
46-27 (63.0%) · W1 · L10 6-4
Model verdict
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#1 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .696 · exp 50.8-22.2 vs act 46-27 · n=73 · luck -4.8W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-06-11 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →
Stat leaders
OPS
Home runs
RBI
Batting average
Stolen bases
ERA
WHIP
Strikeouts
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
HR
101
R / G
5.3
K / G
7.9
Pitching
ERA
FIP (approx)
WHIP
K / 9
BB / 9
BAA
.212
HR / 9
1.1
GP
73
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
5.7 avg / 4.5 allowed
Plate signature
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
5.93
Blowout wins (4+)
12
Shutout games
1
Form last 30
21-9
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 5.9 runs
Form heatmap
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-15
Record
21-9
Win pct
70.0%
Avg margin
+2.6
Longest W
6
Longest L
1
Upset wins
2
Favorite losses
8
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
180 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15
Peak 1602 · Now 1589 · Trough 1511
Recent transactions
Agreed to terms with C Hayden Gilliland and INF Christian Polanco on a minor league contract.
Placed C Will Smith on the 10-day IL retroactive to June 8. Selected the contract of C Chuckie Robinson from Oklahoma City (PCL).
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26

A. Call
LF · #12

A. Freeland
2B · #76

A. Vesia
RP · #51

A. Pages
CF · #44

B. Treinen
RP · #49

C. Robinson
C · #52

D. Rushing
C · #68

E. Henriquez
RP · #60

E. Sheehan
SP · #80

E. Lauer
SP · #33

F. Freeman
1B · #5

J. Dreyer
RP · #86

J. Hernandez
RP · #29

J. Wrobleski
SP · #70

K. Hurt
RP · #63

K. Tucker
RF · #23

M. Muncy
3B · #13

M. Rojas
SS · #72

M. Betts
SS · #50

R. Sasaki
SP · #11
R. Ward
LF · #67

S. Ohtani
DH · #17

T. Scott
RP · #66

T. Edman
2B · #25

W. Klein
RP · #61

Y. Yamamoto
SP · #18
Model picks on LAD
36-19 graded · 65.5% (95% CI 52.3-76.6) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-27
All MLB · 594-464 graded