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FINAL+1NSH
NSH

NSH

33-28-9

32
CHI

CHI

26-31-13

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Mar 22FinalSeriesNSH wins series 3-1VegasNSH -115

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 3–2 in overtime.

CHI +1.5 cashed (NSH won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
3
2
NSH33-28-9CHI26-31-13
NSH

NSH

33-28-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

26-31-13

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

6

Season series

NSH wins series 3-1

Nov 29NSHNSH4@CHICHI3
Jan 11CHICHI3@NSHNSH0
Feb 27CHICHI2@NSHNSH4
Mar 22NSHNSH3@CHICHI2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH-11553%
CHICHI-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗SpreadBet NSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat CHI 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
NSH01113
CHI02002

Period scoring

NSH won 2 · CHI won 1

0
0

1

1
2

2

1
0

3

1
0

OT

NSH
CHI

Play-by-play · 304 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·1:05

    Game End

    NSH 3·CHI 2

  2. OT·1:05

    End of OT

    NSH 3·CHI 2

  3. OT·1:05

    Filip Forsberg Goal (32) Wrist Shot, assists: none

    NSH 3·CHI 2

  4. OT·1:01

    Takeaway by Filip Forsberg

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  5. OT·0:56

    Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  6. OT·0:45

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot High and Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  7. OT·0:23

    Takeaway by Andre Burakovsky

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  8. OT·0:00

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  9. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  10. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  11. 3rd·19:19

    Frank Nazar faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  12. 3rd·19:19

    Puck in Benches

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  13. 3rd·19:14

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  14. 3rd·19:14

    Puck in Netting

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  15. 3rd·19:12

    Andre Burakovsky Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  16. 3rd·18:47

    Ryan Greene Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  17. 3rd·18:36

    Giveaway by Filip Forsberg

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  18. 3rd·17:18

    Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Nick Lardis

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  19. 3rd·16:28

    Takeaway by Jonathan Marchessault

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  20. 3rd·16:20

    Giveaway by Brady Skjei

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  21. 3rd·16:06

    Wyatt Kaiser shot blocked by Roman Josi

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  22. 3rd·16:02

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  23. 3rd·16:02

    Puck in Benches

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  24. 3rd·15:09

    Tyler Bertuzzi Batted saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  25. 3rd·14:41

    Giveaway by Connor Bedard

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  26. 3rd·14:31

    Frank Nazar Wrist Shot Short

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  27. 3rd·13:58

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  28. 3rd·13:58

    Nicolas Hague Tripping against Connor Bedard

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  29. 3rd·13:55

    Andre Burakovsky Batted Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

  30. 3rd·13:53

    Ryan Greene shot blocked by Ryan Ufko

    ·

    NSH 2·CHI 2

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

33

Shots

29

0.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

6

25

Faceoffs W

23

10

Blocks

5

17

Giveaways

16

8

Takeaways

8

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH -115/CHI -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Ilya MikheyevCHI · RW
    SKATE MPH23.595
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-105

Close price

-105

Open no-vig

48.9%

Close no-vig

48.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR