HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sanchez (PHI): 6.0 IP · 11 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over KC — Standout Index 93
TRANSACTION · MLBGiants: Placed C Jesus Rodriguez on the 10-day injured reserve list (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Rasmussen (TB): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHW — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 36 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST against CHI
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated LHP Cole Irvin for assignment (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Ionescu (NY): 27 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Perez (ATL): 7.0 IP · 6 K in a win over WSH
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Sent RHP Andrew Wantz outright to Iowa (IL) (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · WNBALynx: Released G Eliska Hamzova (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed G Matthew Bergeron to a 4-year, $96M contract extension (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLBroncos: Reverted DB Blake Cotton to injured reserve after clearing waivers (Aug 1)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ GS, 8/2 - 8:30 PM EDT — GS -13.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sanchez (PHI): 6.0 IP · 11 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over KC — Standout Index 93
TRANSACTION · MLBGiants: Placed C Jesus Rodriguez on the 10-day injured reserve list (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Rasmussen (TB): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHW — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 36 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST against CHI
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated LHP Cole Irvin for assignment (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Ionescu (NY): 27 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Perez (ATL): 7.0 IP · 6 K in a win over WSH
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Sent RHP Andrew Wantz outright to Iowa (IL) (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · WNBALynx: Released G Eliska Hamzova (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed G Matthew Bergeron to a 4-year, $96M contract extension (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLBroncos: Reverted DB Blake Cotton to injured reserve after clearing waivers (Aug 1)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ GS, 8/2 - 8:30 PM EDT — GS -13.5
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Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD#2 · National League

Los Angeles Dodgers

69-42 (62.2%) · L2 · L10 6-4

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#1 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .641 · exp 71.1-39.9 vs act 69-42 · n=111 · luck -2.1W · thru 2026-08-01 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-28 → 2026-08-01 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 1 vs SEA, 6-7, 2026-07-28. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 vs SEA, 4-2, 2026-07-29. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 vs SEA, 6-2, 2026-07-30. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 5 vs BOS, 4-9, 2026-07-31. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 vs BOS, 2-3, 2026-08-01. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Shohei Ohtani105 G.939
  2. 2Freddie Freeman108 G.875
  3. 3Max Muncy102 G.840
  4. 4Andy Pages110 G.793
  5. 5Kyle Tucker104 G.701

Home runs

  1. 1Shohei Ohtani105 G24
  2. 2Max Muncy102 G21
  3. 3Andy Pages110 G18
  4. 4Freddie Freeman108 G15
  5. 5Kyle Tucker104 G9

RBI

  1. 1Andy Pages110 G71
  2. 2Shohei Ohtani105 G67
  3. 3Freddie Freeman108 G54
  4. 4Kyle Tucker104 G51
  5. 5Max Muncy102 G49

Batting average

  1. 1Freddie Freeman108 G.310
  2. 2Shohei Ohtani105 G.291
  3. 3Andy Pages110 G.269
  4. 4Max Muncy102 G.252
  5. 5Kyle Tucker104 G.235

Stolen bases

  1. 1Andy Pages110 G10
  2. 2Kyle Tucker104 G7
  3. 3Shohei Ohtani105 G6
  4. 4Freddie Freeman108 G5
  5. 5Max Muncy102 G2

ERA

  1. 1Yoshinobu Yamamoto133.7 IP2.76
  2. 2Justin Wrobleski112.7 IP2.88

WHIP

  1. 1Yoshinobu Yamamoto133.7 IP0.88
  2. 2Justin Wrobleski112.7 IP1.02

Strikeouts

  1. 1Yoshinobu Yamamoto133.7 IP121
  2. 2Justin Wrobleski112.7 IP87

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.262vs .244Above avg

OBP

.341vs .318Above avg

SLG

.433vs .402Above avg

OPS

.774vs .720Above avg

HR

143

R / G

5.1

K / G

7.9

Pitching

ERA

3.60vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.91vs 4.19Above avg

WHIP

1.14vs 1.31Above avg

K / 9

9.1vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

3.1vs 3.4Above avg

BAA

.216

HR / 9

1.2

GP

111

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.33 for / 0.42 against · margin -0.081st2nd · 0.17 for / 0.58 against · margin -0.422nd3rd · 0.83 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.583rd4th · 1.00 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.67PEAK4th5th · 0.67 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.505th6th · 0.50 for / 0.83 against · margin -0.336th7th · 0.17 for / 0.83 against · margin -0.677th8th · 0.92 for / 0.83 against · margin +0.088th9th · 0.33 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.089thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

4.9 avg / 4.5 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.83

Blowout wins (4+)

7

Shutout games

0

Form last 30

17-13

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.8 runs

2457AVG 4.803152537456783910111213RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-06-26 → 2026-08-01

Record

17-13

Win pct

56.7%

Avg margin

+0.3

Longest W

4

Longest L

3

Favorite losses

13

2026-06-26 · @ SD · L 1-7 · model gave 54%SD2026-06-27 · @ SD · W 15-3 · model gave 55%SD2026-06-28 · @ SD · W 4-2 · model gave 57%SD2026-06-29 · @ ATH · W 9-4 · model gave 61%ATH2026-06-30 · @ ATH · W 9-3 · model gave 64%ATH2026-07-01 · @ ATH · L 1-7 · model gave 65%ATH2026-07-02 · vs SD · W 12-7 · model gave 68%SD2026-07-03 · vs SD · W 4-3 · model gave 68%SD2026-07-04 · vs SD · W 3-0 · model gave 68%SD2026-07-05 · vs SD · L 2-5 · model gave 67%SD2026-07-06 · vs COL · W 8-7 · model gave 75%COL2026-07-07 · vs COL · L 3-4 · model gave 74%COL2026-07-08 · vs COL · W 4-3 · model gave 74%COL2026-07-10 · vs ARI · L 3-9 · model gave 65%ARI2026-07-11 · vs ARI · L 2-9 · model gave 65%ARI2026-07-12 · vs ARI · L 3-5 · model gave 65%ARI2026-07-17 · @ NYY · W 2-1 · model gave 53%NYY2026-07-19 · @ NYY · L 1-2 · model gave 54%NYY2026-07-19 · @ NYY · W 8-2 · model gave 54%NYY2026-07-20 · @ PHI · L 7-10 · model gave 53%PHI2026-07-21 · @ PHI · W 2-1 · model gave 54%PHI2026-07-22 · @ PHI · W 9-5 · model gave 55%PHI2026-07-24 · @ NYM · W 4-2 · model gave 62%NYM2026-07-25 · @ NYM · W 4-3 · model gave 62%NYM2026-07-26 · @ NYM · L 3-8 · model gave 61%NYM2026-07-28 · vs SEA · L 6-7 · model gave 67%SEA2026-07-29 · vs SEA · W 4-2 · model gave 65%SEA2026-07-30 · vs SEA · W 6-2 · model gave 65%SEA2026-07-31 · vs BOS · L 4-9 · model gave 53%BOS2026-08-01 · vs BOS · L 2-3 · model gave 53%BOS

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

180 games · 2025-08-02 → 2026-08-01

Peak 1602 · Now 1567 · Trough 1511

Next 5 games

The road ahead

vsBOSpwr 61
@CHCpwr 58
@CHCpwr 58
@CHCpwr 58
@ARIpwr 62

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

2 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Agreed to terms with C Hayden Gilliland and INF Christian Polanco on a minor league contract.

  2. Jun 11

    Placed C Will Smith on the 10-day IL retroactive to June 8. Selected the contract of C Chuckie Robinson from Oklahoma City (PCL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 28

Hitters & fielders

Alex Call

A. Call

LF · #12

Alex Vesia

A. Vesia

RP · #51

Andy Pages

A. Pages

CF · #44

Cole Irvin

C. Irvin

RP · #38

Dalton Rushing

D. Rushing

C · #68

Edgardo Henriquez

E. Henriquez

RP · #60

Edwin Diaz

E. Diaz

RP · #3

Eliezer Alfonzo

E. Alfonzo

C · #64

Emmet Sheehan

E. Sheehan

SP · #80

Enrique Hernandez

E. Hernandez

1B · #8

Eric Lauer

E. Lauer

SP · #33

Evan Phillips

E. Phillips

RP · #59

Freddie Freeman

F. Freeman

1B · #5

Jack Dreyer

J. Dreyer

RP · #86

Justin Wrobleski

J. Wrobleski

SP · #70

Kyle Hurt

K. Hurt

RP · #63

Kyle Tucker

K. Tucker

RF · #23

Max Muncy

M. Muncy

3B · #13

Miguel Rojas

M. Rojas

2B · #72

Mookie Betts

M. Betts

SS · #50

Roki Sasaki

R. Sasaki

SP · #11

Shohei Ohtani

S. Ohtani

DH · #17

Tanner Scott

T. Scott

RP · #66

Tarik Skubal

T. Skubal

SP · #29

Teoscar Hernandez

T. Hernandez

LF · #37

Tommy Edman

T. Edman

2B · #25

Wyatt Mills

W. Mills

RP · #58

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Y. Yamamoto

SP · #18

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 58-38
59%Last 30 · 248-169
Receipts →

Model picks on LAD

40-24 graded · 62.5% (95% CI 50.3-73.3) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-27

All MLB · 698-590 graded

Tonight's graded board →