HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sanchez (PHI): 6.0 IP · 11 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over KC — Standout Index 93
TRANSACTION · MLBGiants: Placed C Jesus Rodriguez on the 10-day injured reserve list (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Rasmussen (TB): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHW — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 36 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST against CHI
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated LHP Cole Irvin for assignment (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Ionescu (NY): 27 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Perez (ATL): 7.0 IP · 6 K in a win over WSH
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Sent RHP Andrew Wantz outright to Iowa (IL) (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · WNBALynx: Released G Eliska Hamzova (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed G Matthew Bergeron to a 4-year, $96M contract extension (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLBroncos: Reverted DB Blake Cotton to injured reserve after clearing waivers (Aug 1)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ GS, 8/2 - 8:30 PM EDT — GS -12.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Sanchez (PHI): 6.0 IP · 11 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over KC — Standout Index 93
TRANSACTION · MLBGiants: Placed C Jesus Rodriguez on the 10-day injured reserve list (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Rasmussen (TB): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHW — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 36 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST against CHI
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated LHP Cole Irvin for assignment (Aug 1)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAS. Ionescu (NY): 27 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST in a win over PHX
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Perez (ATL): 7.0 IP · 6 K in a win over WSH
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Sent RHP Andrew Wantz outright to Iowa (IL) (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · WNBALynx: Released G Eliska Hamzova (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed G Matthew Bergeron to a 4-year, $96M contract extension (Aug 1)
TRANSACTION · NFLBroncos: Reverted DB Blake Cotton to injured reserve after clearing waivers (Aug 1)
TONIGHT · WNBATOR @ GS, 8/2 - 8:30 PM EDT — GS -12.5
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New York Yankees
NYY#2 · American League

New York Yankees

62-49 (55.9%) · L1 · L10 6-4

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#4 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .584 · exp 64.8-46.2 vs act 62-49 · n=111 · luck -2.8W · thru 2026-08-01 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-28 → 2026-08-01 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 1 at CHW, 3-2, 2026-07-28. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at CHW, 5-6, 2026-07-29. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at CHW, 1-2, 2026-07-30. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 2 at CHC, 2-0, 2026-07-31. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at CHC, 2-5, 2026-08-01. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Ben Rice106 G.925
  2. 2Cody Bellinger102 G.770
  3. 3Jazz Chisholm Jr.103 G.701
  4. 4Trent Grisham91 G.696

Home runs

  1. 1Ben Rice106 G31
  2. 2Jazz Chisholm Jr.103 G16
  3. 3Cody Bellinger102 G11
  4. 4Trent Grisham91 G11

RBI

  1. 1Ben Rice106 G73
  2. 2Cody Bellinger102 G53
  3. 3Jazz Chisholm Jr.103 G45
  4. 4Trent Grisham91 G42

Batting average

  1. 1Ben Rice106 G.268
  2. 2Cody Bellinger102 G.259
  3. 3Jazz Chisholm Jr.103 G.222
  4. 4Trent Grisham91 G.214

Stolen bases

  1. 1Jazz Chisholm Jr.103 G30
  2. 2Cody Bellinger102 G10
  3. 3Trent Grisham91 G7
  4. 4Ben Rice106 G2

ERA

  1. 1Cam Schlittler136.7 IP2.04
  2. 2Ryan Weathers115.0 IP3.99

WHIP

  1. 1Cam Schlittler136.7 IP0.91
  2. 2Ryan Weathers115.0 IP1.24

Strikeouts

  1. 1Cam Schlittler136.7 IP165
  2. 2Ryan Weathers115.0 IP126

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.233vs .244Slight gap

OBP

.311vs .318Slight gap

SLG

.412vs .402Slight edge

OPS

.723vs .720League avg

HR

156

R / G

4.6

K / G

9.1

Pitching

ERA

3.30vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

3.66vs 4.19Above avg

WHIP

1.18vs 1.31Above avg

K / 9

9.0vs 8.5Above avg

BB / 9

3.1vs 3.4Above avg

BAA

.225

HR / 9

1.0

GP

111

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.67 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.171st2nd · 0.25 for / 0.33 against · margin -0.082nd3rd · 0.42 for / 0.50 against · margin -0.083rd4th · 0.50 for / 0.00 against · margin +0.50PEAK4th5th · 0.42 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.175th6th · 0.08 for / 0.42 against · margin -0.336th7th · 0.75 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.337th8th · 0.33 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.008th9th · 0.00 for / 0.25 against · margin -0.259thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.4 avg / 3.0 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

3.53

Blowout wins (4+)

3

Shutout games

1

Form last 30

14-16

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.5 runs

2356AVG 3.505162535455678910111213RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-06-27 → 2026-08-01

Record

14-16

Win pct

46.7%

Avg margin

-0.6

Longest W

4

Longest L

5

Upset wins

8

Favorite losses

5

2026-06-27 · @ BOS · L 1-4 · model gave 48%BOS2026-06-28 · @ BOS · L 4-5 · model gave 48%BOS2026-06-29 · vs DET · L 3-7 · model gave 62%DET2026-06-30 · vs DET · L 3-9 · model gave 64%DET2026-07-01 · vs DET · L 2-6 · model gave 61%DET2026-07-03 · vs MIN · W 5-2 · model gave 51%MIN2026-07-04 · vs MIN · L 4-11 · model gave 51%MIN2026-07-05 · vs MIN · L 1-6 · model gave 49%MIN2026-07-06 · @ TB · W 5-1 · model gave 34%TB2026-07-07 · @ TB · L 4-6 · model gave 33%TB2026-07-08 · @ TB · L 0-3 · model gave 34%TB2026-07-09 · @ TB · W 12-4 · model gave 36%TB2026-07-10 · @ WSH · W 5-3 · model gave 50%WSH2026-07-11 · @ WSH · W 4-2 · model gave 50%WSH2026-07-12 · @ WSH · W 5-3 · model gave 50%WSH2026-07-17 · vs LAD · L 1-2 · model gave 47%LAD2026-07-19 · vs LAD · W 2-1 · model gave 46%LAD2026-07-19 · vs LAD · L 2-8 · model gave 46%LAD2026-07-20 · vs PIT · W 8-5 · model gave 55%PIT2026-07-22 · vs PIT · L 3-5 · model gave 57%PIT2026-07-22 · vs PIT · W 2-0 · model gave 57%PIT2026-07-24 · @ PHI · W 1-0 · model gave 47%PHI2026-07-25 · @ PHI · W 3-1 · model gave 49%PHI2026-07-26 · @ PHI · L 4-11 · model gave 49%PHI2026-07-27 · @ CHW · W 9-5 · model gave 47%CHW2026-07-28 · @ CHW · W 3-2 · model gave 47%CHW2026-07-29 · @ CHW · L 5-6 · model gave 47%CHW2026-07-30 · @ CHW · L 1-2 · model gave 47%CHW2026-07-31 · @ CHC · W 2-0 · model gave 41%CHC2026-08-01 · @ CHC · L 2-5 · model gave 41%CHC

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

170 games · 2025-08-02 → 2026-08-01

Peak 1607 · Now 1527 · Trough 1500

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

2 moves
  1. Jun 11

    Reinstated RHP Angel Chivilli from the 15-day IL and optioned him to Scranton/Wilkes-Barre (IL).

  2. Jun 10

    Sent RHP Angel Chivilli on a rehab assignment to Scranton/Wilkes-Barre (IL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Ali Sanchez

A. Sanchez

C · #39

Amed Rosario

A. Rosario

3B · #14

Angel Chivilli

A. Chivilli

RP · #57

Anthony Volpe

A. Volpe

SS · #11

Austin Wells

A. Wells

C · #28

Ben Rice

B. Rice

1B · #22

Brent Headrick

B. Headrick

RP · #47

Cam Schlittler

C. Schlittler

SP · #31

David Bednar

D. Bednar

RP · #53

Fernando Cruz

F. Cruz

RP · #63

Gerrit Cole

G. Cole

SP · #45

Jasson Dominguez

J. Dominguez

RF · #24

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

J. Chisholm Jr.

2B · #13

Jose Caballero

J. Caballero

SS · #72

Max Fried

M. Fried

SP · #54

Max Schuemann

M. Schuemann

LF · #30

Paul Blackburn

P. Blackburn

RP · #58

Paul Goldschmidt

P. Goldschmidt

1B · #48

Ryan McMahon

R. McMahon

3B · #19

Ryan Weathers

R. Weathers

SP · #40

Ryan Yarbrough

R. Yarbrough

RP · #33

Spencer Jones

S. Jones

CF · #78

Tim Hill

T. Hill

RP · #41

Trent Grisham

T. Grisham

CF · #12

Will Warren

W. Warren

SP · #29

Yovanny Cruz

Y. Cruz

RP · #96

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

61%Last 7 · 59-38
60%Last 30 · 249-169
Receipts →

Model picks on NYY

41-34 graded · 54.7% (95% CI 43.4-65.4) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-03-26

All MLB · 698-590 graded

Tonight's graded board →