NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+40NY

CHI

29-48

96136

50-28

NBAFri, Apr 3FinalSeriesNY wins series 3-1VegasNY -13.5

CHI · top performer

Tre Jones

G · #30

15.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

OG Anunoby

F · #8

26.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowCHI ↔ NY

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
G. YabuseleF · #28	25	5	2-9	1-6	—	-27	4	1
I. OkoroF · #35	26	7	3-6	0-2	1-1	-40	1	2
M. BuzelisF · #14	23	11	4-9	1-5	2-4	-19	6	0
T. JonesG · #30	26	13	4-5	—	5-8	-12	3	8
J. GiddeyG · #3	26	6	3-12	0-4	0-2	-32	5	5
Bench
P. WilliamsF · #44	21	7	3-8	1-4	—	-19	3	2
L. MillerF · #11	28	14	5-8	2-3	2-3	-26	6	0
L. OlbrichC · #47	11	8	3-6	0-1	2-4	+1	2	1
C. SextonG · #2	29	19	6-12	5-7	2-2	-19	2	1
M. McClungG · #5	5	0	0-1	0-1	—	0	0	1
R. DillinghamG · #7	17	3	1-4	0-1	1-2	-7	4	2
Y. KawamuraG · #8	5	3	1-1	1-1	—	0	0	1
Team		96	35-81	11-35	15-26		36	24

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	31	31	9-15	7-10	6-6	+32	8	2
M. RobinsonC · #23	23	17	7-7	—	3-4	+13	11	0
J. HartG · #3	28	7	3-5	—	1-2	+30	11	4
M. BridgesG · #25	23	12	4-12	0-5	4-4	+15	2	0
J. BrunsonG · #11	30	17	6-13	1-4	4-4	+25	1	10
Bench
J. SochanF · #20	17	7	2-2	—	3-4	+30	8	1
P. DadietF · #4	10	5	2-5	1-4	—	-7	1	0
M. DiawaraF · #51	12	6	2-4	0-2	2-2	+4	1	2
A. HukportiC · #55	8	6	2-2	—	2-2	-3	3	0
J. ClarksonG · #00	9	4	2-6	0-1	—	+27	5	3
L. ShametG · #44	13	8	3-7	2-4	—	+12	1	1
J. AlvaradoG · #5	12	2	1-3	0-2	—	+4	1	4
M. McBrideG · #2	13	6	2-4	2-4	—	+14	1	1
T. KolekG · #13	12	8	3-6	2-3	—	+4	0	2
Team		136	48-91	15-39	25-28		54	30
DNP: K. Towns

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

Home

35-81

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

48-91

FG %

11-35

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

15-39

15-26

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

25-28

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY wins series 3-1

Nov 1

NY125@

CHI135

Nov 3

CHI116@

NY128

Feb 23

NY105@

CHI99

Apr 3

CHI96@

NY136today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -13.5

Between 10 and —

Total

236.5

High-scoring · +10.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI+75012%

NY-120092%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -13.5↗SpreadBet NY -13.5↗

Line movement · 20 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

13.5

0.0 since open

Total

236.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat CHI 136-96. O. Anunoby paced them with 31 PTS, 8 REB, 2 AST. NY outscored the other side 38-16 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs CHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

CHIstarters 44% of pts

Starters(5)

42 PTS · 19 REB · 16 AST

GS 27

Bench(7)

54 PTS · 17 REB · 8 AST

GS 33

NYstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

84 PTS · 33 REB · 16 AST

GS 77

Bench(9)

52 PTS · 21 REB · 14 AST

GS 53

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
CHI	16	25	31	24	96
NY	38	40	30	28	136

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · NY won 3

Sexton 9

Robinson 10

Jones 7

Anunoby 13

Giddey 6

Anunoby 12

Olbrich 8

Kolek 74

CHI

Shooting comparison

CHI

43%

35-81

53%

48-91

31%

11-35

3PT

38%

15-39

58%

15-26

89%

25-28

Play-by-play · 473 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 96·NY 136
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 96·NY 136
Q4·0.9
shot clock turnover
CHI 96·NY 136
Q4·24.9
Leonard Miller makes 1-foot layup (Yuki Kawamura assists)
·
CHI 96·NY 136
Q4·36.8
Jose Alvarado out of bounds bad pass turnover
CHI 94·NY 136
Q4·53.5
Patrick Williams makes 25-foot three pointer
CHI 94·NY 136
Q4·1:00
Pacome Dadiet makes 26-foot three point jumper (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
CHI 91·NY 136
Q4·1:08
Mohamed Diawara defensive rebound
CHI 91·NY 133
Q4·1:10
Mac McClung misses 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
CHI 91·NY 133
Q4·1:25
Jose Alvarado makes 10-foot pullup jump shot (Mohamed Diawara assists)
·
CHI 91·NY 133
Q4·1:46
Leonard Miller makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 91·NY 131
Q4·1:46
Leonard Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 90·NY 131
Q4·1:46
Mohamed Diawara shooting foul
CHI 89·NY 131
Q4·1:46
Leonard Miller offensive rebound
CHI 89·NY 131
Q4·1:47
Leonard Miller misses driving layup
CHI 89·NY 131
Q4·1:59
Ariel Hukporti makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 89·NY 131
Q4·1:59
Ariel Hukporti makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 89·NY 130
Q4·1:59
Lachlan Olbrich shooting foul
CHI 89·NY 129
Q4·2:05
Lachlan Olbrich personal foul
CHI 89·NY 129
Q4·2:22
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
CHI 89·NY 129
Q4·2:24
Patrick Williams misses driving floating jump shot
CHI 89·NY 129
Q4·2:44
Ariel Hukporti makes 5-foot hook shot (Mohamed Diawara assists)
·
CHI 89·NY 129
Q4·3:07
Lachlan Olbrich makes 2-foot reverse layup (Mac McClung assists)
·
CHI 89·NY 127
Q4·3:25
Mohamed Diawara makes dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
CHI 87·NY 127
Q4·3:29
Lachlan Olbrich bad pass turnover (Jose Alvarado steals)
·
CHI 87·NY 125
Q4·3:35
Mohamed Diawara makes driving layup
CHI 87·NY 125
Q4·4:00
Knicks Full timeout
CHI 87·NY 123
Q4·4:01
Yuki Kawamura makes 25-foot three pointer (Lachlan Olbrich assists)
·
CHI 87·NY 123
Q4·4:10
Tyler Kolek out of bounds lost ball turnover
CHI 84·NY 123
Q4·4:18
Lachlan Olbrich makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 84·NY 123

Betting line

NY -13.5·O/U 236.5·CHI +750/NY -1200

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks held off Chicago Bulls, 136–96. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -13.5 cashed (won by 40). Total stayed UNDER 236.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Josh GiddeyCHI · G
TOUCHES94.199
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496
Matas BuzelisCHI · F
CONT7.995

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

145

projections · 125 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high
Norman PowellCHI
18.4± 5.3high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high

Blocks

Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high
Jalen SmithCHI
0.9± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Jalen BrunsonNY
1.2± 1.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

CHI

league avg

54.7%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

46.9%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

116.3

PPG

114.9

116.4

28.5

Assists / G

◀

25.0

27.0

14.6

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.7

Team pages

Chicago BullsNew York Knicks

Elsewhere in the NBA

Data via ESPN · hoopR