Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 29, 2025

FINAL+3WSH

WSH

35-49

LAA

41-42

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

33,661 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

61.1%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
60.8%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
59.4%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
60.3%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.58 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

96% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

117

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.3± 2.0high
Cade CavalliWSH
5.6± 3.6high
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.1± 1.5high

Hits

Mike TroutLAA
1.1± 1.2high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
1.0± 0.9high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
0.9± 0.6high

Total bases

Abimelec OrtizWSH
1.8± 2.3low
CJ AbramsWSH
1.7± 1.9high
Daylen LileWSH
1.7± 2.5high

RBIs

Vaughn GrissomLAA
0.7± 0.8high
CJ AbramsWSH
0.7± 1.1high
Andres ChaparroWSH
0.5± 0.7high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.5± 2.7low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.3± 3.3low
Miles MikolasWSH
2.9± 2.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

WSH

league avg

LAA

.766

OPS

◀

.719

.693

.327

OBP

◀

.318

.312

5.31

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.15

4.77

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.46

1.40

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.36

7.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

WSH wins

WSH 7 · LAA 4 (by 3)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked LAA +11pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R
WSH	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	3	7
LAA	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	4

Final play

“End of the 11th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. AbramsSS	.287	6	0	2	3	0	0	1
J. WoodRF	.283	2	0	1	0	0	4	0
L. Garcia Jr.1B	.266	3	0	0	1	0	0	0
N. LoweDH	.232	5	1	0	0	0	1	2
J. BellDH	.196	4	0	1	0	0	1	0
B. House3B	.231	5	1	1	1	0	0	2
D. LileLF	.221	5	2	2	0	0	0	0
D. MillasC	.333	3	2	1	1	0	1	0
J. YoungCF	.255	4	1	2	1	0	1	0
A. Rosario3B	.270	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. CallLF	.275	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		40	7	10	7	0	8	7

Player

.287

.283

.266

.232

.196

.231

.221

.333

.255

.270

.275

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. ParkerRP	5.0	6	3	3	3	3	76
C. HenryRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	14
J. FerrerRP	2.0	2	1	1	0	2	21
K. FinneganRP	3.0	0	0	0	2	2	30
Team	11.0	9	4	4	5	7	141

Player

5.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

Team

11.0

141

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. RengifoLF	.229	5	1	2	0	0	0	0
N. Schanuel1B	.271	3	1	0	0	0	2	1
T. WardLF	.216	5	1	3	1	0	0	2
J. AdellRF	.243	4	1	2	1	0	1	0
L. O'HoppeC	.233	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
T. d'ArnaudC	.218	4	0	0	0	0	1	2
C. Moore2B	.200	4	0	1	1	0	1	0
G. CamperoC	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Newman3B	.198	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. TroutCF	.230	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Wade Jr.LF	.152	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. NetoSS	.273	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		38	4	9	3	0	5	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KochanowiczSP	4.0	5	2	2	2	2	63
J. FerminRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	8
B. BurkeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
R. ZeferjahnRP	0.2	1	1	1	1	0	12
R. DetmersSP	1.1	0	0	0	1	3	13
K. JansenRP	1.0	1	1	0	1	1	17
C. BrogdonRP	2.0	3	3	2	2	0	27
Team	11.0	10	7	5	8	7	151

Team

WSH

LAA

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs WSH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs WSH.

3 sub-models, blended.