San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 29, 2025

FINAL+3CHW

45-39

CHW

28-56

Rate Field · Chicago, Illinois

20,225 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

36.6%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
42.7%
P(CHW win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
40.4%
P(CHW win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
43.4%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.28 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

92% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs SF.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 101 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
7.1± 2.4high
Landen RouppSF
5.1± 2.0high
Logan WebbSF
5.0± 2.0high

Hits

Jung Hoo LeeSF
1.3± 0.8high
Munetaka MurakamiCHW
1.1± 0.8high
Osleivis BasabeSF
0.9± 0.9low

Total bases

Jung Hoo LeeSF
2.4± 2.7high
Munetaka MurakamiCHW
2.3± 2.7high
Osleivis BasabeSF
2.3± 3.2low

RBIs

Osleivis BasabeSF
1.1± 2.0low
Munetaka MurakamiCHW
0.8± 1.9high
Daniel SusacSF
0.7± 1.5high

Earned runs

Carson WhisenhuntSF
3.6± 2.3low
Noah SchultzCHW
3.4± 2.6low
Davis MartinCHW
3.1± 3.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

CHW

.722

OPS

.719

.309

OBP

.318

▶

.315

4.17

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.72

4.38

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.08

1.36

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.30

7.8

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.6

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

SF 2 · CHW 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked SF +7pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SF	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
CHW	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. RamosLF	.278	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. Devers1B	.217	3	1	0	0	0	2	3
W. Flores1B	.244	3	0	1	0	0	2	0
M. YastrzemskiLF	.244	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
W. AdamesSS	.209	2	0	0	1	0	2	2
J. LeeRF	.243	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Koss2B	.266	3	1	2	0	0	1	0
P. BaileyC	.194	3	0	1	1	0	0	2
B. Wisely2B	.136	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
Team		30	2	6	2	0	8	11

Player

.278

.217

.244

.244

.209

.243

.266

.194

.136

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. VerlanderSP	6.0	5	1	1	2	3	88
E. MillerRP	0.2	2	2	2	0	0	9
R. WalkerRP	0.1	2	2	2	1	0	12
C. SeymourRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	17
Team	8.0	11	5	5	3	3	126

Player

6.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

Team

8.0

126

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. TauchmanRF	.281	4	1	3	0	0	0	0
C. Meidroth2B	.265	4	1	2	0	0	0	0
A. BenintendiDH	.233	4	0	0	1	0	0	1
M. Vargas3B	.229	3	1	0	0	0	1	1
K. TeelC	.319	4	1	3	2	0	0	0
L. Sosa2B	.273	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
R. Noda1B	.111	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. TaylorRF	.214	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
J. Rojas3B	.185	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. SlaterRF	.231	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team		34	5	11	4	0	3	3

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CannonSP	3.0	3	1	1	3	4	69
B. EisertRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	17
J. LeasureRP	1.0	1	1	1	3	1	22
D. AltavillaRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	22
T. GilbertRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	22
M. VasilRP	1.2	0	0	0	1	1	17
Team	9.0	6	2	2	8	11	169

Team

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs SF.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs SF.

3 sub-models, blended.