Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Jul 20, 2026

FINAL+8SEA

CIN

45-54

SEA

51-50

T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington

35,929 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

SEA spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 7.5

open O/U 7.5

SEA no-vig %

58.3%

open 58.9% · -0.7

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SEA favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

58.8%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
58.7%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
58.9%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
58.6%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.12 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

CIN

no live price

SEA

no live price

Book	CIN	SEA	Best edge
DraftKings	+135	-177	+1.2

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

SEA vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

133

projections · 113 high confidence

Strikeouts

Logan GilbertSEA
6.7± 2.0high
Hunter GreeneCIN
6.6± 4.7low
Chase BurnsCIN
6.5± 2.5high

Hits

Cole YoungSEA
1.5± 1.1high
Nathaniel LoweCIN
1.2± 1.2high
Elly De La CruzCIN
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Cole YoungSEA
2.2± 1.5high
Jose TrevinoCIN
2.0± 3.2high
Dominic CanzoneSEA
2.0± 2.9high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
1.0± 1.4high
Cal RaleighSEA
0.8± 1.0high
Dominic CanzoneSEA
0.7± 1.5high

Earned runs

Hunter GreeneCIN
4.2± 4.1low
Bryan WooSEA
3.2± 2.4high
Rhett LowderCIN
2.7± 3.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

SEA

.708

OPS

◀

.719

.689

.310

OBP

.318

.310

4.16

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.02

4.41

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.75

1.41

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.19

8.1

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

CIN 0 · SEA 8 (by 8)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +9pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SEA	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	1	8

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Team pages

Cincinnati RedsSeattle Mariners

Elsewhere in the MLB

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. De La CruzSS	.279	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. Stewart1B	.251	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. BledayLF	.239	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. Steer1B	.245	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. SuarezDH	.208	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. StephensonC	.244	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. MyersCF	.262	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
E. Arroyo2B	.241	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
K. Hayes3B	.143	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
N. MarteRF	.195	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		28	0	3	0	0	2	9

Player

.279

.251

.239

.245

.208

.244

.262

.241

.143

.195

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AbbottSP	6.0	4	1	0	2	6	100
P. JohnsonRP	0.1	4	4	4	0	0	16
C. FergusonRP	0.2	3	2	2	1	1	12
C. PettyRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	13
Team	8.0	13	8	7	3	7	141

Player

A. AbbottSP

6.0

100

P. JohnsonRP

0.1

C. FergusonRP

0.2

C. PettyRP

1.0

Team

8.0

141

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. ArozarenaLF	.284	3	1	2	0	0	1	0
J. RodriguezCF	.256	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
D. CanzoneDH	.261	4	1	1	0	0	1	1
C. RaleighC	.163	5	1	1	5	1	0	2
J. Naylor1B	.253	5	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Young2B	.257	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
V. RoblesRF	.240	4	2	4	0	0	0	0
B. Kennedy1B	.111	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. EmersonSS	.197	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
We. Wilson3B	.227	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
L. RaleyRF	.232	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
Team		36	8	13	8	1	3	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. KirbySP	6.0	3	0	0	1	6	80
N. DavilaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	14
C. WilcoxRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	21
M. RuckerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12
Team	9.0	3	0	0	2	9	127

Team

CIN

SEA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

SEA vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs CIN.

3 sub-models, blended.