Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Jul 2, 2026

FINAL+1SEA

LAA

36-52

SEA

45-43

T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington

36,019 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

SEA spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 7.5

open O/U 7.0 · +0.5

SEA no-vig %

65.5%

open 64.5% · +1.0

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SEA favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

64.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
64.2%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
63.9%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
64.4%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.21 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+2.0pp

best edge · LAA · DraftKings

LAA

★ best

+177DraftKings

edge +2.0pp · implied 33.9%

SEA

no live price

Book	LAA	SEA	Best edge
DraftKings	+177★	-237	+2.0

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

SEA vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 112 high confidence

Strikeouts

Logan GilbertSEA
6.7± 2.0high
Reid DetmersLAA
6.4± 2.0high
Bryan WooSEA
6.1± 1.9high

Hits

Cole YoungSEA
1.5± 1.1high
Mike TroutLAA
1.1± 1.2high
Josh NaylorSEA
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Cole YoungSEA
2.2± 1.5high
Dominic CanzoneSEA
2.0± 2.9high
Randy ArozarenaSEA
2.0± 2.5high

RBIs

Cal RaleighSEA
0.8± 1.0high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
0.7± 0.9high
Dominic CanzoneSEA
0.7± 1.5high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.9± 3.0low
Bryan WooSEA
3.2± 2.4high
George KirbySEA
2.6± 2.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

SEA

.695

OPS

.719

.689

.313

OBP

.318

.310

4.20

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.02

4.49

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.75

1.37

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.19

9.1

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

LAA 0 · SEA 1 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +14pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.225	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. Schanuel1B	.265	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
D. Guzman3B	.267	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. SolerDH	.217	4	0	1	0	0	0	3
W. MecklerLF	.282	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. AdellRF	.243	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. Peraza2B	.248	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. LoweLF	.212	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	.228	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SiriCF	.264	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Walton3B	.307	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	0	4	0	0	1	10

Player

.225

.265

.267

.217

.282

.243

.248

.212

.228

.264

.307

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. UrenaSP	5.2	1	1	1	4	6	107
S. Natera Jr.RP	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	19
S. BachmanRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12
Team	8.0	2	1	1	4	10	138

Player

W. UrenaSP

5.2

107

S. Natera Jr.RP

1.1

S. BachmanRP

1.0

Team

8.0

138

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J.P. CrawfordSS	.214	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. RodriguezCF	.259	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. CanzoneDH	.269	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
R. ArozarenaLF	.284	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. Naylor1B	.254	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. RaleighC	.163	2	0	0	1	0	1	2
L. RaleyRF	.234	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. Young2B	.259	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. EmersonSS	.213	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. RoblesRF	.233	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
We. Wilson3B	.154	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		26	1	2	1	0	4	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. MillerSP	7.0	2	0	0	0	8	90
E. BazardoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11
A. MunozRP	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	15
Team	9.0	4	0	0	1	10	116

Team

LAA

SEA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

SEA vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs LAA.

3 sub-models, blended.