HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
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Milwaukee Brewers
MIL#3 · National League

Milwaukee Brewers

44-26 (62.9%) · W2 · L10 7-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#3 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .660 · exp 46.2-23.8 vs act 44-26 · n=70 · luck -2.2W · thru 2026-06-16 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-10 → 2026-06-16 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 1 at ATH, 3-4, 2026-06-10. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 6 vs PHI, 6-0, 2026-06-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 vs PHI, 8-9, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 vs PHI, 4-0, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs CLE, 2-1, 2026-06-16. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Jake Bauers61 G.888
  2. 2Brice Turang66 G.855
  3. 3Garrett Mitchell60 G.789
  4. 4William Contreras66 G.752
  5. 5Sal Frelick66 G.611

Home runs

  1. 1Jake Bauers61 G13
  2. 2Brice Turang66 G11
  3. 3William Contreras66 G6
  4. 4Garrett Mitchell60 G5
  5. 5Sal Frelick66 G3

RBI

  1. 1Jake Bauers61 G46
  2. 2William Contreras66 G43
  3. 3Brice Turang66 G43
  4. 4Garrett Mitchell60 G34
  5. 5Sal Frelick66 G25

Batting average

  1. 1William Contreras66 G.290
  2. 2Jake Bauers61 G.274
  3. 3Brice Turang66 G.266
  4. 4Garrett Mitchell60 G.258
  5. 5Sal Frelick66 G.227

Stolen bases

  1. 1Brice Turang66 G12
  2. 2Garrett Mitchell60 G6
  3. 3Jake Bauers61 G5
  4. 4Sal Frelick66 G5
  5. 5William Contreras66 G1

ERA

  1. 1Jacob Misiorowski87.0 IP1.34

WHIP

  1. 1Jacob Misiorowski87.0 IP0.74

Strikeouts

  1. 1Jacob Misiorowski87.0 IP131

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.254vs .243Slight edge

OBP

.339vs .319Above avg

SLG

.394vs .397League avg

OPS

.733vs .717Slight edge

HR

65

R / G

5.3

K / G

8.0

Pitching

ERA

3.41vs 4.17Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.48vs 4.18Above avg

WHIP

1.21vs 1.31Above avg

K / 9

9.8vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

3.4vs 3.5Slight edge

BAA

.225

HR / 9

0.9

GP

70

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.67 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.001st2nd · 0.42 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.002nd3rd · 0.33 for / 0.83 against · margin -0.503rd4th · 0.58 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.424th5th · 0.58 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.085th6th · 0.83 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.176th7th · 0.83 for / 0.92 against · margin -0.087th8th · 0.58 for / 0.08 against · margin +0.508th9th · 1.08 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.83PEAK9thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

5.9 avg / 4.5 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

5.67

Blowout wins (4+)

12

Shutout games

1

Form last 30

21-9

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 5.7 runs

2356AVG 5.70152334656783910111213RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-16

Record

21-9

Win pct

70.0%

Avg margin

+2.0

Longest W

4

Longest L

2

Favorite losses

9

2026-05-14 · vs SD · W 7-1 · model gave 61%SD2026-05-15 · @ MIN · W 3-2 · model gave 62%MIN2026-05-16 · @ MIN · W 2-1 · model gave 61%MIN2026-05-17 · @ MIN · L 4-5 · model gave 61%MIN2026-05-18 · @ CHC · W 9-3 · model gave 56%CHC2026-05-19 · @ CHC · W 5-2 · model gave 59%CHC2026-05-20 · @ CHC · W 5-0 · model gave 60%CHC2026-05-22 · vs LAD · W 5-1 · model gave 53%LAD2026-05-23 · vs LAD · L 3-11 · model gave 52%LAD2026-05-24 · vs LAD · L 1-5 · model gave 53%LAD2026-05-25 · vs STL · W 5-1 · model gave 64%STL2026-05-26 · vs STL · W 6-0 · model gave 64%STL2026-05-27 · vs STL · W 2-1 · model gave 64%STL2026-05-29 · @ HOU · W 5-4 · model gave 59%HOU2026-05-30 · @ HOU · L 2-9 · model gave 60%HOU2026-05-31 · @ HOU · W 2-0 · model gave 59%HOU2026-06-01 · vs SF · W 16-2 · model gave 66%SF2026-06-02 · vs SF · W 8-3 · model gave 65%SF2026-06-03 · vs SF · L 0-1 · model gave 66%SF2026-06-04 · vs SF · L 9-12 · model gave 66%SF2026-06-05 · @ COL · W 9-7 · model gave 75%COL2026-06-06 · @ COL · W 7-1 · model gave 75%COL2026-06-07 · @ COL · W 12-4 · model gave 73%COL2026-06-08 · @ ATH · W 15-14 · model gave 62%ATH2026-06-09 · @ ATH · L 5-7 · model gave 62%ATH2026-06-10 · @ ATH · L 3-4 · model gave 61%ATH2026-06-12 · vs PHI · W 6-0 · model gave 59%PHI2026-06-13 · vs PHI · L 8-9 · model gave 58%PHI2026-06-14 · vs PHI · W 4-0 · model gave 58%PHI2026-06-16 · vs CLE · W 2-1 · model gave 63%CLE

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

168 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-16

Peak 1614 · Now 1584 · Trough 1515

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Placed RHP Coleman Crow on the 15-day IL retroactive to June 10. Recalled RHP Craig Yoho from Nashville (IL).

  2. Jun 9

    Sent RHP Brandon Woodruff on a rehab assignment to ACL Brewers. Transferred LHP Brian Fitzpatrick to the 60-day IL. Selected the contract of CF Luis Lara from Nashville (IL).

  3. Jun 8

    Activated RHP Joel Kuhnel. Optioned RHP Craig Yoho to Nashville (IL). Sent RHP Jake Woodford outright to Nashville.

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Aaron Ashby

A. Ashby

RP · #26

Abner Uribe

A. Uribe

RP · #45

Andrew Vaughn

A. Vaughn

1B · #28

Blake Perkins

B. Perkins

CF · #16

Brandon Sproat

B. Sproat

SP · #23

Brice Turang

B. Turang

2B · #2

Chad Patrick

C. Patrick

RP · #39

Christian Yelich

C. Yelich

DH · #22

Cooper Pratt

C. Pratt

SS · #12

Craig Yoho

C. Yoho

RP · #48

David Hamilton

D. Hamilton

SS · #6

Drew Rom

D. Rom

SP · #38

Garrett Mitchell

G. Mitchell

CF · #5

Gary Sanchez

G. Sanchez

DH · #99

Grant Anderson

G. Anderson

RP · #56

Jackson Chourio

J. Chourio

LF · #11

Jacob Misiorowski

J. Misiorowski

SP · #32

Jake Bauers

J. Bauers

1B · #9

Joel Kuhnel

J. Kuhnel

RP · #59

Joey Ortiz

J. Ortiz

SS · #3

Kyle Harrison

K. Harrison

SP · #52

Robert Gasser

R. Gasser

SP · #54

Sal Frelick

S. Frelick

RF · #10

S

S. Drohan

RP · #55

Trevor Megill

T. Megill

RP · #29

William Contreras

W. Contreras

C · #24

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 60-33
61%Last 30 · 297-187
Receipts →

Model picks on MIL

38-27 graded · 58.5% (95% CI 46.3-69.6) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-26

All MLB · 601-473 graded

Tonight's graded board →