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PHI#12 · National Football Conference

Philadelphia Eagles

0-0 (0.0%) · -

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#6 of 32

Elo rating 1586.7 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2025-12-14 → 2026-01-11 · Full ATS profile →

latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01

Model picks on PHI

No graded picks for this league yet

Graded snap by snap

How good were they, snap to snap?

Their offense ranked 18th of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 888 graded plays; the defense ranked 3rd across 1006.

EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.

888 off plays · 1006 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds

OFFENSE · 2025 REG

+0.011

Team EPA per play

18th of 32

lg avg +0.009

DEFENSE · 2025 REG

-0.099

Team EPA per play allowed

3rd of 32

lg avg +0.014

The full split888/1006 plays

Offense — team-wide, every graded snap

All plays+0.01145

18th of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG +0.108 (6th)

Success42.8%29

23rd of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 45.3% (14th)

Explosive7.3%48

17th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 9.2% (9th)

Dropbacks+0.03235

21st of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.156 (9th)

Rushes-0.01968

11th of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG +0.055 (6th)

Defense — allowed, lower is better

All plays-0.09994

3rd of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG -0.105 (1st)

Success41.4%81

7th of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 39.2% (3rd)

Explosive6.5%84

6th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.0% (5th)

Dropbacks-0.09090

4th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG -0.058 (1st)

Rushes-0.11290

4th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.178 (2nd)

Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.

Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.

Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG +0.011 · 2024 REG +0.108 · -0.097

Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG -0.099 · 2024 REG -0.105 · +0.006

Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.

nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 888 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1

nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Passing yards

1Jalen Hurts25 TD3,224
2Tanner McKee1 TD274

Rushing yards

1Saquon Barkley7 TD1,140
2Jalen Hurts8 TD421
3Tank Bigsby2 TD344
4AJ Dillon0 TD60
5Will Shipley0 TD49

Receiving yards

1DeVonta Smith4 TD1,008
2A.J. Brown7 TD1,003
3Dallas Goedert11 TD591
4Saquon Barkley2 TD273
5Jahan Dotson1 TD262

Receptions

Total TDs

Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.

Yards per carry

1Tank Bigsby58 car5.9
2Saquon Barkley280 car4.1
3Jalen Hurts105 car4.0

Min 50 carries.

2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries

Under center

What the QB is worth

QB value (our estimate)

Jalen Hurts

489 att · n=42 qualified QBs

Our QBR estimate63.7

EPA / play+0.096
Accuracy +2.3%
Pressure0.2%

Built on +0.096 EPA/play and 2.3% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.

Box-score power tier · league of 32

Where they rank

Middle

avg rank 16.6

YDS

24th

Total yards

PASS

23rd

Pass yards

RUSH

18th

Rush yards

PTS

14th

Points

4th

Turnovers

Offensive profile · 2025

How the offense plays

Per-game · 17 weeks

Identity · Pass-leaning

64% pass · 36% rush

PASS

RUSH

Total yards

323vs 342 yds/GSlight gap

Passing yards

206vs 225 yds/GSlight gap

Rushing yards

117vs 117 yds/GLeague avg

Points scored

24.4vs 23.5 pts/GLeague avg

Turnovers

0.60vs 0.90 TO/GAbove avg

Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.

2026 Draft Class · 5 picks

The new arrivals.

RND 1 · PICK 20

Makai Lemon

WR · USC

RND 2 · PICK 54

Eli Stowers

TE · Vanderbilt

RND 3 · PICK 68

Markel Bell

OT · Miami

RND 5 · PICK 178

Cole Payton

QB · North Dakota St.

RND 6 · PICK 207

Micah Morris

G · Georgia

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

6 moves

Jun 10
Signed DE A.J. Epenesa and G Michael Jordan to a contract. Waived LBs Isiah King and Chandler Martin. Released OLB Za'Darius Smith from the reserve/retired list.
Jun 5
Signed DT Zion Wilson to a contract. Waived WR Brandon Hayes.
Jun 3
Signed LB Chandler Martin to a contract.
Jun 2
Signed RB Elijah Mitchell to a contract. Released DE Brandon Graham. Traded WR A.J. Brown to New England for a 2028 first-round pick and a conditional 2027 fifth-round pick.
Jun 1
Signed WR Samori Toure to a contract. Waived LB Chandler Martin.
May 27
Signed WR Brandon Hayes to a contract.

Source · ESPN

Offense · 47