HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
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San Francisco Giants
SF#14 · National League

San Francisco Giants

29-43 (40.3%) · W1 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#29 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .421 · exp 30.3-41.7 vs act 29-43 · n=72 · luck -1.3W · thru 2026-06-16 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-09 → 2026-06-14 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 3 vs WSH, 3-6, 2026-06-09. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs WSH, 11-10, 2026-06-10. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 4 vs CHC, 1-5, 2026-06-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 5 vs CHC, 1-6, 2026-06-13. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 vs CHC, 5-1, 2026-06-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Casey Schmitt64 G.818
  2. 2Jung Hoo Lee64 G.809
  3. 3Luis Arraez69 G.787
  4. 4Matt Chapman71 G.762
  5. 5Rafael Devers72 G.706

Home runs

  1. 1Casey Schmitt64 G15
  2. 2Willy Adames70 G11
  3. 3Rafael Devers72 G9
  4. 4Matt Chapman71 G7
  5. 5Jung Hoo Lee64 G3

RBI

  1. 1Matt Chapman71 G39
  2. 2Casey Schmitt64 G38
  3. 3Rafael Devers72 G33
  4. 4Willy Adames70 G29
  5. 5Luis Arraez69 G26

Batting average

  1. 1Jung Hoo Lee64 G.331
  2. 2Luis Arraez69 G.319
  3. 3Casey Schmitt64 G.276
  4. 4Matt Chapman71 G.261
  5. 5Rafael Devers72 G.235

Stolen bases

  1. 1Casey Schmitt64 G6
  2. 2Luis Arraez69 G5
  3. 3Jung Hoo Lee64 G3
  4. 4Willy Adames70 G1
  5. 5Matt Chapman71 G0

ERA

  1. 1Logan Webb75.3 IP3.46
  2. 2Landen Roupp74.3 IP4.24
  3. 3Robbie Ray73.3 IP4.42

WHIP

  1. 1Logan Webb75.3 IP1.15
  2. 2Landen Roupp74.3 IP1.29
  3. 3Robbie Ray73.3 IP1.39

Strikeouts

  1. 1Landen Roupp74.3 IP82
  2. 2Robbie Ray73.3 IP66
  3. 3Logan Webb75.3 IP65

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.258vs .243Above avg

OBP

.309vs .319Slight gap

SLG

.416vs .397Slight edge

OPS

.725vs .717League avg

HR

73

R / G

4.1

K / G

7.8

Pitching

ERA

4.52vs 4.17Below avg

FIP (approx)

4.28vs 4.18Slight gap

WHIP

1.40vs 1.31Below avg

K / 9

8.1vs 8.5Slight gap

BB / 9

4.0vs 3.5Below avg

BAA

.252

HR / 9

1.1

GP

72

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.30.50.81.01st · 0.50 for / 0.58 against · margin -0.081st2nd · 0.00 for / 0.00 against · margin +0.002nd3rd · 0.33 for / 0.42 against · margin -0.083rd4th · 0.50 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.254th5th · 0.58 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.085th6th · 0.92 for / 0.58 against · margin +0.33PEAK6th7th · 0.58 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.087th8th · 0.83 for / 0.67 against · margin +0.178th9th · 0.83 for / 0.75 against · margin +0.089thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

5.1 avg / 4.6 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

5.03

Blowout wins (4+)

5

Shutout games

1

Form last 30

11-19

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 5.0 runs

2468AVG 5.001826345678910111213RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-05-13 → 2026-06-14

Record

11-19

Win pct

36.7%

Avg margin

-0.6

Longest W

3

Longest L

5

Upset wins

5

Favorite losses

7

2026-05-13 · @ LAD · L 0-4 · model gave 38%LAD2026-05-14 · @ LAD · L 2-5 · model gave 38%LAD2026-05-15 · @ ATH · L 2-5 · model gave 48%ATH2026-05-16 · @ ATH · W 6-4 · model gave 48%ATH2026-05-17 · @ ATH · W 10-1 · model gave 45%ATH2026-05-18 · @ ARI · L 2-12 · model gave 42%ARI2026-05-19 · @ ARI · L 3-5 · model gave 41%ARI2026-05-20 · @ ARI · L 3-6 · model gave 41%ARI2026-05-22 · vs CHW · L 4-9 · model gave 52%CHW2026-05-23 · vs CHW · W 10-3 · model gave 52%CHW2026-05-24 · vs CHW · W 8-5 · model gave 50%CHW2026-05-25 · vs ARI · L 2-6 · model gave 48%ARI2026-05-26 · vs ARI · L 5-7 · model gave 48%ARI2026-05-27 · vs ARI · L 2-3 · model gave 48%ARI2026-05-29 · @ COL · L 6-8 · model gave 62%COL2026-05-30 · @ COL · L 3-8 · model gave 61%COL2026-05-31 · @ COL · W 19-6 · model gave 61%COL2026-06-01 · @ MIL · L 2-16 · model gave 34%MIL2026-06-02 · @ MIL · L 3-8 · model gave 35%MIL2026-06-03 · @ MIL · W 1-0 · model gave 34%MIL2026-06-04 · @ MIL · W 12-9 · model gave 34%MIL2026-06-05 · @ CHC · W 18-3 · model gave 50%CHC2026-06-06 · @ CHC · L 2-3 · model gave 50%CHC2026-06-07 · @ CHC · W 2-1 · model gave 51%CHC2026-06-08 · vs WSH · L 3-4 · model gave 56%WSH2026-06-09 · vs WSH · L 3-6 · model gave 56%WSH2026-06-10 · vs WSH · W 11-10 · model gave 55%WSH2026-06-12 · vs CHC · L 1-5 · model gave 56%CHC2026-06-13 · vs CHC · L 1-6 · model gave 56%CHC2026-06-14 · vs CHC · W 5-1 · model gave 57%CHC

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

162 games · 2025-06-18 → 2026-06-14

Peak 1525 · Now 1495 · Trough 1452

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Recalled RHP Ryan Walker from Sacramento (PCL).

  2. Jun 11

    Optioned RHP Carson Seymour to Sacramento (PCL).

  3. Jun 10

    Designated LF Will Brennan for assignment. Reinstated LHP Reiver Sanmartin from the 60-day IL. Optioned RHP Tristan Beck to Sacramento (PCL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Adrian Houser

A. Houser

SP · #12

Bryce Eldridge

B. Eldridge

DH · #8

Buddy Kennedy

B. Kennedy

1B · #41

Caleb Kilian

C. Kilian

RP · #45

Casey Schmitt

C. Schmitt

DH · #10

Daniel Susac

D. Susac

C · #6

Drew Gilbert

D. Gilbert

CF · #0

Dylan Smith

D. Smith

RP · #66

Eric Haase

E. Haase

C · #18

Erik Miller

E. Miller

RP · #68

J

J. Cox

CF · #53

JT Brubaker

J. Brubaker

RP · #34

Jung Hoo Lee

J. Lee

RF · #51

Landen Roupp

L. Roupp

SP · #65

Logan Webb

L. Webb

SP · #62

Luis Arraez

L. Arraez

2B · #1

Matt Chapman

M. Chapman

3B · #26

Rafael Devers

R. Devers

1B · #16

Reiver Sanmartin

R. Sanmartin

RP · #48

Robbie Ray

R. Ray

SP · #38

Ryan Walker

R. Walker

RP · #74

Sam Hentges

S. Hentges

RP · #31

Trevor McDonald

T. McDonald

SP · #72

Tristan Beck

T. Beck

RP · #43

Victor Bericoto

V. Bericoto

RF · #78

Willy Adames

W. Adames

SS · #2

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 60-33
61%Last 30 · 297-187
Receipts →

Model picks on SF

Below the 30-pick gate (n=21)