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LAST NIGHT · MLBK. Bradish (BAL): 7.2 IP · 12 K · 1 ER in a win over SEA — Standout Index 94
LAST NIGHT · MLBK. Stowers (MIA): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over PHI — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. McLean (NYM): 7.0 IP · 9 K in a win over CIN — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Ray (SF): 6.1 IP · 8 K in a win over ATL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 3 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Citron (WSH): 26 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST in a win over CON
TONIGHT · WNBAATL @ IND, 6/18 - 7:30 PM EDT — IND -1.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBK. Bradish (BAL): 7.2 IP · 12 K · 1 ER in a win over SEA — Standout Index 94
LAST NIGHT · MLBK. Stowers (MIA): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over PHI — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. McLean (NYM): 7.0 IP · 9 K in a win over CIN — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Ray (SF): 6.1 IP · 8 K in a win over ATL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 3 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Citron (WSH): 26 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST in a win over CON
TONIGHT · WNBAATL @ IND, 6/18 - 7:30 PM EDT — IND -1.5
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New York Yankees
NYY#1 · American League

New York Yankees

45-27 (62.5%) · W4 · L10 8-2

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#2 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .670 · exp 48.2-23.8 vs act 45-27 · n=72 · luck -3.2W · thru 2026-06-17 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-12 → 2026-06-17 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 3 at TOR, 5-8, 2026-06-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 at TOR, 3-1, 2026-06-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 5 at TOR, 8-3, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 10 vs CHW, 12-2, 2026-06-16. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 5 vs CHW, 10-5, 2026-06-17. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Ben Rice67 G1.001
  2. 2Aaron Judge59 G.908
  3. 3Cody Bellinger71 G.860
  4. 4Trent Grisham66 G.747
  5. 5Jazz Chisholm Jr.69 G.723

Home runs

  1. 1Ben Rice67 G20
  2. 2Aaron Judge59 G17
  3. 3Cody Bellinger71 G11
  4. 4Jazz Chisholm Jr.69 G10
  5. 5Trent Grisham66 G8

RBI

  1. 1Ben Rice67 G49
  2. 2Cody Bellinger71 G49
  3. 3Aaron Judge59 G38
  4. 4Trent Grisham66 G35
  5. 5Jazz Chisholm Jr.69 G30

Batting average

  1. 1Ben Rice67 G.291
  2. 2Cody Bellinger71 G.280
  3. 3Aaron Judge59 G.248
  4. 4Trent Grisham66 G.232
  5. 5Jazz Chisholm Jr.69 G.229

Stolen bases

  1. 1Jazz Chisholm Jr.69 G20
  2. 2Cody Bellinger71 G8
  3. 3Trent Grisham66 G6
  4. 4Aaron Judge59 G5
  5. 5Ben Rice67 G2

ERA

  1. 1Cam Schlittler89.0 IP1.82
  2. 2Will Warren72.7 IP3.47
  3. 3Ryan Weathers74.3 IP4.36

WHIP

  1. 1Cam Schlittler89.0 IP0.91
  2. 2Ryan Weathers74.3 IP1.17
  3. 3Will Warren72.7 IP1.29

Strikeouts

  1. 1Cam Schlittler89.0 IP96
  2. 2Ryan Weathers74.3 IP81
  3. 3Will Warren72.7 IP76

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.246vs .243League avg

OBP

.333vs .319Slight edge

SLG

.442vs .398Above avg

OPS

.775vs .718Above avg

HR

109

R / G

5.3

K / G

8.7

Pitching

ERA

3.32vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.66vs 4.19Above avg

WHIP

1.18vs 1.31Above avg

K / 9

8.7vs 8.5Slight edge

BB / 9

3.2vs 3.5Above avg

BAA

.224

HR / 9

0.9

GP

72

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.42 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.001st2nd · 0.92 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.67PEAK2nd3rd · 0.42 for / 1.00 against · margin -0.583rd4th · 0.83 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.254th5th · 0.92 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.585th6th · 0.58 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.086th7th · 0.33 for / 0.00 against · margin +0.337th8th · 0.67 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.428th9th · 0.67 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.509thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

5.8 avg / 3.5 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

5.43

Blowout wins (4+)

10

Shutout games

2

Form last 30

19-11

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 5.4 runs

1234AVG 5.42013243443536373891011121314RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-12 → 2026-06-17

Record

19-11

Win pct

63.3%

Avg margin

+1.7

Longest W

5

Longest L

3

Favorite losses

11

2026-05-12 · @ BAL · W 6-2 · model gave 57%BAL2026-05-13 · @ BAL · L 0-7 · model gave 59%BAL2026-05-15 · @ NYM · W 5-2 · model gave 60%NYM2026-05-16 · @ NYM · L 3-6 · model gave 60%NYM2026-05-17 · @ NYM · L 6-7 · model gave 61%NYM2026-05-18 · vs TOR · W 7-6 · model gave 66%TOR2026-05-19 · vs TOR · W 5-4 · model gave 63%TOR2026-05-20 · vs TOR · L 1-2 · model gave 63%TOR2026-05-21 · vs TOR · L 0-2 · model gave 62%TOR2026-05-22 · vs TB · L 2-4 · model gave 52%TB2026-05-24 · vs TB · W 2-0 · model gave 54%TB2026-05-25 · @ KC · W 4-3 · model gave 62%KC2026-05-26 · @ KC · W 15-1 · model gave 62%KC2026-05-27 · @ KC · W 7-0 · model gave 64%KC2026-05-29 · @ ATH · W 8-2 · model gave 63%ATH2026-05-30 · @ ATH · L 4-6 · model gave 63%ATH2026-05-31 · @ ATH · W 13-8 · model gave 61%ATH2026-06-02 · vs CLE · L 4-9 · model gave 60%CLE2026-06-03 · vs CLE · L 4-5 · model gave 59%CLE2026-06-04 · vs CLE · W 2-1 · model gave 60%CLE2026-06-05 · vs BOS · L 3-5 · model gave 69%BOS2026-06-07 · vs BOS · W 6-1 · model gave 71%BOS2026-06-08 · @ CLE · W 7-5 · model gave 59%CLE2026-06-09 · @ CLE · W 3-2 · model gave 58%CLE2026-06-10 · @ CLE · W 8-4 · model gave 58%CLE2026-06-12 · @ TOR · L 5-8 · model gave 66%TOR2026-06-13 · @ TOR · W 3-1 · model gave 66%TOR2026-06-14 · @ TOR · W 8-3 · model gave 65%TOR2026-06-16 · vs CHW · W 12-2 · model gave 64%CHW2026-06-17 · vs CHW · W 10-5 · model gave 64%CHW

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

169 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-17

Peak 1607 · Now 1607 · Trough 1503

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

2 moves
  1. Jun 11

    Reinstated RHP Angel Chivilli from the 15-day IL and optioned him to Scranton/Wilkes-Barre (IL).

  2. Jun 10

    Sent RHP Angel Chivilli on a rehab assignment to Scranton/Wilkes-Barre (IL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Ali Sanchez

A. Sanchez

C · #39

Amed Rosario

A. Rosario

3B · #14

Anthony Volpe

A. Volpe

SS · #11

Ben Rice

B. Rice

1B · #22

Brent Headrick

B. Headrick

RP · #47

Cam Schlittler

C. Schlittler

SP · #31

Camilo Doval

C. Doval

RP · #75

Carlos Rodon

C. Rodon

SP · #55

Cody Bellinger

C. Bellinger

LF · #35

David Bednar

D. Bednar

RP · #53

Fernando Cruz

F. Cruz

RP · #63

Gerrit Cole

G. Cole

SP · #45

J.C. Escarra

J.C. Escarra

C · #25

Jake Bird

J. Bird

RP · #59

Jasson Dominguez

J. Dominguez

DH · #24

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

J. Chisholm Jr.

2B · #13

Jose Caballero

J. Caballero

SS · #72

Max Schuemann

M. Schuemann

SS · #30

Paul Blackburn

P. Blackburn

RP · #58

Paul Goldschmidt

P. Goldschmidt

1B · #48

Ryan McMahon

R. McMahon

3B · #19

Ryan Weathers

R. Weathers

SP · #40

Ryan Yarbrough

R. Yarbrough

RP · #33

Spencer Jones

S. Jones

RF · #78

Tim Hill

T. Hill

RP · #41

Will Warren

W. Warren

SP · #29

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

61%Last 7 · 63-40
61%Last 30 · 296-193
Receipts →

Model picks on NYY

38-19 graded · 66.7% (95% CI 53.7-77.5) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-26

All MLB · 605-483 graded

Tonight's graded board →