PHI
42-34
WSH
17-59
Recap · NBA
hiladelphia 76ers went into Washington Wizards and beat them, 153–131. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
PHI -14.5 cashed (won by 22). Total cleared the 239.5 OVER by 44.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
PHI · top performer
Paul George
F · #8
39
Pts
5
Reb
6
Ast
WSH · top performer
Anthony Gill
F · #16
21
Pts
6
Reb
6
Ast
NBA · Philadelphia 76ers at Washington Wizards · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 39 | 15-22 | 6-12 | 3-4 | +26 | 5 | 6 | |
| 22 | 6 | 3-3 | — | — | +34 | 3 | 2 | |
| 21 | 13 | 5-5 | — | 3-3 | +23 | 4 | 1 | |
| 34 | 28 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 3-4 | +28 | 2 | 9 | |
| 33 | 23 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | +29 | 3 | 10 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 3 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | -9 | 1 | 1 | |
| 24 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | — | -1 | 9 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | -1 | 3 | 1 | |
| 21 | 12 | 5-10 | 2-4 | — | -6 | 4 | 1 | |
| 23 | 12 | 5-10 | 2-4 | — | -13 | 4 | 1 | |
| Team | 153 | 61-99 | 17-35 | 14-16 | 41 | 37 | ||
| DNP: K. Lowry | ||||||||
DNP: K. Lowry
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 11 | 17 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | -2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 31 | 13 | 5-14 | 3-8 | — | -33 | 1 | 7 | |
| 19 | 12 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -32 | 2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 18 | 8-12 | 2-6 | — | -16 | 1 | 3 | |
| 24 | 8 | 3-11 | 2-5 | — | -23 | 4 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 35 | 21 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | -14 | 6 | 6 | |
| 21 | 17 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | +5 | 7 | 0 | |
| 23 | 11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | -1 | 4 | 3 | |
| 19 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | +2 | 5 | 2 | |
| 25 | 7 | 3-12 | 1-8 | — | +4 | 0 | 5 | |
| Team | 131 | 50-96 | 16-40 | 15-17 | 32 | 32 | ||
| DNP: K. George, A. Sarr | ||||||||
DNP: K. George, A. Sarr
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
62
FG %
52
37
Ast
32
Season series
PHI wins series 4-0
PHI139@WSH134WSH102@PHI121WSH110@PHI131PHI153@WSH131todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHI -14.5
Between 10 and —
Total
239.5
High-scoring · +13.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI-120092%WSH+75012%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
14.5
0.0 since open
Total
239.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 7pp · 2nd Quarter · 4:19
PHIP. George
FGame leader · 30 min30-point game
39 PTS · 5 REB · 6 AST
WSHA. Gill
FGame leader · 35 min30+ minutes, 0 turnovers
21 PTS · 6 REB · 6 AST
How it ended
PHI beat WSH 153-131. P. George led the way with 39 points and 6 assists. PHI outscored the other side 47-32 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
WSH vs PHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHIstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
109 PTS · 17 REB · 28 AST
GS 105
Bench(8)
44 PTS · 24 REB · 9 AST
GS 37
WSHstarters 52% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 10 REB · 16 AST
GS 46
Bench(5)
63 PTS · 22 REB · 16 AST
GS 62
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactBub Carrington · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tre Johnson assists)
Tre Johnson · misses 13-foot pullup jump shot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 35 | 38 | 47 | 33 | 153 |
| WSH | 29 | 42 | 32 | 28 | 131 |
Period scoring
PHI won 3 · WSH won 1
Q1
George 14
Vukcevic 10
Q2
Maxey 12
Gill 11
Q3
George 15
Gill 8
Q4
Edgecombe 7
Cooper 7
Shooting comparison
62%
61-99
FG
52%
50-96
49%
17-35
3PT
40%
16-40
88%
14-16
FT
88%
15-17
Play-by-play · 442 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 153·WSH 131
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 153·WSH 131
- Q4·1.3
shot clock turnover
PHI 153·WSH 131
- Q4·25.3
Sharife Cooper makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 153·WSH 131
- Q4·25.3
Sharife Cooper makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 153·WSH 130
- Q4·25.3
Cameron Payne personal foul
PHI 153·WSH 129
- Q4·29.9
Jabari Walker lost ball turnover (Jaden Hardy steals)
·
PHI 153·WSH 129
- Q4·35.4
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
PHI 153·WSH 129
- Q4·38.7
Jamir Watkins misses 23-foot three point jumper
PHI 153·WSH 129
- Q4·52.5
Justin Edwards makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 153·WSH 129
- Q4·52.5
Justin Edwards makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 152·WSH 129
- Q4·52.5
Jamir Watkins shooting foul
PHI 151·WSH 129
- Q4·1:09
Anthony Gill makes 2-foot dunk (Jaden Hardy assists)
·
PHI 151·WSH 129
- Q4·1:17
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
PHI 151·WSH 127
- Q4·1:20
Justin Edwards misses 23-foot three point jumper
PHI 151·WSH 127
- Q4·1:28
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
PHI 151·WSH 127
- Q4·1:31
Jaden Hardy misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
PHI 151·WSH 127
- Q4·1:42
MarJon Beauchamp makes 26-foot three pointer
PHI 151·WSH 127
- Q4·1:48
Will Riley makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaden Hardy assists)
·
PHI 148·WSH 127
- Q4·1:52
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
PHI 148·WSH 124
- Q4·1:57
Cameron Payne misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 148·WSH 124
- Q4·2:15
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
PHI 148·WSH 124
- Q4·2:18
Will Riley misses 27-foot three point jumper
PHI 148·WSH 124
- Q4·2:33
Trendon Watford makes running layup (MarJon Beauchamp assists)
·
PHI 148·WSH 124
- Q4·2:37
Justin Edwards defensive rebound
PHI 146·WSH 124
- Q4·2:39
Sharife Cooper misses driving layup
PHI 146·WSH 124
- Q4·2:59
Justin Edwards enters the game for VJ Edgecombe
·
PHI 146·WSH 124
- Q4·2:59
Jabari Walker enters the game for Adem Bona
·
PHI 146·WSH 124
- Q4·2:59
Trendon Watford enters the game for Dominick Barlow
·
PHI 146·WSH 124
- Q4·2:59
MarJon Beauchamp enters the game for Paul George
· ·
PHI 146·WSH 124
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
WSH
Home
61-99
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
50-96
62
FG %
52
17-35
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
16-40
14-16
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
15-17
37
Assists
32
10
Turnovers
11
Betting line
PHI -14.5·O/U 239.5·PHI -1200/WSH +750
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
4 of 7 players in cohort
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599- Paul GeorgePHI · FDEFL3.595
Adem BonaPHI · CTS%63.890
VJ EdgecombePHI · GTOUCHES66.189
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · PHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
WSH vs PHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 145 high confidence
Points
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI25.0± 6.5high
- Anthony DavisWSH20.5± 9.2high
Rebounds
- Anthony DavisWSH11.3± 4.3high
- Julian ReeseWSH10.5± 6.4low
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
Assists
- Trae YoungWSH8.1± 3.5medium
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Bub CarringtonWSH5.1± 1.9high
Blocks
- Anthony DavisWSH1.7± 1.5high
- Alex SarrWSH1.6± 1.4high
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
Steals
- Paul GeorgePHI1.5± 1.1high
- Julian ReeseWSH1.4± 1.7low
- Leaky BlackWSH1.4± 1.7medium
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
PHI
league avg
WSH
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶53.5%
46.0%
FG%
47.0
46.3%
114.3
PPG
114.9
112.9
24.1
Assists / G
25.0
▶25.0
12.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
15.1