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SEA#10 · American League
Seattle Mariners
53-57 (48.2%) · L2 · L10 3-7
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#13 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .503 · exp 55.3-54.7 vs act 53-57 · n=110 · luck -2.3W · thru 2026-07-31 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-07-26 → 2026-07-30 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 2 at TEX, 6-4, 2026-07-26. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 4 at TEX, 3-7, 2026-07-27. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 1 at LAD, 7-6, 2026-07-28. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at LAD, 2-4, 2026-07-29. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 4 at LAD, 2-6, 2026-07-30. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Randy Arozarena102 G.827
- 2Cole Young110 G.729
- 3Julio Rodríguez99 G.726
- 4Josh Naylor103 G.684
- 5J.P. Crawford87 G.675
Home runs
- 1Julio Rodríguez99 G16
- 2Randy Arozarena102 G13
- 3Cole Young110 G13
- 4J.P. Crawford87 G10
- 5Josh Naylor103 G8
RBI
- 1Cole Young110 G49
- 2Randy Arozarena102 G48
- 3Julio Rodríguez99 G46
- 4Josh Naylor103 G38
- 5J.P. Crawford87 G30
Batting average
- 1Randy Arozarena102 G.283
- 2Josh Naylor103 G.263
- 3Cole Young110 G.261
- 4Julio Rodríguez99 G.251
- 5J.P. Crawford87 G.212
Stolen bases
- 1Josh Naylor103 G21
- 2Randy Arozarena102 G20
- 3Julio Rodríguez99 G13
- 4Cole Young110 G3
- 5J.P. Crawford87 G1
ERA
- 1Emerson Hancock110.3 IP3.26
- 2Logan Gilbert125.7 IP3.44
- 3George Kirby120.0 IP3.98
- 4Bryan Woo120.3 IP4.56
WHIP
- 1Logan Gilbert125.7 IP0.99
- 2Emerson Hancock110.3 IP1.04
- 3Bryan Woo120.3 IP1.15
- 4George Kirby120.0 IP1.30
Strikeouts
- 1Logan Gilbert125.7 IP133
- 2Bryan Woo120.3 IP122
- 3George Kirby120.0 IP107
- 4Emerson Hancock110.3 IP102
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.230vs .244Below avg
OBP
.309vs .318Slight gap
SLG
.379vs .401Below avg
OPS
.688vs .720Slight gap
HR
129
R / G
4.0
K / G
8.6
Pitching
ERA
3.74vs 4.18Above avg
FIP (approx)
3.65vs 4.19Above avg
WHIP
1.19vs 1.30Above avg
K / 9
8.7vs 8.5Slight edge
BB / 9
2.5vs 3.4Above avg
BAA
.241
HR / 9
1.0
GP
110
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
3.9 avg / 4.5 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
3.70
Blowout wins (4+)
6
Shutout games
3
Form last 30
12-18
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 3.7 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-06-24 → 2026-07-30
Record
12-18
Win pct
40.0%
Avg margin
-0.5
Longest W
3
Longest L
5
Upset wins
4
Favorite losses
5
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
175 games · 2025-08-01 → 2026-07-30
Peak 1562 · Now 1481 · Trough 1480
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Acquired RHP Connor Wilford from the Lexington Legends (Atlantic League).
- Jun 11
Designated RHP Domingo Gonzalez for assignment. Selected the contract of RHP Michael Rucker from Tacoma (PCL).
- Jun 10
Designated RHP Yosver Zulueta for assignment. Reinstated 3B Miles Mastrobuoni from the 60-day IL. Placed RHP Matt Brash on the 15-day IL retroactive to June 9. Optioned 2B Ryan Bliss to Tacoma (PCL). Recalled RHP Domingo Gonzalez from Tacoma. Acquired RHP Carson Fulmer from Pittsburgh for cash considerations.
- Jun 9
Sent 3B Will Wilson and C Cal Raleigh on rehab assignments to Tacoma (PCL). Recalled RHP Nick Davila from Tacoma. Placed RHP Cooper Criswell on the 15-day IL.
- Jun 8
Placed SS J.P. Crawford on the 10-day IL, retroactive to June 6. Recalled 2B Ryan Bliss from Tacoma (PCL).
- Jun 7
Sent C Cal Raleigh on a rehab assignment to Everett (NWL).
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
A. Hoppe
RP · #48
A. Munoz
RP · #75
B. Woo
SP · #22
B. Miller
SP · #50
C. Raleigh
C · #29
C. Wilcox
RP · #43
C. Young
2B · #2
C. Emerson
SS · #4
D. Canzone
DH · #8
E. Bazardo
RP · #83
E. Hancock
SP · #26
G. Speier
RP · #55
G. Kirby
SP · #68
J. Ferrer
RP · #45
J. Naylor
1B · #12
J. Rodriguez
CF · #44
L. Rivas
3B · #76
L. Gilbert
SP · #36
L. Castillo
SP · #58
L. Raley
RF · #20
M. Rucker
RP · #38
M. Garver
C · #18
R. Arozarena
LF · #56
R. Refsnyder
DH · #30
V. Robles
RF · #10
W. Wilson
3B · #31