ATL
45-33
BKN
18-59
ATL · top performer
CJ McCollum
G · #3
25
Pts
2
Reb
7
Ast
BKN · top performer
Malachi Smith
G · #18
15
Pts
2
Reb
0
Ast
Biggest swing: 8pp · 2nd Quarter · 12:00
NBA · Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 27 | 15 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | +37 | 7 | 4 | |
| 28 | 18 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-7 | +28 | 11 | 5 | |
| 25 | 25 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 5-6 | +15 | 2 | 7 | |
| 34 | 21 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | +21 | 4 | 3 | |
| 29 | 11 | 5-8 | 1-2 | — | +29 | 4 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 15 | 13 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | +16 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 12 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | +8 | 2 | 1 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2-3 | — | 1-1 | -7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | — | +7 | 1 | 2 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | — | -6 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2-2 | — | 1-1 | +4 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-2 | — | — | +4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | — | +6 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2-2 | — | — | +4 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team | 141 | 51-90 | 20-39 | 19-24 | 41 | 36 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 21 | 12 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | -17 | 4 | 1 | |
| 25 | 16 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | -19 | 5 | 2 | |
| 23 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | — | -14 | 2 | 1 | |
| 29 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -25 | 2 | 4 | |
| 29 | 13 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | -23 | 2 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 8 | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -11 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 8 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | -15 | 3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 10 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | -12 | 3 | 0 | |
| 23 | 11 | 5-7 | — | 1-2 | -11 | 6 | 4 | |
| 17 | 15 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | -5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 25 | 2 | 1-4 | — | — | -18 | 2 | 4 | |
| Team | 107 | 39-79 | 12-28 | 17-20 | 33 | 24 | ||
| DNP: J. Wilson, E.J. Liddell, O. Agbaji, T. Etienne | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
57
FG %
49
36
Ast
24
Team stats
ATL
Away
Stat
BKN
Home
51-90
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
39-79
57
FG %
49
20-39
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
12-28
19-24
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-20
36
Assists
24
13
Turnovers
18
Season series
ATL wins series 4-0
ATL117@BKN112BKN104@ATL115BKN97@ATL108ATL141@BKN107todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ATL -16.5
Between 10 and —
Total
225.5
Standard · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ATL-180095%BKN+10009%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 19 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
16.5
0.0 since open
Total
225.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
ATL beat BKN 141-107. C. McCollum paced them with 25 PTS, 2 REB, 7 AST. ATL outscored the other side 43-22 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
BKN vs ATL
Starters vs bench
production by unitATLstarters 64% of ptsStarters(5)
90 PTS · 28 REB · 25 AST
GS 85
Bench(10)
51 PTS · 13 REB · 11 AST
GS 50
BKNstarters 51% of ptsStarters(5)
55 PTS · 15 REB · 12 AST
GS 38
Bench(6)
52 PTS · 18 REB · 12 AST
GS 42
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCorey Kispert · enters the game for Zaccharie Risacher
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 35 | 36 | 27 | 43 | 141 |
| BKN | 25 | 30 | 30 | 22 | 107 |
Period scoring
ATL won 3 · BKN won 1
Q1
McCollum 8
Smith 6
Q2
Johnson 9
Smith 6
Q3
McCollum 7
Claxton 8
Q4
Kispert 13
Scott 6
Shooting comparison
57%
51-90
FG
49%
39-79
51%
20-39
3PT
43%
12-28
79%
19-24
FT
85%
17-20
Play-by-play · 453 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
ATL 141·BKN 107
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
ATL 141·BKN 107
- Q4·4.2
Ben Saraf bad pass turnover (Keaton Wallace steals)
·
ATL 141·BKN 107
- Q4·13.1
Caleb Houstan makes 9-foot turnaround jump shot (Asa Newell assists)
·
ATL 141·BKN 107
- Q4·26.6
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
ATL 139·BKN 107
- Q4·30.1
Trevon Scott misses driving floating jump shot
ATL 139·BKN 107
- Q4·43.9
Drake Powell defensive rebound
ATL 139·BKN 107
- Q4·43.9
Buddy Hield misses 21-foot running jump shot
ATL 139·BKN 107
- Q4·46.3
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
ATL 139·BKN 107
- Q4·49.7
Ben Saraf misses driving layup
ATL 139·BKN 107
- Q4·59.9
Keaton Wallace makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Caleb Houstan assists)
·
ATL 139·BKN 107
- Q4·1:16
Nolan Traore traveling turnover
ATL 137·BKN 107
- Q4·1:24
Asa Newell makes two point shot
ATL 137·BKN 107
- Q4·1:25
Asa Newell offensive rebound
ATL 135·BKN 107
- Q4·1:28
Chaney Johnson blocks Asa Newell 's 1-foot driving dunk
· ·
ATL 135·BKN 107
- Q4·1:37
Trevon Scott makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)
·
ATL 135·BKN 107
- Q4·1:53
Christian Koloko makes 1-foot dunk (Keaton Wallace assists)
·
ATL 135·BKN 104
- Q4·2:06
Chaney Johnson makes free throw 2 of 2
·
ATL 133·BKN 104
- Q4·2:06
Nets offensive team rebound
ATL 133·BKN 103
- Q4·2:06
Chaney Johnson misses free throw 1 of 2
·
ATL 133·BKN 103
- Q4·2:06
Asa Newell shooting foul
ATL 133·BKN 103
- Q4·2:27
Christian Koloko makes free throw 1 of 1
ATL 133·BKN 103
- Q4·2:27
Ben Saraf shooting foul
ATL 132·BKN 103
- Q4·2:27
Christian Koloko makes 4-foot reverse layup (Asa Newell assists)
·
ATL 132·BKN 103
- Q4·2:44
Trevon Scott makes free throw 1 of 1
ATL 130·BKN 103
- Q4·2:44
Christian Koloko shooting foul
ATL 130·BKN 102
- Q4·2:44
Trevon Scott makes 1-foot running dunk (Chaney Johnson assists)
· ·
ATL 130·BKN 102
- Q4·2:46
Chaney Johnson defensive rebound
·
ATL 130·BKN 100
- Q4·2:49
Buddy Hield misses 21-foot jumper
ATL 130·BKN 100
- Q4·3:03
Nolan Traore loose ball foul
ATL 130·BKN 100
Betting line
ATL -16.5·O/U 225.5·ATL -1800/BKN +1000
Recap · NBA
tlanta Hawks went into Brooklyn Nets and beat them, 141–107. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ATL -16.5 cashed (won by 34). Total cleared the 225.5 OVER by 22.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Onyeka OkongwuATL · FDEFL4.299
Dyson DanielsATL · GDEFL4.299
Jalen JohnsonATL · FTOUCHES79.397
Ziaire WilliamsLAL · FDEFL3.295
Nic ClaxtonCHI · CCONT7.392
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.0%
ensemble · BKN favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
BKN vs ATL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
150
projections · 145 high confidence
Points
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN22.7± 6.2high
- Jalen JohnsonATL19.8± 3.8high
- CJ McCollumATL19.4± 8.5high
Rebounds
- Jalen JohnsonATL9.1± 2.5high
- Julius RandleBKN7.2± 2.1high
- Dyson DanielsATL6.9± 4.3high
Assists
- Ryan NembhardATL6.2± 5.9high
- Jalen JohnsonATL5.8± 1.8high
- Dyson DanielsATL5.7± 3.7high
Blocks
- CJ McCollumATL0.9± 0.9high
- Onyeka OkongwuATL0.9± 0.7high
- Josh MinottBKN0.9± 1.2high
Steals
- Dyson DanielsATL2.1± 1.3high
- Josh MinottBKN1.3± 1.0high
- Nolan TraoreBKN1.2± 1.4high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
ATL
league avg
BKN
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.0%
47.2%
FG%
47.0
44.3%
117.2
PPG
114.9
105.9
29.6
Assists / G
25.0
25.0
13.4
Turnovers / G
14.0
15.0