PHI
44-37
IND
19-62
Recap · NBA
hiladelphia 76ers went into Indiana Pacers and beat them, 105–94.
IND +14.5 cashed (PHI won by 11). Total stayed UNDER 234.5 by 35.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
PHI · top performer
Tyrese Maxey
G · #0
32
Pts
8
Reb
5
Ast
IND · top performer
Jarace Walker
F · #5
17
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
NBA · Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 33 | 21 | 9-19 | 3-9 | 0-1 | +7 | 5 | 2 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-3 | — | 1-2 | -13 | 6 | 1 | |
| 32 | 15 | 7-16 | 1-4 | — | +6 | 7 | 1 | |
| 39 | 32 | 11-28 | 1-10 | 9-10 | +18 | 8 | 5 | |
| 40 | 16 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | +11 | 9 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 16 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | — | +2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | — | +3 | 3 | 0 | |
| 29 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +24 | 16 | 1 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | -3 | 3 | 1 | |
| Team | 105 | 42-104 | 5-29 | 16-19 | 58 | 17 | ||
| DNP: T. Watford, M. Beauchamp, J. Walker, D. Terry, K. Lowry, T. Martin | ||||||||
DNP: T. Watford, M. Beauchamp, J. Walker, D. Terry, K. Lowry, T. Martin
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 29 | 17 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | +3 | 4 | 2 | |
| 24 | 13 | 5-10 | 3-6 | — | +2 | 10 | 0 | |
| 31 | 15 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | +1 | 4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | — | -7 | 3 | 3 | |
| 27 | 16 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 19 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-5 | — | 0 | 7 | 2 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -14 | 5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 8 | 3-9 | 2-8 | — | -13 | 10 | 2 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 | — | -11 | 4 | 3 | |
| 23 | 9 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | -16 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team | 94 | 33-88 | 14-50 | 14-16 | 52 | 25 | ||
| DNP: B. Sheppard | ||||||||
DNP: B. Sheppard
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
40
FG %
38
17
Ast
25
Season series
PHI wins series 4-0
IND105@PHI115IND104@PHI113PHI135@IND114PHI105@IND94todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHI -14.5
Between 10 and —
Total
234.5
High-scoring · +8.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI-110092%IND+70013%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 10 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
14.5
0.0 since open
Total
234.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 12pp · 3rd Quarter · 4:35
PHIT. Maxey
GGame leader · 39 min30-point game
32 PTS · 8 REB · 5 AST
INDJ. Walker
FGame leader · 29 min
17 PTS · 4 REB · 2 AST
How it ended
PHI beat IND 105-94. T. Maxey paced them with 32 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
IND vs PHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHIstarters 83% of ptsStarters(5)
87 PTS · 35 REB · 14 AST
GS 70
Bench(4)
18 PTS · 23 REB · 3 AST
GS 15
INDstarters 72% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 25 REB · 14 AST
GS 49
Bench(5)
26 PTS · 27 REB · 11 AST
GS 18
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJay Huff · makes 27-foot three point jumper (Jalen Slawson assists)
Tyrese Maxey · makes free throw 1 of 2
Andre Drummond · misses 4-foot tip shot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 28 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 105 |
| IND | 21 | 30 | 26 | 17 | 94 |
Period scoring
PHI won 2 · IND won 1
Q1
Maxey 8
Jackson 6
Q2
Maxey 7
Peter 9
Q3
Maxey 11
Thompson 12
Q4
Maxey 5
Jackson 7
Shooting comparison
40%
42-104
FG
38%
33-88
17%
5-29
3PT
28%
14-50
84%
16-19
FT
88%
14-16
Play-by-play · 495 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·4.0
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·6.6
Quenton Jackson misses 24-foot three point jumper
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·9.8
Tyrese Maxey lost ball turnover (Ethan Thompson steals)
·
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·11.3
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·14.1
Ethan Thompson misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·24.2
Tyrese Maxey makes 13-foot turnaround jump shot
PHI 105·IND 94
- Q4·45.1
Kobe Brown makes 25-foot three point jumper (Quenton Jackson assists)
·
PHI 103·IND 94
- Q4·52.7
Jay Huff defensive rebound
PHI 103·IND 91
- Q4·55.5
Paul George misses 18-foot step back jumpshot
PHI 103·IND 91
- Q4·1:09
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
PHI 103·IND 91
- Q4·1:12
Kobe Brown misses 24-foot three point jumper
PHI 103·IND 91
- Q4·1:16
Paul George makes 13-foot step back jumpshot
PHI 103·IND 91
- Q4·1:38
Quenton Jackson makes running layup
PHI 101·IND 91
- Q4·1:41
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
PHI 101·IND 89
- Q4·1:43
Jay Huff blocks VJ Edgecombe 's 2-foot driving layup
·
PHI 101·IND 89
- Q4·2:00
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
PHI 101·IND 89
- Q4·2:03
Jay Huff misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
PHI 101·IND 89
- Q4·2:14
Jay Huff defensive rebound
PHI 101·IND 89
- Q4·2:17
Tyrese Maxey misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
PHI 101·IND 89
- Q4·2:36
Jay Huff makes two point shot (Jarace Walker assists)
· ·
PHI 101·IND 89
- Q4·2:58
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tyrese Maxey assists)
·
PHI 101·IND 87
−0.5pp
- Q4·3:18
Paul George defensive rebound
PHI 98·IND 87
- Q4·3:21
Jay Huff misses 24-foot three point jumper
PHI 98·IND 87
- Q4·3:27
Kelly Oubre Jr. enters the game for Justin Edwards
·
PHI 98·IND 87
- Q4·3:28
Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
PHI 98·IND 87
- Q4·3:31
Quenton Jackson misses driving floating jump shot
PHI 98·IND 87
−0.6pp
- Q4·3:47
Jay Huff defensive rebound
PHI 98·IND 87
- Q4·3:50
VJ Edgecombe misses 12-foot pullup jump shot
PHI 98·IND 87
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
IND
Home
42-104
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
33-88
40
FG %
38
5-29
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
14-50
16-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
14-16
17
Assists
25
8
Turnovers
21
Betting line
PHI -14.5·O/U 234.5·PHI -1100/IND +700
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort- Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599
Paul GeorgePHI · FDEFL3.595
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI · GDEFL3.192
Adem BonaPHI · CTS%63.890
VJ EdgecombePHI · GTOUCHES66.189
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · PHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
IND vs PHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 155 high confidence
Points
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI25.0± 6.5high
- Pascal SiakamIND23.8± 7.9high
Rebounds
- Ivica ZubacIND9.5± 4.1high
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
- Micah PotterIND6.1± 4.5high
Assists
- Andrew NembhardIND8.5± 4.7high
- Tyrese HaliburtonIND8.1± 4.3high
- T.J. McConnellIND6.2± 3.1high
Blocks
- Jay HuffIND1.9± 1.9high
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Adem BonaPHI1.1± 1.3high
Steals
- Tyrese HaliburtonIND1.6± 1.3high
- Jalen SlawsonIND1.5± 1.7medium
- Paul GeorgePHI1.5± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
PHI
league avg
IND
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.3%
46.0%
FG%
47.0
45.8%
114.3
PPG
114.9
112.4
24.1
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.7
12.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
13.8