HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 26 PTS · 10 REB · 10 AST in a win over POR
LAST NIGHT · MLBW. Warren (NYY): 6.2 IP · 7 K in a win over CHC
TRANSACTION · MLBAstros: Signed free agent SS Braden Shewmake to a minor league contract (Jul 31)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Austin (WSH): 28 PTS · 10 REB · 4 AST in a win over DAL
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Stewart (CIN): 2 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over PIT
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 6.0 IP · 7 K · 1 ER in a win over STL
LAST NIGHT · MLBY. Diaz (HOU): 4 H · 1 HR · 1 RBI in a win over TEX
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · NBANets: Signed F Moritz Wagner to a contract (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · NBAWarriors: Re-signed G De'Anthony Melton to a contract (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · NBANuggets: Signed F Spencer Jones to a contract (Jul 31)
TONIGHT · WNBALV @ CHI, 8/1 - 1:00 PM EDT — LV -6.5
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 26 PTS · 10 REB · 10 AST in a win over POR
LAST NIGHT · MLBW. Warren (NYY): 6.2 IP · 7 K in a win over CHC
TRANSACTION · MLBAstros: Signed free agent SS Braden Shewmake to a minor league contract (Jul 31)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Austin (WSH): 28 PTS · 10 REB · 4 AST in a win over DAL
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Stewart (CIN): 2 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over PIT
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 6.0 IP · 7 K · 1 ER in a win over STL
LAST NIGHT · MLBY. Diaz (HOU): 4 H · 1 HR · 1 RBI in a win over TEX
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · NBANets: Signed F Moritz Wagner to a contract (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · NBAWarriors: Re-signed G De'Anthony Melton to a contract (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · NBANuggets: Signed F Spencer Jones to a contract (Jul 31)
TONIGHT · WNBALV @ CHI, 8/1 - 1:00 PM EDT — LV -6.5
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
  • NHL logo
  • NBA logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL#2 · National League

Milwaukee Brewers

68-41 (62.4%) · W1 · L10 6-4

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#2 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .627 · exp 68.3-40.7 vs act 68-41 · n=109 · luck -0.3W · thru 2026-07-31 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-26 → 2026-07-31 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 9 vs COL, 11-2, 2026-07-26. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at SF, 0-3, 2026-07-27. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 6 at SF, 8-2, 2026-07-28. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 13 at SF, 3-16, 2026-07-29. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 at LAA, 6-2, 2026-07-31. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Jake Bauers99 G.873
  2. 2Brice Turang103 G.834
  3. 3Garrett Mitchell98 G.799
  4. 4Jackson Chourio75 G.784
  5. 5William Contreras101 G.732

Home runs

  1. 1Jake Bauers99 G19
  2. 2Brice Turang103 G16
  3. 3Jackson Chourio75 G13
  4. 4William Contreras101 G10
  5. 5Garrett Mitchell98 G8

RBI

  1. 1Brice Turang103 G68
  2. 2Jake Bauers99 G63
  3. 3William Contreras101 G57
  4. 4Garrett Mitchell98 G49
  5. 5Jackson Chourio75 G42

Batting average

  1. 1Jackson Chourio75 G.273
  2. 2William Contreras101 G.272
  3. 3Brice Turang103 G.271
  4. 4Jake Bauers99 G.269
  5. 5Garrett Mitchell98 G.269

Stolen bases

  1. 1Brice Turang103 G15
  2. 2Jackson Chourio75 G10
  3. 3Jake Bauers99 G8
  4. 4Garrett Mitchell98 G8
  5. 5William Contreras101 G1

ERA

  1. 1Jacob Misiorowski120.0 IP1.58

WHIP

  1. 1Jacob Misiorowski120.0 IP0.75

Strikeouts

  1. 1Jacob Misiorowski120.0 IP185

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.255vs .244Slight edge

OBP

.338vs .318Above avg

SLG

.401vs .401League avg

OPS

.739vs .720Slight edge

HR

100

R / G

5.1

K / G

8.1

Pitching

ERA

3.50vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.58vs 4.19Above avg

WHIP

1.17vs 1.30Above avg

K / 9

9.8vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

3.2vs 3.4Above avg

BAA

.221

HR / 9

1.0

GP

109

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.50 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.331st2nd · 0.67 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.002nd3rd · 0.42 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.083rd4th · 0.42 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.004th5th · 0.50 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.005th6th · 1.50 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.92PEAK6th7th · 0.58 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.177th8th · 0.25 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.428th9th · 0.25 for / 0.58 against · margin -0.339thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

5.1 avg / 4.3 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.63

Blowout wins (4+)

7

Shutout games

2

Form last 30

18-12

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.6 runs

1345AVG 4.6201525344252627589101112RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-06-27 → 2026-07-31

Record

18-12

Win pct

60.0%

Avg margin

+0.3

Longest W

4

Longest L

3

Upset wins

4

Favorite losses

6

2026-06-27 · vs CHC · L 2-8 · model gave 48%CHC2026-06-28 · vs CHC · L 3-4 · model gave 47%CHC2026-06-29 · vs CIN · W 5-3 · model gave 63%CIN2026-06-30 · vs CIN · W 7-2 · model gave 64%CIN2026-07-01 · vs CIN · W 4-2 · model gave 64%CIN2026-07-02 · vs CIN · L 2-7 · model gave 64%CIN2026-07-03 · @ ARI · W 7-4 · model gave 56%ARI2026-07-04 · @ ARI · L 3-4 · model gave 55%ARI2026-07-05 · @ ARI · W 3-2 · model gave 56%ARI2026-07-06 · @ STL · W 4-3 · model gave 46%STL2026-07-07 · @ STL · W 4-3 · model gave 49%STL2026-07-07 · @ STL · W 10-2 · model gave 49%STL2026-07-08 · @ STL · L 1-5 · model gave 46%STL2026-07-09 · @ STL · W 8-4 · model gave 46%STL2026-07-11 · @ PIT · L 2-3 · model gave 49%PIT2026-07-11 · @ PIT · L 6-7 · model gave 49%PIT2026-07-12 · @ PIT · L 5-14 · model gave 49%PIT2026-07-17 · vs MIA · W 2-1 · model gave 57%MIA2026-07-18 · vs MIA · W 8-6 · model gave 57%MIA2026-07-19 · vs MIA · W 3-1 · model gave 58%MIA2026-07-20 · vs NYM · W 8-3 · model gave 64%NYM2026-07-21 · vs NYM · L 0-4 · model gave 64%NYM2026-07-22 · vs NYM · W 4-3 · model gave 64%NYM2026-07-24 · vs COL · L 2-5 · model gave 69%COL2026-07-25 · vs COL · W 8-5 · model gave 69%COL2026-07-26 · vs COL · W 11-2 · model gave 69%COL2026-07-27 · @ SF · L 0-3 · model gave 55%SF2026-07-28 · @ SF · W 8-2 · model gave 54%SF2026-07-29 · @ SF · L 3-16 · model gave 55%SF2026-07-31 · @ LAA · W 6-2 · model gave 64%LAA

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

172 games · 2025-08-01 → 2026-07-31

Peak 1614 · Now 1531 · Trough 1518

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Placed RHP Coleman Crow on the 15-day IL retroactive to June 10. Recalled RHP Craig Yoho from Nashville (IL).

  2. Jun 9

    Sent RHP Brandon Woodruff on a rehab assignment to ACL Brewers. Transferred LHP Brian Fitzpatrick to the 60-day IL. Selected the contract of CF Luis Lara from Nashville (IL).

  3. Jun 8

    Activated RHP Joel Kuhnel. Optioned RHP Craig Yoho to Nashville (IL). Sent RHP Jake Woodford outright to Nashville.

Source · ESPN

Position players · 27

Hitters & fielders

Aaron Ashby

A. Ashby

RP · #26

Abner Uribe

A. Uribe

RP · #45

Andrew Vaughn

A. Vaughn

1B · #28

Blake Perkins

B. Perkins

CF · #16

Brandon Sproat

B. Sproat

SP · #23

Brice Turang

B. Turang

2B · #2

Bryse Wilson

B. Wilson

RP · #41

Chad Patrick

C. Patrick

RP · #39

Christian Yelich

C. Yelich

DH · #22

Cooper Pratt

C. Pratt

SS · #12

Craig Yoho

C. Yoho

RP · #48

David Hamilton

D. Hamilton

3B · #6

DL Hall

D. Hall

RP · #37

Garrett Mitchell

G. Mitchell

CF · #5

Gary Sanchez

G. Sanchez

C · #99

Grant Anderson

G. Anderson

RP · #56

Jackson Chourio

J. Chourio

LF · #11

Jacob Misiorowski

J. Misiorowski

SP · #32

Jake Bauers

J. Bauers

1B · #9

Joey Ortiz

J. Ortiz

SS · #3

Logan Henderson

L. Henderson

SP · #43

Luis Lara

L. Lara

RF · #18

Robert Gasser

R. Gasser

SP · #54

S

S. Drohan

SP · #55

Thomas Pannone

T. Pannone

SP · #33

Trevor Megill

T. Megill

RP · #29

William Contreras

W. Contreras

C · #24

Home›MLB›Milwaukee Brewers (MIL)

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Fantasy football
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Calibration Grade
  • Free tools & calculators
  • Matchup Predictor
  • Hedge calculator
  • Same-game parlay calculator
  • Odds converter
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 57-38
60%Last 30 · 249-167
Receipts →

Model picks on MIL

43-29 graded · 59.7% (95% CI 48.2-70.3) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-26

All MLB · 698-590 graded

Tonight's graded board →