BKN
17-57
LAL
48-26
Recap · NBA
os Angeles Lakers held off Brooklyn Nets, 116–99.
BKN +18.5 cashed (LAL won by 17). Total stayed UNDER 224.5 by 9.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
BKN · top performer
Nic Claxton
C · #33
16
Pts
7
Reb
3
Ast
LAL · top performer
Luka Doncic
G · #77
41
Pts
8
Reb
3
Ast
NBA · Brooklyn Nets at Los Angeles Lakers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 25 | 16 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-6 | -2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 24 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-5 | — | -6 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 16 | 8-10 | — | — | -4 | 7 | 3 | |
| 22 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | -12 | 0 | 1 | |
| 26 | 9 | 4-14 | 1-4 | — | -11 | 1 | 7 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 15 | 9 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | -8 | 6 | 2 | |
| 26 | 18 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-4 | -6 | 6 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | -13 | 2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | — | -16 | 4 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 | — | -1 | 5 | 1 | |
| 22 | 10 | 5-12 | 0-1 | — | -6 | 3 | 2 | |
| Team | 99 | 40-96 | 10-39 | 9-15 | 39 | 24 | ||
| DNP: E.J. Liddell, M. Smith, T. Etienne | ||||||||
DNP: E.J. Liddell, M. Smith, T. Etienne
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 37 | 14 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | +19 | 6 | 8 | |
| 18 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | +2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 22 | 9 | 3-3 | — | 3-4 | +5 | 7 | 0 | |
| 39 | 41 | 15-25 | 5-10 | 6-6 | +19 | 8 | 3 | |
| 40 | 26 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 8-11 | +26 | 8 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 26 | 8 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | +7 | 3 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +6 | 2 | 0 | |
| 26 | 10 | 2-3 | — | 6-10 | +12 | 8 | 1 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | — | -6 | 4 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | — | -5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 116 | 38-70 | 11-25 | 29-42 | 48 | 18 | ||
| DNP: M. Kleber, D. Timme, D. Knecht, K. Bufkin | ||||||||
DNP: M. Kleber, D. Timme, D. Knecht, K. Bufkin
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
42
FG %
54
24
Ast
18
Season series
LAL win series 2-0
LAL125@BKN109BKN99@LAL116todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAL -18.5
Between 10 and —
Total
224.5
Standard · -1.5 vs avg
Moneyline
BKN+11008%LAL-210095%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
18.5
0.0 since open
Total
224.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 9pp · 4th Quarter · 9:23
BKNN. Claxton
CGame leader · 23 min
16 PTS · 7 REB · 3 AST
LALL. Doncic
GGame leader · 39 min40-point game
41 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
LAL beat BKN 116-99. L. Doncic led the way with 41 points and 8 rebounds. LAL outscored the other side 31-15 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LAL vs BKN
Starters vs bench
production by unitBKNstarters 54% of ptsStarters(5)
53 PTS · 13 REB · 15 AST
GS 38
Bench(6)
46 PTS · 26 REB · 9 AST
GS 28
LALstarters 78% of ptsStarters(5)
90 PTS · 31 REB · 16 AST
GS 76
Bench(5)
26 PTS · 17 REB · 2 AST
GS 26
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLuke Kennard · shooting foul
Jaxson Hayes · shooting foul
Austin Reaves · makes 29-foot three point jumper (LeBron James assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 30 | 29 | 25 | 15 | 99 |
| LAL | 35 | 26 | 24 | 31 | 116 |
Period scoring
BKN won 2 · LAL won 2
Q1
Minott 8
Doncic 14
Q2
Claxton 8
Doncic 10
Q3
Williams 11
Doncic 12
Q4
Minott 5
Reaves 15
Shooting comparison
42%
40-96
FG
54%
38-70
26%
10-39
3PT
44%
11-25
60%
9-15
FT
69%
29-42
Play-by-play · 475 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
BKN 99·LAL 116
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BKN 99·LAL 116
- Q4·23.9
shot clock turnover
BKN 99·LAL 116
- Q4·44.8
LeBron James defensive rebound
·
BKN 99·LAL 116
- Q4·49.4
Jalen Wilson misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
BKN 99·LAL 116
- Q4·56.8
Austin Reaves makes 28-foot three point step back jumpshot
BKN 99·LAL 116
- Q4·1:15
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
BKN 99·LAL 113
- Q4·1:18
Josh Minott misses driving floating jump shot
BKN 99·LAL 113
- Q4·1:29
Luka Doncic makes 27-foot three point step back jumpshot
BKN 99·LAL 113
- Q4·1:45
Jalen Wilson offensive foul turnover
BKN 99·LAL 110
- Q4·1:45
Jalen Wilson offensive charge
BKN 99·LAL 110
- Q4·1:49
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
BKN 99·LAL 110
- Q4·1:53
LeBron James misses 19-foot two point shot
·
BKN 99·LAL 110
- Q4·2:15
LeBron James defensive rebound
·
BKN 99·LAL 110
- Q4·2:17
Jalen Wilson misses free throw 1 of 1
BKN 99·LAL 110
+0.7pp
- Q4·2:17
Luka Doncic shooting foul
BKN 99·LAL 110
−0.7pp
- Q4·2:17
Jalen Wilson makes driving layup
BKN 99·LAL 110
- Q4·2:28
Jaxson Hayes makes free throw 2 of 2
BKN 97·LAL 110
- Q4·2:28
Jaxson Hayes makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 97·LAL 109
- Q4·2:28
Josh Minott personal foul
BKN 97·LAL 108
- Q4·2:28
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
BKN 97·LAL 108
- Q4·2:31
Jalen Wilson misses 24-foot three point jumper
BKN 97·LAL 108
- Q4·2:46
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
BKN 97·LAL 108
- Q4·2:49
Austin Reaves misses free throw 2 of 2
BKN 97·LAL 108
- Q4·2:49
Austin Reaves makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 97·LAL 108
- Q4·2:49
Ben Saraf personal foul
BKN 97·LAL 107
- Q4·3:02
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
BKN 97·LAL 107
- Q4·3:07
Josh Minott misses 26-foot running jump shot
BKN 97·LAL 107
- Q4·3:09
Chaney Johnson defensive rebound
BKN 97·LAL 107
- Q4·3:13
Luka Doncic misses 26-foot three point jumper
BKN 97·LAL 107
Team stats
BKN
Away
Stat
LAL
Home
40-96
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
38-70
42
FG %
54
10-39
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
11-25
9-15
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
29-42
24
Assists
18
14
Turnovers
13
Betting line
LAL -18.5·O/U 224.5·BKN +1100/LAL -2100
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 7 players in cohort
Jaxson HayesLAL · CTS%75.899+
Deandre AytonLAL · CCONT10.399
Austin ReavesLAL · GTOUCHES81.896
LeBron JamesLAL · FTOUCHES78.994
Rui HachimuraLAL · FCONT6.590
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · BKN favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAL win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAL win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAL win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LAL vs BKN.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 155 high confidence
Points
- Luka DoncicLAL35.3± 12.2high
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN22.7± 6.2high
- LeBron JamesLAL22.2± 5.8high
Rebounds
- Deandre AytonLAL9.1± 4.7high
- Luka DoncicLAL7.1± 2.1high
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN6.9± 5.2high
Assists
- Luka DoncicLAL7.6± 3.5high
- LeBron JamesLAL7.2± 2.6high
- Austin ReavesLAL5.4± 2.6high
Blocks
- Josh MinottBKN0.9± 1.2high
- Nic ClaxtonBKN0.9± 0.7high
- Deandre AytonLAL0.9± 0.6high
Steals
- Marcus SmartLAL2.1± 1.8high
- Luka DoncicLAL2.0± 1.4high
- Ziaire WilliamsBKN1.7± 1.6high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
BKN
league avg
LAL
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶57.0%
44.3%
FG%
47.0
▶49.9%
105.9
PPG
114.9
▶114.8
25.0
Assists / G
25.0
▶25.7
15.0
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶14.1