May 26, 26sim 100
240
8(H)6
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+4MIL
STL
29-23
15
MIL
31-20
American Family Field · Milwaukee, Wisconsin
35,695 attended
Line movement
200 snapshots
MIL spread
-1.5
open -1.5
Total
O/U 7.5
open O/U 7.5
MIL no-vig %
66.2%
open 65.7% · +0.5
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = MIL favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
MIL wins
STL 1 · MIL 5 (by 4)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked MIL +14pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| MIL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant