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BAL#9 · American League
Baltimore Orioles
34-39 (46.6%) · L2 · L10 4-6
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)
#22 of 30
Pyth(1.83) .458 · exp 33.4-39.6 vs act 34-39 · n=73 · luck +0.6W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results
Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Last 5 form
2026-06-10 → 2026-06-14 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 5 vs SEA, 7-2, 2026-06-10. Covered the spread (closing line).
Won by 2 vs SEA, 7-5, 2026-06-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
Won by 4 vs SD, 7-3, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 6 vs SD, 3-9, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 3 vs SD, 2-5, 2026-06-14. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
OPS
- 1Pete Alonso73 G.808
- 2Taylor Ward72 G.756
- 3Gunnar Henderson72 G.715
Home runs
- 1Pete Alonso73 G16
- 2Gunnar Henderson72 G14
- 3Taylor Ward72 G3
RBI
- 1Pete Alonso73 G48
- 2Gunnar Henderson72 G34
- 3Taylor Ward72 G20
Batting average
- 1Taylor Ward72 G.258
- 2Pete Alonso73 G.253
- 3Gunnar Henderson72 G.227
Stolen bases
- 1Gunnar Henderson72 G6
- 2Taylor Ward72 G2
- 3Pete Alonso73 G2
ERA
- 1Shane Baz82.0 IP4.06
- 2Kyle Bradish73.3 IP4.30
WHIP
- 1Shane Baz82.0 IP1.39
- 2Kyle Bradish73.3 IP1.57
Strikeouts
- 1Kyle Bradish73.3 IP73
- 2Shane Baz82.0 IP67
2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool
Team rate stats · 2026
Hitting + pitching vs league
MLB Stats API
Hitting
AVG
.243vs .243League avg
OBP
.324vs .320League avg
SLG
.404vs .398Slight edge
OPS
.728vs .718League avg
HR
86
R / G
4.7
K / G
8.9
Pitching
ERA
4.59vs 4.18Below avg
FIP (approx)
4.39vs 4.19Slight gap
WHIP
1.40vs 1.31Below avg
K / 9
7.8vs 8.5Below avg
BB / 9
3.6vs 3.5League avg
BAA
.261
HR / 9
1.2
GP
73
Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.
Inning identity
When they score
Pattern by inning
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
5.3 avg / 4.9 allowed
Plate signature
The strike zone
Plate identity
From the catcher's view · last 30 games
Avg runs / game
5.23
Blowout wins (4+)
9
Shutout games
0
Form last 30
15-15
Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.
Run-scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 5.2 runs
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-05-13 → 2026-06-14
Record
15-15
Win pct
50.0%
Avg margin
+0.4
Longest W
4
Longest L
4
Upset wins
11
Favorite losses
3
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
164 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-14
Peak 1507 · Now 1467 · Trough 1456
Next 5 games
The road ahead
@SEApwr —
@SEApwr —
@SEApwr —
@LADpwr 57
@LADpwr 57
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Sent 3B Weston Wilson outright to Norfolk (IL).
- Jun 11
Sent RHP Ryan Helsley on a rehab assignment to Norfolk (IL). Agreed to terms with RHP Fermin Magallanes on a minor league contract.
- Jun 10
Agreed to terms with C Chadwick Tromp on a minor league contract.
- Jun 8
Placed RHP Chris Bassitt on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 5. Recalled RHP Trey Gibson from Norfolk (IL).
Source · ESPN
Position players · 26
Hitters & fielders
A. Rutschman
C · #35
A. Suarez
RP · #49
A. Kittredge
RP · #39
B. Alexander
3B · #23
B. Young
SP · #63
C. Mayo
3B · #16
C. Cowser
RF · #17
G. Wolfram
RP · #48
G. Henderson
SS · #2
J. Holliday
2B · #7
J. Jackson
2B · #82
K. Akin
RP · #45
K. Bradish
SP · #38
L. Taveras
CF · #30
P. Alonso
1B · #25
R. Garcia
RP · #50
R. Helsley
RP · #21
S. Huff
C · #31
S. Basallo
C · #29
S. Baz
SP · #34
T. Ward
LF · #3
T. Rogers
SP · #28
T
T. Gibson
SP · #43
T. O'Neill
RF · #9
T. Wells
RP · #68
Y. Cano
RP · #78