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FINAL+3CAR
CAR

CAR

47-21-6

52
CBJ

CBJ

38-25-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 31FinalSeriesCAR leads series 2-1VegasCAR -130

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 5–2.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

CAR
Nikolaj Ehlers

Nikolaj Ehlers

LW · #27

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Kirill Marchenko

Kirill Marchenko

RW · #86

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
2
CAR47-21-6CBJ38-25-12
CAR

CAR

47-21-6

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

38-25-12

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

10

Season series

CAR leads series 2-1

Dec 10CBJCBJ1@CARCAR4
Mar 17CARCAR1@CBJCBJ5
Mar 31CARCAR5@CBJCBJ2today
Apr 2CBJCBJ1@CARCAR5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CARCAR-13057%
CBJCBJ+11048%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 16 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat CBJ 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CAR2035
CBJ0112

Period scoring

CAR won 2 · CBJ won 1

2
0

1

0
1

2

3
1

3

CAR
CBJ

Play-by-play · 332 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  3. 3rd·19:59

    Cole Sillinger Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  4. 3rd·19:49

    Kent Johnson shot blocked by Miles Wood

    ·

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  5. 3rd·19:48

    Miles Wood Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  6. 3rd·19:41

    Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin

    ·

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  7. 3rd·19:13

    Cole Sillinger faceoff won against Mark Jankowski

    ·

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  8. 3rd·19:13

    Jordan Martinook Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: none

    CAR 5·CBJ 2

  9. 3rd·19:07

    Adam Fantilli shot blocked by Charlie Coyle

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  10. 3rd·19:01

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Boone Jenner

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  11. 3rd·19:01

    Jackson Blake Tripping against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  12. 3rd·18:47

    Mason Marchment hit Sean Walker

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  13. 3rd·18:30

    Mason Marchment hit Andrei Svechnikov

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  14. 3rd·18:25

    Sean Walker shot blocked by Ivan Provorov

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  15. 3rd·18:11

    Seth Jarvis Backhand Off Crossbar

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  16. 3rd·18:07

    Giveaway by Kirill Marchenko

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  17. 3rd·17:39

    K'Andre Miller Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  18. 3rd·17:34

    Sebastian Aho Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  19. 3rd·16:50

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  20. 3rd·16:50

    Goalie Stopped

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  21. 3rd·16:48

    Zach Werenski Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  22. 3rd·16:46

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  23. 3rd·16:46

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  24. 3rd·16:43

    Danton Heinen Wrist Shot Short

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  25. 3rd·16:39

    Cole Sillinger Tip-In saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  26. 3rd·16:38

    Giveaway by K'Andre Miller

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  27. 3rd·16:30

    Cole Sillinger Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  28. 3rd·16:21

    K'Andre Miller Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  29. 3rd·16:18

    Takeaway by K'Andre Miller

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

  30. 3rd·16:12

    Giveaway by K'Andre Miller

    CAR 4·CBJ 2

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

33

Shots

25

60.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

10

37

Faceoffs W

24

10

Blocks

15

16

Giveaways

13

5

Takeaways

4

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -130/CBJ +110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+110

Close price

+110

Open no-vig

45.7%

Close no-vig

45.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR