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FINAL+11NY
NY

NY

49-28

130119
MEM

MEM

25-51

NBAWed, Apr 1FinalSeriesNY wins series 2-0VegasNY -13.5

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks went into Memphis Grizzlies and beat them, 130–119.

MEM +13.5 cashed (NY won by 11). Total cleared the 224.5 OVER by 24.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA · New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies · final

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

DNP: T. Jemison III, J. Sochan, D. Jones, P. Dadiet, K. McCullar Jr.

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

55

FG %

51

36

Ast

27

Season series

NY wins series 2-0

Nov 12MEMMEM120@NYNY133
Apr 2NYNY130@MEMMEM119today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -13.5

Between 10 and

Total

224.5

Standard · -1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NYNY-90090%
MEMMEM+60014%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

13.5

0.0 since open

Total

224.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowNY MEM

Biggest swing: 5pp · 3rd Quarter · 2:48

NYNY
O. Anunoby

O. Anunoby

F

Game leader · 40 minDouble-double

25 PTS · 13 REB · 3 AST

MEMMEM
G. Jackson

G. Jackson

F

Game leader · 25 min

20 PTS · 3 REB · 4 AST

How it ended

NY beat MEM 130-119. O. Anunoby paced them with 25 PTS, 13 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 48-30 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

MEM vs NY

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
NYNYstarters 68% of pts

Starters(5)

89 PTS · 36 REB · 25 AST

GS 77

Bench(5)

41 PTS · 13 REB · 11 AST

GS 43

MEMMEMstarters 63% of pts

Starters(5)

75 PTS · 8 REB · 17 AST

GS 68

Bench(6)

44 PTS · 12 REB · 10 AST

GS 30

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
NY48312031130
MEM30322829119

Period scoring

NY won 2 · MEM won 2

48
30

Q1

Anunoby 7

Burton 8

31
32

Q2

Bridges 10

Jackson 7

20
28

Q3

Towns 4

Jackson 6

31
29

Q4

Anunoby 17

Spencer 7

NY
MEM

Shooting comparison

NY
MEM

55%

48-87

FG

51%

39-76

41%

13-32

3PT

44%

16-36

88%

21-24

FT

83%

25-30

Play-by-play · 471 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    NY 130·MEM 119

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    NY 130·MEM 119

  3. Q4·21.0

    OG Anunoby defensive rebound

    NY 130·MEM 119

  4. Q4·23.0

    Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses free throw 1 of 1

    NY 130·MEM 119

  5. Q4·23.0

    Jose Alvarado shooting foul

    NY 130·MEM 119

  6. Q4·23.0

    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes 4-foot two point shot (Cam Spencer assists)

    ·

    NY 130·MEM 119

  7. Q4·30.0

    Tyler Kolek enters the game for Karl-Anthony Towns

    ·

    NY 130·MEM 117

  8. Q4·30.0

    Jose Alvarado out of bounds lost ball turnover

    ·

    NY 130·MEM 117

  9. Q4·43.3

    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes 1-foot dunk (Cam Spencer assists)

    ·

    NY 130·MEM 117

  10. Q4·45.5

    Cam Spencer offensive rebound

    NY 130·MEM 115

  11. Q4·49.9

    Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses 26-foot three point jumper

    NY 130·MEM 115

  12. Q4·59.4

    Karl-Anthony Towns makes 1-foot driving dunk (Jose Alvarado assists)

    ·

    NY 130·MEM 115

  13. Q4·1:19

    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes 1-foot dunk (GG Jackson assists)

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 115

  14. Q4·1:24

    GG Jackson defensive rebound

    NY 128·MEM 113

  15. Q4·1:27

    Mikal Bridges misses 23-foot three point jumper

    NY 128·MEM 113

  16. Q4·1:47

    Cam Spencer makes free throw 2 of 2

    NY 128·MEM 113

  17. Q4·1:47

    Cedric Coward enters the game for Walter Clayton Jr.

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 112

  18. Q4·1:47

    Cam Spencer makes free throw 1 of 2

    NY 128·MEM 112

  19. Q4·1:47

    Jose Alvarado loose ball foul

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 111

  20. Q4·1:47

    Grizzlies offensive team rebound

    NY 128·MEM 111

  21. Q4·1:49

    GG Jackson misses 26-foot three point step back jumpshot

    NY 128·MEM 111

  22. Q4·2:10

    GG Jackson enters the game for Tyler Burton

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 111

  23. Q4·2:10

    Javon Small enters the game for Jahmai Mashack

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 111

  24. Q4·2:10

    Cam Spencer enters the game for Adama Bal

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 111

  25. Q4·2:10

    Olivier-Maxence Prosper enters the game for DeJon Jarreau

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 111

  26. Q4·2:10

    Grizzlies Full timeout

    NY 128·MEM 111

  27. Q4·2:11

    OG Anunoby makes 22-foot three point jumper (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)

    ·

    NY 128·MEM 111

  28. Q4·2:39

    Adama Bal makes 22-foot running jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)

    ·

    NY 125·MEM 111

  29. Q4·2:40

    Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound

    NY 125·MEM 108

  30. Q4·2:45

    DeJon Jarreau blocks OG Anunoby 's 3-foot running dunk

    ·

    NY 125·MEM 108

Team stats

NY

Away

Stat

MEM

Home

48-87

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

39-76

55

FG %

51

13-32

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

16-36

21-24

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

25-30

36

Assists

27

19

Turnovers

13

Betting line

NY -13.5·O/U 224.5·NY -900/MEM +600

DraftKings · via ESPN

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 8 players in cohort
  • Josh HartNY · G
    DEFL4.197
  • OG AnunobyNY · F
    CONT8.496
  • Karl-Anthony TownsNY · C
    CONT7.694
  • Ariel HukportiNY · C
    TS%61.980
  • Jordan ClarksonNY · G
    USG%20.871

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · NY favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MEM win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MEM win)

    34%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MEM win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MEM vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

180

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

  • Jalen BrunsonNY
    27.4± 9.6high
  • Ja MorantMEM
    19.6± 8.8high
  • Ty JeromeMEM
    18.9± 4.2medium

Rebounds

  • Zach EdeyMEM
    11.3± 7.8low
  • Karl-Anthony TownsNY
    10.8± 3.1high
  • Josh HartNY
    8.4± 3.0high

Assists

  • Ja MorantMEM
    8.1± 3.9high
  • Jalen BrunsonNY
    6.2± 3.2high
  • Cam SpencerMEM
    5.8± 2.9high

Blocks

  • Zach EdeyMEM
    1.9± 2.3low
  • OG AnunobyNY
    1.0± 1.0high
  • GG JacksonMEM
    0.9± 0.7high

Steals

  • Scotty Pippen Jr.MEM
    1.9± 2.1low
  • Taylor HendricksMEM
    1.5± 2.0high
  • Josh HartNY
    1.5± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

NY

NY

league avg

MEM

MEM

55.9%

Effective FG%

54.4

53.3%

48.0%

FG%

47.0

45.6%

116.4

PPG

114.9

114.7

27.0

Assists / G

25.0

27.8

12.7

Turnovers / G

14.0

14.6

Data via ESPN · hoopR