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CIN#3 · American Football Conference
Cincinnati Bengals
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#22 of 32
Elo rating 1464.9 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-07 → 2026-01-04 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 5 at BUF, 34-39, 2025-12-07. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 24 vs BAL, 0-24, 2025-12-14. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Won by 24 at MIA, 45-21, 2025-12-21. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 23 vs ARI, 37-14, 2025-12-28. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 2 vs CLE, 18-20, 2026-01-04. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 22nd of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 867 graded plays; the defense ranked 28th across 857.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
867 off plays · 857 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.008
Team EPA per play
22nd of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.135
Team EPA per play allowed
28th of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split867/857 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays-0.00832
22nd of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG +0.102 (7th)
Success46.0%71
10th of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 47.8% (8th)
Explosive6.6%26
24th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 6.7% (27th)
Dropbacks-0.05723
25th of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.174 (5th)
Rushes+0.08699+
1st of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG -0.060 (16th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays+0.13513
28th of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG +0.058 (25th)
Success48.3%13
28th of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 47.3% (30th)
Explosive9.6%3
31st of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.9% (16th)
Dropbacks+0.18513
28th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.087 (22nd)
Rushes+0.0596
30th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG +0.017 (28th)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG -0.008 · 2024 REG +0.102 · -0.110
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG +0.135 · 2024 REG +0.058 · +0.076
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 867 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Joe Burrow17 TD1,809
- 2Joe Flacco13 TD1,664
- 3Jake Browning6 TD771
Rushing yards
- 1Chase Brown6 TD1,019
- 2Samaje Perine3 TD382
- 3Tahj Brooks0 TD45
- 4Joe Burrow0 TD41
- 5Jake Browning1 TD39
Receiving yards
- 1Ja'Marr Chase8 TD1,412
- 2Tee Higgins11 TD846
- 3Chase Brown5 TD437
- 4Andrei Iosivas2 TD435
- 5Mike Gesicki2 TD307
Receptions
- 1Ja'Marr Chase16 G125
- 2Chase Brown17 G69
- 3Tee Higgins15 G59
- 4Noah Fant13 G34
- 5Andrei Iosivas15 G33
Total TDs
- 1Joe Burrow8 G17
- 2Joe Flacco9 G14
- 3Tee Higgins15 G11
- 4Chase Brown17 G11
- 5Ja'Marr Chase16 G8
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Joe Flacco
416 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate32.0
- EPA / play-0.082
- Accuracy +-0.5%
- Pressure0.2%
Built on -0.082 EPA/play and -0.5% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Middle
avg rank 18.0
YDS
18th
Total yards
PASS
7th
Pass yards
RUSH
29th
Rush yards
PTS
5th
Points
TO
31st
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-heavy
73% pass · 27% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
343vs 342 yds/GLeague avg
Passing yards
250vs 225 yds/GSlight edge
Rushing yards
94vs 117 yds/GBelow avg
Points scored
29.3vs 23.5 pts/GAbove avg
Turnovers
1.40vs 0.90 TO/GBelow avg
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 6 picks
The new arrivals.
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 9
Signed DE Cashius Howell to a rookie contract.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 45
The attack
A. Mims
OT · #71
A. Iosivas
WR · #80
A. Coker
OT · #79
B. Parker II
OT · #62
C. Grandy
TE · #85
C. Jones
WR · #15
C. Brown
RB · #30
C. Jones
OT · #76
C. Ford
OT · #61
C. Young
WR · #86
C. Lew
C · #65
C. Robinson II
OT · #77
D. Risner
G · #66
D
D. Meyers
WR · #81
D. Sample
TE · #89
D. Fairchild
G · #63
E. All Jr.
TE · #83
G. Brightwell
RB · #32
J. Chase
WR · #1
J. Endries
TE · #84
J. Bayer
C · #69
J. Rivers
G · #74
J. Haynes
RB · #24
J. Foster
OT · #73
J. Burrow
QB · #9
J. Flacco
QB · #16
J. Moore
WR · #14
J. Johnson
QB · #11
J. Kattus
TE · #48
K. Williams
WR · #12
K. Milton
RB · #36
K. Pryor
WR · #19
K. Bullock
RB · #31
L. Brown
G · #60
M. Gesicki
TE · #88
M. Tinsley
WR · #82
N. Thomas
WR · #17
O. Brown Jr.
OT · #75
S. Perine
RB · #34
S. Clifford
QB · #4
T. Brooks
RB · #25
T. Hudson
TE · #87
T. Karras
C · #64
T. Higgins
WR · #5
X. Johnson
WR · #18
Defense · 42
The stop unit
A. Powell-Ryland
LB · #56
B.J. Hill
DT · #92
B. Carter
LB · #49
B. Mafe
DE · #53
B. Lux
CB · #21
B. Cook
S · #6
C. Howell
DE · #55
C. Johnson
DE · #52
C. Wright
CB · #22
D. Anthony
S · #33
D. Hill
CB · #23
D. Knight Jr.
LB · #44
D. Lawrence II
DT · #97
D. Ivey
CB · #38
D. Turner II
CB · #0
E. Gentry
LB · #58
H. Cross III
DT · #95
I. Foskey
DE · #51
I. Nwokobia
S · #41
J. Taylor
CB · #26
J. Dingle
LB · #59
J. Davis
CB · #35
J. Kimber
CB · #40
J. Giles-Harris
LB · #43
J. Allen
DT · #93
J. Battle
S · #27
J. Jefferson
DT · #68
J. Newton
CB · #28
K. Jenkins Jr.
DT · #90
K. Dugger
S · #29
L. Robinson
DT · #96
L. Anderson
LB · #45
M. Jackson
DT · #91
M. Murphy
DE · #99
O. Burks
LB · #42
P. Jules
S · #37
R. Yeast
S · #39
S. Heyward
LB · #50
S. Stewart
DE · #94
S. Bozeman
LB · #47
T.J. Slaton Jr.
DT · #98
T. Davis
CB · #20
Special teams · 3
