NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NYI

CBJ

37-22-11

NYI

40-26-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Mar 22FinalSeriesNYI win series 3-1VegasCBJ -125

Recap · NHL

ew York Islanders held off Columbus Blue Jackets, 1–0.

NYI +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

0Points

—

SOG

NYI · top performer

Bo Horvat

C · #14

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

CBJ37-22-11

NYI40-26-5

CBJ37-22-11NYI40-26-5

CBJ

37-22-11

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

NYI

40-26-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NYI win series 3-1

Nov 2

CBJ2@

NYI3

Dec 28

NYI2@

CBJ4

Feb 28

NYI4@

CBJ3

Mar 22

CBJ0@

NYI1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ-12556%

NYI+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYI beat CBJ 1-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CBJ	0	0	0	0
NYI	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

CBJ won 0 · NYI won 1

CBJ

NYI

Play-by-play · 295 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:52
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:39
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:18
Zach Werenski Snap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:15
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:15
Timeout - Visitor
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:15
Puck in Benches
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:42
Adam Fantilli shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:24
Adam Pelech hit Charlie Coyle
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:05
Zach Werenski shot blocked by Adam Pelech
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:59
Bo Horvat faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:59
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:58
Charlie Coyle Snap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:55
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:55
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:51
Kent Johnson Tip-In saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:35
Cole Sillinger hit Tony DeAngelo
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:05
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:05
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:03
Zach Werenski Slap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:01
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:01
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:58
Kirill Marchenko Slap Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:53
Damon Severson Snap Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:47
Cole Sillinger Wrist Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:46
Cole Sillinger Tip-In saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:07
Simon Holmstrom hit Mason Marchment
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:02
Jean-Gabriel Pageau hit Kirill Marchenko
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1
3rd·15:43
Mathieu Olivier shot blocked by Mason Marchment
·
CBJ 0·NYI 1

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

NYI

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ -125/NYI +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399
Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYI win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYI win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYI win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+105

Close price

+105

Open no-vig

46.8%

Close no-vig

46.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

NYI vs CBJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

135

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Bo HorvatNYI
2.9± 0.9high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Boone JennerCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Charlie CoyleCBJ
0.3± 0.7high

Points

Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
0.8± 0.9high
Mason MarchmentCBJ
0.8± 0.7high
Mathew BarzalNYI
0.8± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands