HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over WSH
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Povich (BAL): 6.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Activated RHPs Lake Bachar, Kirby Yates and Luke Weaver (Aug 4)
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Torrens (NYM): 3 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CLE
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Weathers (NYY): 6.0 IP · 6 K in a win over STL
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Agreed to terms with RHP Elieser Hernández on a minor league contract (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · MLBBlue Jays: Activated RHP José Soriano (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed DT Marlon Tuipulotu (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBears: Signed DB Marlen Sewell (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBengals: Waived S Isaiah Nwokobia (Aug 4)
TONIGHT · WNBASEA @ NY, 8/5 - 7:00 PM EDT — NY -8.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over WSH
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Povich (BAL): 6.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Activated RHPs Lake Bachar, Kirby Yates and Luke Weaver (Aug 4)
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Torrens (NYM): 3 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CLE
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Weathers (NYY): 6.0 IP · 6 K in a win over STL
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Agreed to terms with RHP Elieser Hernández on a minor league contract (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · MLBBlue Jays: Activated RHP José Soriano (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed DT Marlon Tuipulotu (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBears: Signed DB Marlen Sewell (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBengals: Waived S Isaiah Nwokobia (Aug 4)
TONIGHT · WNBASEA @ NY, 8/5 - 7:00 PM EDT — NY -8.5
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San Francisco Giants
SF#13 · National League

San Francisco Giants

48-66 (42.1%) · L1 · L10 4-6

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Pythagorean expectation (1.83 exponent)

#23 of 30

Pyth(1.83) .455 · exp 51.8-62.2 vs act 48-66 · n=114 · luck -3.8W · thru 2026-08-04 · mlb_game_results

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-07-31 → 2026-08-04 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 7 at SD, 0-7, 2026-07-31. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at SD, 5-6, 2026-08-01. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at SD, 4-5, 2026-08-02. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 at TEX, 5-1, 2026-08-03. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at TEX, 4-5, 2026-08-04. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

OPS

  1. 1Rafael Devers114 G.793
  2. 2Jung Hoo Lee104 G.792
  3. 3Casey Schmitt98 G.784
  4. 4Willy Adames109 G.690

Home runs

  1. 1Rafael Devers114 G23
  2. 2Casey Schmitt98 G21
  3. 3Willy Adames109 G18
  4. 4Jung Hoo Lee104 G8

RBI

  1. 1Rafael Devers114 G62
  2. 2Casey Schmitt98 G55
  3. 3Willy Adames109 G47
  4. 4Jung Hoo Lee104 G43

Batting average

  1. 1Jung Hoo Lee104 G.305
  2. 2Casey Schmitt98 G.271
  3. 3Rafael Devers114 G.246
  4. 4Willy Adames109 G.222

Stolen bases

  1. 1Casey Schmitt98 G9
  2. 2Jung Hoo Lee104 G8
  3. 3Willy Adames109 G4
  4. 4Rafael Devers114 G0

ERA

  1. 1Robbie Ray122.7 IP3.08
  2. 2Logan Webb125.0 IP3.74
  3. 3Landen Roupp118.3 IP4.34

WHIP

  1. 1Logan Webb125.0 IP1.11
  2. 2Robbie Ray122.7 IP1.29
  3. 3Landen Roupp118.3 IP1.29

Strikeouts

  1. 1Landen Roupp118.3 IP120
  2. 2Robbie Ray122.7 IP107
  3. 3Logan Webb125.0 IP101

2026 season · MLB Stats API · MLB-qualified pool (3.1 PA / 1.0 IP per team game; min 20 G hitters / 20 IP pitchers) — counting boards draw from the same qualified pool

Team rate stats · 2026

Hitting + pitching vs league

MLB Stats API

Hitting

AVG

.252vs .244Slight edge

OBP

.309vs .318Slight gap

SLG

.414vs .401Slight edge

OPS

.723vs .720League avg

HR

129

R / G

4.2

K / G

7.8

Pitching

ERA

4.37vs 4.18Slight gap

FIP (approx)

4.22vs 4.19League avg

WHIP

1.36vs 1.30Slight gap

K / 9

7.8vs 8.5Below avg

BB / 9

3.8vs 3.4Below avg

BAA

.248

HR / 9

1.0

GP

114

Tick mark on each bar is the league average for the 2026 season. ERA / FIP / WHIP / BB-9 are inverted (lower is better); the tone label still reads intuitively. FIP is approximate — fixed 3.10 constant, not the season-derived one.

Inning identity

When they score

Pattern by inning

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.51st · 0.25 for / 0.67 against · margin -0.421st2nd · 0.58 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.172nd3rd · 1.08 for / 0.25 against · margin +0.83PEAK3rd4th · 0.67 for / 1.00 against · margin -0.334th5th · 0.25 for / 0.42 against · margin -0.175th6th · 0.58 for / 0.17 against · margin +0.426th7th · 0.50 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.177th8th · 0.75 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.338th9th · 0.42 for / 0.33 against · margin +0.089thINNINGS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

5.1 avg / 4.0 allowed

Plate signature

The strike zone

Plate identity

From the catcher's view · last 30 games

Zone 1-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-1 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-1 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 1-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-2 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 2-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 100%Zone 3-3 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 1-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 2-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 60%Zone 3-4 · in strike zone · placeholder heat 43%Zone 1-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%Zone 2-5 · edge · placeholder heat 20%Zone 3-5 · edge · placeholder heat 11%STRIKE ZONE

Avg runs / game

4.60

Blowout wins (4+)

6

Shutout games

2

Form last 30

13-17

Pitch heat density activates with Statcast pitch-location ingest. Until then, the signature is the team's aggregate scoring identity.

Run-scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 4.6 runs

2579AVG 4.60129354567891011RUNS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-06-30 → 2026-08-04

Record

13-17

Win pct

43.3%

Avg margin

+0.0

Longest W

3

Longest L

5

Upset wins

6

Favorite losses

7

2026-06-30 · @ ARI · L 2-8 · model gave 52%ARI2026-07-01 · @ ARI · W 6-4 · model gave 49%ARI2026-07-03 · @ COL · L 3-15 · model gave 53%COL2026-07-04 · @ COL · W 6-4 · model gave 55%COL2026-07-05 · @ COL · L 6-7 · model gave 53%COL2026-07-06 · vs TOR · W 10-1 · model gave 64%TOR2026-07-07 · vs TOR · L 3-9 · model gave 62%TOR2026-07-08 · vs TOR · L 0-10 · model gave 60%TOR2026-07-09 · vs COL · W 8-2 · model gave 60%COL2026-07-10 · vs COL · L 3-4 · model gave 60%COL2026-07-11 · vs COL · W 4-2 · model gave 60%COL2026-07-12 · vs COL · W 3-1 · model gave 60%COL2026-07-17 · @ SEA · W 7-0 · model gave 43%SEA2026-07-18 · @ SEA · L 3-4 · model gave 42%SEA2026-07-19 · @ SEA · L 3-6 · model gave 43%SEA2026-07-20 · @ KC · L 3-4 · model gave 43%KC2026-07-21 · @ KC · L 2-3 · model gave 44%KC2026-07-22 · @ KC · L 4-5 · model gave 44%KC2026-07-24 · vs LAA · W 7-6 · model gave 60%LAA2026-07-25 · vs LAA · W 9-2 · model gave 61%LAA2026-07-26 · vs LAA · L 3-4 · model gave 62%LAA2026-07-27 · vs MIL · W 3-0 · model gave 45%MIL2026-07-28 · vs MIL · L 2-8 · model gave 46%MIL2026-07-29 · vs MIL · W 16-3 · model gave 45%MIL2026-07-30 · @ SD · W 4-1 · model gave 40%SD2026-07-31 · @ SD · L 0-7 · model gave 41%SD2026-08-01 · @ SD · L 5-6 · model gave 41%SD2026-08-02 · @ SD · L 4-5 · model gave 40%SD2026-08-03 · @ TEX · W 5-1 · model gave 42%TEX2026-08-04 · @ TEX · L 4-5 · model gave 42%TEX

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

163 games · 2025-08-05 → 2026-08-04

Peak 1524 · Now 1467 · Trough 1452

Next 5 games

The road ahead

@TEXpwr —
vsDETpwr 65
vsDETpwr 65
vsDETpwr 65
vsHOUpwr 73

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves
  1. Jun 12

    Recalled RHP Ryan Walker from Sacramento (PCL).

  2. Jun 11

    Optioned RHP Carson Seymour to Sacramento (PCL).

  3. Jun 10

    Designated LF Will Brennan for assignment. Reinstated LHP Reiver Sanmartin from the 60-day IL. Optioned RHP Tristan Beck to Sacramento (PCL).

Source · ESPN

Position players · 26

Hitters & fielders

Adrian Houser

A. Houser

SP · #12

Blade Tidwell

B. Tidwell

RP · #46

Bryce Eldridge

B. Eldridge

DH · #8

Buddy Kennedy

B. Kennedy

1B · #41

Carson Seymour

C. Seymour

RP · #77

Carson Whisenhunt

C. Whisenhunt

SP · #88

Christian Koss

C. Koss

2B · #50

Daniel Susac

D. Susac

C · #6

D

D. Cavanaugh

C · #61

Drew Gilbert

D. Gilbert

CF · #0

Dylan Smith

D. Smith

RP · #66

Eddys Leonard

E. Leonard

SS · #49

Grant McCray

G. McCray

CF · #58

Jason Foley

J. Foley

RP · #64

JT Brubaker

J. Brubaker

RP · #34

Jung Hoo Lee

J. Lee

RF · #51

Keaton Winn

K. Winn

RP · #67

Landen Roupp

L. Roupp

SP · #65

Logan Webb

L. Webb

SP · #62

Nate Furman

N. Furman

2B · #56

Osleivis Basabe

O. Basabe

SS · #39

Rafael Devers

R. Devers

1B · #16

Reiver Sanmartin

R. Sanmartin

RP · #48

Sam Hentges

S. Hentges

RP · #31

Tristan Beck

T. Beck

RP · #43

Willy Adames

W. Adames

SS · #2

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 61-33
63%Last 30 · 262-157
Receipts →

Model picks on SF

14-16 graded · 46.7% (95% CI 30.2-63.9) · break-even 52.4% · since 2026-04-03

All MLB · 698-590 graded

Tonight's graded board →