONT9.197
Jalen SuggsORL · GDEFL3.796
Desmond BaneORL · GDEFL2.686
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · ORL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs ORL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
170
projections · 145 high confidence
Points
- Paolo BancheroORL23.9± 9.4high
- Desmond BaneORL18.8± 7.4high
- Franz WagnerORL18.1± 4.3high
Rebounds
- Paolo BancheroORL8.3± 2.3high
- Josh GiddeyCHI8.1± 4.3high
- Wendell Carter Jr.ORL7.4± 4.7high
Assists
- Josh GiddeyCHI9.9± 4.4high
- Paolo BancheroORL6.0± 2.3high
- Tre JonesCHI5.2± 2.9high
Blocks
- Matas BuzelisCHI1.5± 1.4high
- Goga BitadzeORL1.4± 1.2high
- Wendell Carter Jr.ORL1.3± 0.7high
Steals
- Jalen SuggsORL1.8± 1.5high
- Collin SextonCHI1.6± 1.3high
- Anthony BlackORL1.5± 1.8high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
ORL
league avg
CHI
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶54.7%
45.9%
FG%
47.0
▶46.9%
114.2
PPG
114.9
▶116.3
26.0
Assists / G
25.0
▶28.5
13.7
Turnovers / G
14.0
14.6