HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBMid 4
CLE 0@MIL 0
-7.6pphigh
MLBTop 2
DET 0@HOU 0
-3.5pphigh
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBBot 2
COL 0@CHC 1
+17.8ppmedium
MLBTop 7
KC 1@WSH 3
+40.4pplow
MLBTop 3
SD 0@STL 2
+34.7pplow
MLBMid 2
MIN 2@TEX 0
-42.5ppmedium
MLBTop 6
TOR 3@BOS 0
-53.8pplow
MLBBot 4
NYM 1@CIN 4
+45.5pplow
MLBTop 7
MIA 2@PHI 8
+43.3pplow
MLBBot 4
CHW 1@NYY 9
+37.6pplow
WNBA3:55 - 3rd
TOR 64@IND 74
+17.4ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBMid 4
CLE 0@MIL 0
-7.6pphigh
MLBTop 2
DET 0@HOU 0
-3.5pphigh
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBBot 2
COL 0@CHC 1
+17.8ppmedium
MLBTop 7
KC 1@WSH 3
+40.4pplow
MLBTop 3
SD 0@STL 2
+34.7pplow
MLBMid 2
MIN 2@TEX 0
-42.5ppmedium
MLBTop 6
TOR 3@BOS 0
-53.8pplow
MLBBot 4
NYM 1@CIN 4
+45.5pplow
MLBTop 7
MIA 2@PHI 8
+43.3pplow
MLBBot 4
CHW 1@NYY 9
+37.6pplow
WNBA3:55 - 3rd
TOR 64@IND 74
+17.4ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Tampa Bay Rays
TB#2 · American League

Tampa Bay Rays

41-28 (59.4%) · L1 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#10 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .510 · exp 35.2-33.8 vs act 41-28 · n=69 · luck +5.8W · thru 2026-06-15 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-10 → 2026-06-15 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 2 vs BOS, 7-5, 2026-06-10. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at LAA, 3-4, 2026-06-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 8 at LAA, 0-8, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 5 at LAA, 8-3, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at LAD, 3-4, 2026-06-15. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Yandy Díaz66 G.898
  2. 2Junior Caminero69 G.864
  3. 3Jonathan Aranda68 G.831
  4. 4Chandler Simpson67 G.618
  5. 5Cedric Mullins62 G.603

Home runs

  1. 1Junior Caminero69 G15
  2. 2Yandy Díaz66 G12
  3. 3Jonathan Aranda68 G11
  4. 4Cedric Mullins62 G6
  5. 5Chandler Simpson67 G0

RBI

  1. 1Jonathan Aranda68 G48
  2. 2Yandy Díaz66 G46
  3. 3Junior Caminero69 G32
  4. 4Cedric Mullins62 G21
  5. 5Chandler Simpson67 G14

Batting average

  1. 1Yandy Díaz66 G.314
  2. 2Jonathan Aranda68 G.276
  3. 3Junior Caminero69 G.275
  4. 4Chandler Simpson67 G.266
  5. 5Cedric Mullins62 G.198

Stolen bases

  1. 1Chandler Simpson67 G14
  2. 2Cedric Mullins62 G12
  3. 3Yandy Díaz66 G1
  4. 4Jonathan Aranda68 G0
  5. 5Junior Caminero69 G0

ERA

  1. 1Nick Martinez83.0 IP2.60
  2. 2Drew Rasmussen73.0 IP2.71

WHIP

  1. 1Drew Rasmussen73.0 IP0.88
  2. 2Nick Martinez83.0 IP1.16

Strikeouts

  1. 1Drew Rasmussen73.0 IP77
  2. 2Nick Martinez83.0 IP50

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.257vs .243Above avg

OBP

.336vs .319Above avg

SLG

.384vs .398Slight gap

OPS

.720vs .717League avg

HR

58

R / G

4.5

K / G

7.3

Pitching

ERA

3.96vs 4.18Above avg

FIP (approx)

4.17vs 4.19League avg

WHIP

1.24vs 1.31Above avg

K / 9

8.0vs 8.5Below avg

BB / 9

3.0vs 3.5Above avg

BAA

.239

HR / 9

1.2

GP

69

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.58 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.171st2nd · 0.17 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.502nd3rd · 0.33 for / 0.42 against · margin -0.083rd4th · 0.33 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.004th5th · 0.58 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.25PEAK5th6th · 0.25 for / 0.75 against · margin -0.506th7th · 0.08 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.587th8th · 0.75 for / 0.50 against · margin +0.258th9th · 0.25 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.089thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.3 avg / 4.3 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.67

Blowout wins (4+)

4

Shutout games

3

Form last 30

15-15

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.7 runs

2356AVG 4.7301263343564738910RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-11 → 2026-06-15

Record

15-15

Win pct

50.0%

Avg margin

-0.4

Longest W

5

Longest L

4

Upset wins

1

Favorite losses

13

2026-05-11 · @ TOR · W 8-5 · model gave 59%TOR2026-05-12 · @ TOR · W 7-6 · model gave 59%TOR2026-05-13 · @ TOR · L 3-5 · model gave 61%TOR2026-05-15 · vs MIA · W 7-2 · model gave 65%MIA2026-05-16 · vs MIA · L 5-10 · model gave 65%MIA2026-05-17 · vs MIA · W 6-3 · model gave 67%MIA2026-05-18 · vs BAL · W 16-6 · model gave 71%BAL2026-05-19 · vs BAL · W 4-1 · model gave 71%BAL2026-05-20 · vs BAL · W 5-3 · model gave 71%BAL2026-05-22 · @ NYY · W 4-2 · model gave 48%NYY2026-05-24 · @ NYY · L 0-2 · model gave 46%NYY2026-05-25 · @ BAL · L 7-9 · model gave 60%BAL2026-05-26 · @ BAL · L 1-6 · model gave 60%BAL2026-05-27 · @ BAL · L 2-11 · model gave 59%BAL2026-05-29 · vs LAA · W 8-5 · model gave 71%LAA2026-05-30 · vs LAA · L 3-14 · model gave 70%LAA2026-05-31 · vs LAA · W 5-2 · model gave 70%LAA2026-06-01 · vs DET · L 9-10 · model gave 65%DET2026-06-02 · vs DET · L 0-8 · model gave 65%DET2026-06-03 · vs DET · L 2-7 · model gave 65%DET2026-06-05 · @ MIA · W 6-0 · model gave 52%MIA2026-06-06 · @ MIA · L 3-4 · model gave 52%MIA2026-06-07 · @ MIA · L 1-4 · model gave 52%MIA2026-06-08 · vs BOS · W 3-1 · model gave 66%BOS2026-06-09 · vs BOS · W 4-3 · model gave 66%BOS2026-06-10 · vs BOS · W 7-5 · model gave 64%BOS2026-06-12 · @ LAA · L 3-4 · model gave 61%LAA2026-06-13 · @ LAA · L 0-8 · model gave 61%LAA2026-06-14 · @ LAA · W 8-3 · model gave 61%LAA2026-06-15 · @ LAD · L 3-4 · model gave 40%LAD

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

159 games · 2025-06-17 → 2026-06-15

Peak 1588 · Now 1545 · Trough 1471

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Sent RF Jonny DeLuca on a rehab assignment to Durham (IL).

  2. Jun 10

    Acquired cash considerations from Houston Astros for 2B Raynel Delgado.

  3. Jun 8

    Transferred RHP Jonathan Heasley to the 60-day IL. Optioned 3B Oliver Dunn to Durham (IL). Selected the contract of RF Austin Slater from Durham.

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Austin Slater

A. Slater

RF · #20

Ben Williamson

B. Williamson

2B · #15

Bryan Baker

B. Baker

RP · #47

Cam Booser

C. Booser

RP · #62

Casey Legumina

C. Legumina

RP · #67

Cedric Mullins

C. Mullins

CF · #31

Chandler Simpson

C. Simpson

LF · #14

Cole Sulser

C. Sulser

RP · #71

Craig Kimbrel

C. Kimbrel

RP · #46

Drew Rasmussen

D. Rasmussen

SP · #57

Garrett Cleavinger

G. Cleavinger

RP · #60

Griffin Jax

G. Jax

RP · #22

Hunter Feduccia

H. Feduccia

C · #9

Ian Seymour

I. Seymour

RP · #61

Jonathan Aranda

J. Aranda

1B · #8

Junior Caminero

J. Caminero

3B · #13

Kevin Kelly

K. Kelly

RP · #49

Nick Fortes

N. Fortes

C · #40

Nick Martinez

N. Martinez

SP · #28

Richie Palacios

R. Palacios

2B · #1

Ryan Vilade

R. Vilade

RF · #26

Shane McClanahan

S. McClanahan

SP · #18

Steven Matz

S. Matz

SP · #32

Taylor Walls

T. Walls

SS · #6

Victor Mesa Jr.

V. Mesa Jr.

RF · #25

Yandy Diaz

Y. Diaz

DH · #2

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on TB

37-20 graded · 64.9% (95% CI 51.9-76.0) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-04-03

All MLB · 594-464 graded

Tonight's graded board →