Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 29, 2025

FINAL+1COL

COL

19-65

MIL

47-37

American Family Field · Milwaukee, Wisconsin

30,037 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

74.6%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
74.6%
P(MIL win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
78.4%
P(MIL win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
74.6%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.78 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

88% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 111 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.7high
Logan HendersonMIL
6.2± 2.8low
Dustin MayMIL
5.3± 2.9high

Hits

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.2± 0.9high
Cole CarriggCOL
1.1± 1.1high
Kyle KarrosCOL
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Mickey MoniakCOL
2.2± 2.5high
Willi CastroCOL
2.1± 2.0high
Jake BauersMIL
2.0± 1.7high

RBIs

Mickey MoniakCOL
0.9± 1.3high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.6high
Luis LaraMIL
0.8± 1.5medium

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
3.9± 1.9high
Ryan FeltnerCOL
3.3± 2.7medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.1± 2.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

MIL

.747

OPS

◀

.720

.735

.324

OBP

.318

▶

.337

4.86

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.97

5.52

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.47

1.52

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.16

7.1

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

COL 4 · MIL 3 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked MIL +25pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	4
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	3

Final play

“End of the 11th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FreemanRF	.316	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. BeckLF	.260	5	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Estrada2B	.292	5	0	3	1	0	0	1
R. McMahon3B	.220	4	1	1	0	0	1	2
B. DoyleCF	.193	5	1	1	1	0	0	2
M. Toglia1B	.201	5	0	1	0	0	0	3
M. MoniakLF	.236	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. FulfordDH	.250	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
O. ArciaSS	.197	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
S. HilliardLF	.196	3	1	0	0	0	0	2
K. FarmerDH	.231	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
Team		42	4	11	4	1	2	15

Player

.316

.260

.292

.220

.193

.201

.236

.250

.197

.196

.231

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. MarquezSP	5.2	3	2	2	3	5	103
J. BirdRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18
J. MejiaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
S. HalvorsenRP	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	29
V. VodnikRP	1.0	1	1	0	1	1	18
T. KinleyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12
Team	11.0	6	3	2	5	10	193

Player

G. MarquezSP

5.2

103

1.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

11.0

193

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. FrelickRF	.300	5	1	3	1	1	0	0
J. ChourioLF	.254	4	0	0	0	0	1	2
C. YelichDH	.262	5	1	1	1	1	0	1
W. ContrerasC	.242	4	0	0	0	0	1	1
B. Turang2B	.289	4	0	1	0	0	1	1
R. Hoskins1B	.238	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
I. CollinsLF	.252	5	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. Durbin3B	.250	5	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. OrtizSS	.210	3	1	0	0	0	1	0
A. MonasterioSS	.192	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Bauers1B	.221	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		39	3	6	2	2	5	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. PatrickRP	5.0	4	0	0	2	8	99
N. MearsRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10
J. KoenigRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	19
A. UribeRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	19
T. MegillRP	2.0	2	2	1	0	2	30
G. AndersonRP	1.0	1	1	0	0	2	13
Team	11.0	11	4	2	2	15	190

Team

COL

MIL

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs COL.

3 sub-models, blended.