Athletics vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 29, 2025

FINAL+7NYY

ATH

34-52

512

NYY

48-35

Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York

42,166 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

64.6%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
65.2%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
63.2%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
65.6%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.05 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

93% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
7.8± 2.6high
Gerrit ColeNYY
6.2± 2.7low
Gage JumpATH
5.8± 3.0low

Hits

Luis Garcia Jr.NYY
1.2± 1.0high
Jeff McNeilATH
1.1± 0.8high
Tommy WhiteATH
1.0± 1.8medium

Total bases

Luis Garcia Jr.NYY
2.5± 2.8high
Tyler SoderstromATH
1.6± 1.5high
Jonah HeimATH
1.5± 2.1high

RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr.NYY
0.8± 0.9high
Spencer JonesNYY
0.5± 1.0high
Henry BolteATH
0.4± 1.0high

Earned runs

Jack PerkinsATH
3.1± 1.7high
Gage JumpATH
2.8± 3.4low
Will WarrenNYY
2.5± 2.3high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

NYY

.720

OPS

.720

.722

.320

OBP

◀

.318

.309

4.35

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.57

5.42

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.34

1.50

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.19

8.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

ATH 5 · NYY 12 (by 7)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked NYY +15pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	5
NYY	0	1	4	2	3	0	2	0	12

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. ButlerRF	.248	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. WilsonSS	.338	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. RookerDH	.271	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
N. Kurtz1B	.256	4	1	1	1	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.201	1	1	1	0	0	2	0
T. SoderstromLF	.256	3	0	0	1	0	1	0
L. Urias2B	.240	4	0	0	1	0	0	1
W. MacIverC	.245	2	1	1	1	1	2	1
D. ClarkeCF	.204	3	0	0	1	0	0	1
J. BledayLF	.191	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
M. SchuemannLF	.224	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	5	5	5	1	6	5

Player

.248

.338

.271

.256

.201

.256

.240

.245

.204

.191

.224

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. SeverinoSP	3.2	5	7	5	3	3	95
H. HarrisRP	1.0	2	3	3	2	1	28
E. AlvaradoRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	26
T. FergusonRP	1.1	1	2	2	2	2	33
M. KellyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8
Team	8.0	9	12	10	8	9	190

Player

3.2

1.0

1.0

1.1

1.0

Team

8.0

190

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.244	3	2	0	0	0	2	1
C. BellingerLF	.270	5	3	3	3	1	0	0
A. JudgeRF	.356	4	3	2	4	2	1	2
B. Rice1B	.233	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.242	4	2	2	3	1	1	1
P. Goldschmidt1B	.282	3	0	0	0	0	2	0
J. DominguezRF	.249	5	0	1	0	0	0	2
A. VolpeSS	.228	4	1	1	0	0	1	1
O. Peraza2B	.157	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.246	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. LeMahieu2B	.248	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	12	9	10	4	8	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. StromanSP	5.0	3	1	1	2	1	74
J. BrubakerRP	0.1	2	4	4	3	0	31
J. LoaisigaRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8
T. HillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15
I. HamiltonRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19
L. WeaverRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
Team	9.0	5	5	5	6	5	160

Team

ATH

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs ATH.

3 sub-models, blended.