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OKC#1 · Western Conference

Oklahoma City Thunder

64-18 (78.0%) · L2 · L10 7-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#2 of 30

Elo rating 1610.2 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-05-22 → 2026-05-30 · Full ATS profile →

Model picks on OKC

Below the 30-pick gate (n=6)

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

117.4

#6 of 30

DRtg

106.1

#1 of 30

Net rating

+11.3

#1 of 30

Pace

101.7

#18 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander68 G31.1
2Chet Holmgren69 G17.1
3Jalen Williams33 G17.1
4Ajay Mitchell57 G13.6
5Isaiah Joe71 G11.1

Rebounds per game

Assists per game

True shooting %

1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander68 G66.5%
2Isaiah Joe71 G65.7%
3Chet Holmgren69 G65.3%
4Isaiah Hartenstein47 G63.1%
5Jaylin Williams65 G59.7%

Effective FG %

1Isaiah Hartenstein47 G62.2%
2Isaiah Joe71 G62.2%
3Chet Holmgren69 G61.4%
4Shai Gilgeous-Alexander68 G59.7%
5Jared McCain30 G57.0%

Usage %

1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander68 G33.6%
2Jalen Williams33 G26.8%
3Jared McCain30 G22.2%
4Ajay Mitchell57 G22.1%
5Chet Holmgren69 G21.1%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

97 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

55.9%vs 54.4%+1.5

Field goal %

48.2%vs 47.0%+1.2

Three-point %

36.5%vs 0.0%+36.5

Free throw %

82.0%vs 78.1%+3.9

PPG

118.5

APG

25.8

TO/G

11.9

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

Spot-Up1.05 PPP48th
P&R Ball-Handler0.98 PPP97th
Transition1.21 PPP100th
Isolation1.03 PPP100th
Cut1.30 PPP38th
P&R Roll Man1.11 PPP52nd
Handoff0.96 PPP55th
Putbacks1.18 PPP79th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

Spot-Up1.05 PPP41st
P&R Ball-Handler0.81 PPP97th
Transition1.02 PPP100th
Cut1.22 PPP90th
Isolation0.86 PPP97th
P&R Roll Man1.04 PPP93rd

Elite transition — 100th pct, 1.21 PPP. Efficient across the play-type diet.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

1Hartenstein · Gilgeous-Alexander · Dort · Holmgren · Williams234 off poss · 113m+30.0
2Gilgeous-Alexander · Dort · Holmgren · Williams · Wallace279 off poss · 126m+24.7
3Hartenstein · Gilgeous-Alexander · Dort · Holmgren · Wallace342 off poss · 167m+19.3

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+2.8
2Chet Holmgren+1.7
3Ajay Mitchell+1.0
4Jalen Williams+0.9

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

12 games · for vs against

ForAgainst

113.3 avg / 108.8 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 1.4% more of their shots from above the break than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 42.6% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 56.4% · lg 54.5%

Rim

27.7% of FGA · lg 28.4% (-0.7pp)

FG 69.1% · lg 67.0% · +2.1pp

Paint (non-RA)

18.9% of FGA · lg 20.1% (-1.2pp)

FG 45.6% · lg 44.4% · +1.2pp

Mid-range

10.9% of FGA · lg 10.1% (+0.8pp)

FG 47.9% · lg 41.6% · +6.3pp

Corner 3

10.4% of FGA · lg 10.7% (-0.3pp)

FG 38.4% · lg 38.5% · -0.1pp

Above the break 3

32.1% of FGA · lg 30.7% (+1.4pp)

FG 36.1% · lg 35.0% · +1.1pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=7,924 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Scoring identity