NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+46UTAH

MEM

25-56

101147

UTAH

22-59

NBAFri, Apr 10FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasUTAH -4.5

Recap · NBA

tah Jazz held off Memphis Grizzlies, 147–101. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

UTAH -4.5 cashed (won by 46). Total cleared the 247.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

MEM · top performer

Adama Bal

G · #72

15.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

UTAH · top performer

Bez Mbeng

G · #21

32.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. WhiteheadF · #0	24	21	8-18	3-10	2-2	-7	3	0
T. OkaniF · #5	42	20	9-22	2-8	—	-44	2	2
L. WilliamsonG · #55	48	13	5-19	2-13	1-1	-46	13	3
J. MashackG · #21	48	13	6-13	0-2	1-2	-46	15	14
A. BalG · #72	38	18	6-12	3-8	3-3	-42	2	4
Bench
R. RupertG · #32	40	16	7-25	1-11	1-1	-45	12	4
Team		101	41-109	11-52	8-9		47	27
DNP: T. Gibson, O. Prosper, C. Coward, G. Jackson, C. Spencer, J. Small

DNP: T. Gibson, O. Prosper, C. Coward, G. Jackson, C. Spencer, J. Small

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
B. HinsonF · #2	35	30	12-19	4-9	2-2	+19	2	2
C. WilliamsF · #5	34	14	6-16	2-6	0-2	+37	3	5
O. TshiebweC · #34	28	16	7-11	—	2-4	+27	22	3
K. ChandlerG · #0	41	26	11-20	4-7	0-4	+37	5	10
A. BaileyG · #19	29	23	10-19	3-7	—	+29	10	2
Bench
J. KoncharG · #55	35	11	4-6	1-3	2-2	+41	11	10
B. MbengG · #21	38	27	12-19	1-3	2-3	+40	11	11
Team		147	62-110	15-35	8-17		64	43
DNP: K. Love, K. Filipowski, B. Sensabaugh, S. Mykhailiuk, I. Collier

DNP: K. Love, K. Filipowski, B. Sensabaugh, S. Mykhailiuk, I. Collier

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Dec 13

UTAH130@

MEM126

Dec 24

MEM137@

UTAH128

Feb 21

UTAH114@

MEM123

Apr 11

MEM101@

UTAH147today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTAH -4.5

Half-pt below key 5

Total

247.5

High-scoring · +21.5 vs avg

Moneyline

MEM+15040%

UTAH-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTAH -4.5↗SpreadBet UTAH -4.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

4.5

0.0 since open

Total

247.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowMEM ↔ UTAH

Biggest swing: 19pp · 2nd Quarter · 9:56

MEM

A. Bal

Game leader · 38 min

18 PTS · 2 REB · 4 AST

UTAH

B. Mbeng

Game leader · 38 minTriple-double

27 PTS · 11 REB · 11 AST

How it ended

UTAH beat MEM 147-101. B. Mbeng stuffed the line with 27 PTS, 11 REB, and 11 AST. UTAH outscored the other side 41-22 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

UTAH vs MEM

Starters vs bench

production by unit

MEMstarters 84% of pts

Starters(5)

85 PTS · 35 REB · 23 AST

GS 56

Bench(1)

16 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST

GS 8

UTAHstarters 74% of pts

Starters(5)

109 PTS · 42 REB · 22 AST

GS 92

Bench(2)

38 PTS · 22 REB · 21 AST

GS 54

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

MEM2nd Quarter · 9:32 · 36-39

+8pp→ 41% WP

Oscar Tshiebwe · shooting foul

MEM2nd Quarter · 9:56 · 34-37

+19pp→ 35% WP

(09:56) [Grizzlies] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL REPLAYCENTER)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
MEM	30	22	22	27	101
UTAH	33	41	36	37	147

Period scoring

MEM won 0 · UTAH won 4

Whitehead 12

Chandler 12

Williamson 7

Tshiebwe 14

Bal 8

Chandler 9

Okani 13

Bailey 11

MEM

UTAH

Shooting comparison

MEM

UTAH

38%

41-109

56%

62-110

21%

11-52

3PT

43%

15-35

89%

8-9

47%

8-17

Play-by-play · 472 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·16.9
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·16.9
Oscar Tshiebwe blocks Dariq Whitehead's two point shot
·
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·16.9
Dariq Whitehead offensive rebound
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·22.2
Lucas Williamson misses 24-foot running jump shot
·
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·26.6
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·28.3
Oscar Tshiebwe misses 9-foot turnaround jump shot
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·54.6
Toby Okani makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jahmai Mashack assists)
·
MEM 101·UTAH 147
Q4·1:03
Oscar Tshiebwe traveling turnover
MEM 98·UTAH 147
Q4·1:09
Bez Mbeng defensive rebound
MEM 98·UTAH 147
Q4·1:11
Oscar Tshiebwe blocks Rayan Rupert 's 5-foot driving layup
·
MEM 98·UTAH 147
Q4·1:19
Oscar Tshiebwe makes free throw 2 of 2
MEM 98·UTAH 147
Q4·1:19
Oscar Tshiebwe makes free throw 1 of 2
MEM 98·UTAH 146
Q4·1:19
Rayan Rupert shooting foul
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:19
Oscar Tshiebwe offensive rebound
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:19
Oscar Tshiebwe misses driving layup
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:30
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:32
Rayan Rupert misses 25-foot three point jumper
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:46
Oscar Tshiebwe enters the game for Ace Bailey
·
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:46
Jazz Full timeout
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:46
Ace Bailey out of bounds bad pass turnover
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:50
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:54
Dariq Whitehead misses 31-foot running jump shot
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·1:59
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·2:01
John Konchar misses 23-foot three point jumper
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·2:20
Dariq Whitehead makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jahmai Mashack assists)
·
MEM 98·UTAH 145
Q4·2:36
Blake Hinson makes 2-foot layup (Kennedy Chandler assists)
·
MEM 95·UTAH 145
Q4·2:46
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
MEM 95·UTAH 143
Q4·2:48
Rayan Rupert misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
MEM 95·UTAH 143

Team stats

MEM

Away

Stat

UTAH

Home

41-109

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

62-110

FG %

11-52

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

15-35

8-9

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

8-17

Assists

Turnovers

Betting line

UTAH -4.5·O/U 247.5·MEM +150/UTAH -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · MEM favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

UTAH vs MEM.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

175

projections · 125 high confidence

Points

Lauri MarkkanenUTAH
24.2± 5.0high
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH
21.4± 8.8high
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH
20.7± 4.8high

Rebounds

Jusuf NurkicUTAH
11.4± 4.1high
Zach EdeyMEM
11.3± 7.8low
Walker KesslerUTAH
10.7± 2.2low

Assists

Ja MorantMEM
8.1± 3.9high
Isaiah CollierUTAH
6.6± 2.5high
Kennedy ChandlerUTAH
6.5± 2.2medium

Blocks

Zach EdeyMEM
1.9± 2.3low
Walker KesslerUTAH
1.8± 2.5low
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH
1.3± 1.3high

Steals

Bez MbengUTAH
2.5± 1.7medium
Scotty Pippen Jr.MEM
1.9± 2.1low
John KoncharUTAH
1.9± 1.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

MEM

league avg

UTAH

53.3%

Effective FG%

54.4

53.6%

45.6%

FG%

47.0

▶

46.7%

114.7

PPG

114.9

▶

117.6

27.8

Assists / G

25.0

▶

29.6

14.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR