HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 6
+52.3pplow
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+10.8pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBTop 4
TEX 0@HOU 3
+41.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA8:12 - 4th
SEA 63@ATL 71
+3.0ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
MLBBot 7
PHI 4@BAL 6
+52.3pplow
MLBTop 8
STL 1@TOR 1
+10.8pppeak
MLBTop 1
KC 0@COL 0
-2.0ppmedium
MLBTop 8
ARI 0@CLE 1
+32.1ppmedium
MLBBot 7
MIA 5@NYM 2
-48.5pplow
MLBTop 4
TEX 0@HOU 3
+41.1pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 6@TB 1
-62.0pplow
MLBBot 7
WSH 1@ATL 6
+40.8pplow
WNBA3:53 - 4th
DAL 68@WSH 69
-0.4pppeak
WNBA8:12 - 4th
SEA 63@ATL 71
+3.0ppmedium
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-2 so far (MLB 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Placed SS J.P (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Selected the contract of RHP Luke Murphy from Rocket City (SL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBTigers: Recalled LHP Enmanuel De Jesus from Toledo (IL) (Jul 31)
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Los Angeles Lakers
LAL#4 · Western Conference

Los Angeles Lakers

53-29 (64.6%) · W3 · L10 7-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#27 of 30

Elo rating 1465.7 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-05-01 → 2026-05-11 · Full ATS profile →

WWon by 20 at HOU, 98-78, 2026-05-01. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 18 at OKC, 90-108, 2026-05-05. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 18 at OKC, 107-125, 2026-05-07. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 23 vs OKC, 108-131, 2026-05-09. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 5 vs OKC, 110-115, 2026-05-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

117.0

#7 of 30

DRtg

113.8

#19 of 30

Net rating

+3.2

#13 of 30

Pace

100.7

#22 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

  1. 1Luka Doncic64 G33.5
  2. 2Austin Reaves51 G23.3
  3. 3Jake LaRavia82 G8.2
  4. 4Jarred Vanderbilt65 G4.4
  5. 5Dalton Knecht54 G4.2

Rebounds per game

  1. 1Luka Doncic64 G7.7
  2. 2Austin Reaves51 G4.7
  3. 3Jarred Vanderbilt65 G4.5
  4. 4Jake LaRavia82 G4.0
  5. 5Dalton Knecht54 G1.4

Assists per game

  1. 1Luka Doncic64 G8.3
  2. 2Austin Reaves51 G5.5
  3. 3Jake LaRavia82 G1.8
  4. 4Jarred Vanderbilt65 G1.3
  5. 5Bronny James42 G1.2

True shooting %

  1. 1Austin Reaves51 G64.1%
  2. 2Luka Doncic64 G61.6%
  3. 3Jake LaRavia82 G57.1%
  4. 4Jarred Vanderbilt65 G54.4%

Effective FG %

  1. 1Austin Reaves51 G56.7%
  2. 2Luka Doncic64 G56.3%
  3. 3Jake LaRavia82 G53.3%
  4. 4Jarred Vanderbilt65 G53.1%

Usage %

  1. 1Luka Doncic64 G38.5%
  2. 2Austin Reaves51 G26.9%
  3. 3Jake LaRavia82 G14.3%
  4. 4Jarred Vanderbilt65 G12.5%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

  1. Spot-Up1.06 PPP59th
  2. Transition1.16 PPP66th
  3. P&R Ball-Handler0.99 PPP100th
  4. Isolation1.03 PPP97th
  5. Cut1.36 PPP83rd
  6. P&R Roll Man1.17 PPP79th
  7. Post-Up0.96 PPP41st
  8. Off Screen1.08 PPP93rd

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

  1. Spot-Up1.02 PPP83rd
  2. Transition1.12 PPP76th
  3. P&R Ball-Handler0.86 PPP72nd
  4. Isolation0.92 PPP62nd
  5. Cut1.41 PPP3rd
  6. Putbacks1.15 PPP45th

▸Elite p&r ball-handler — 100th pct, 0.99 PPP. Efficient across the play-type diet.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

  1. 1Ayton · Dončić · Hachimura · Reaves · Smart239 off poss · 116m+23.5
  2. 2Ayton · Dončić · Reaves · Smart · James384 off poss · 188m+13.5
  3. 3Ayton · Dončić · LaRavia · Smart · James462 off poss · 226m-2.8
  4. 4Ayton · Dončić · Hachimura · Reaves · James277 off poss · 132m-11.3

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

  1. 1Luka Dončić+2.5
  2. 2Luke Kennard+2.4
  3. 3Gabe Vincent+1.6
  4. 4Marcus Smart+1.4

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

6 games · for vs against

7.515.022.530.0Q1 · 25.17 for / 24.83 against · margin +0.33Q1Q2 · 26.67 for / 26.17 against · margin +0.50PEAKQ2Q3 · 23.67 for / 28.67 against · margin -5.00Q3Q4 · 25.50 for / 29.67 against · margin -4.17Q4QUARTERS · LAST 6 GAMES
ForAgainst

101.0 avg / 109.3 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 2.8% more of their shots in the paint outside the restricted area than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 38.9% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 57.0% · lg 54.4%

Rim

27.0% of FGA · lg 28.4% (-1.4pp)

FG 73.4% · lg 66.9% · +6.5pp

Paint (non-RA)

22.8% of FGA · lg 20.0% (+2.8pp)

FG 48.3% · lg 44.3% · +4.0pp

Mid-range

11.2% of FGA · lg 10.1% (+1.1pp)

FG 44.5% · lg 41.6% · +2.9pp

Corner 3

9.9% of FGA · lg 10.8% (-0.9pp)

FG 35.7% · lg 38.6% · -2.9pp

Above the break 3

29.0% of FGA · lg 30.7% (-1.7pp)

FG 36.3% · lg 34.9% · +1.4pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=7,636 team FGA of 233,599 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

6 games · avg 101.0 points

1122AVG 101.085+290+195+100+2105+1110+115+POINTS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 6 games · 2026-04-29 → 2026-05-11

Record

1-5

Win pct

16.7%

Avg margin

-8.3

Longest W

1

Longest L

4

Upset wins

1

Favorite losses

1

2026-04-29 · vs HOU · L 93-99 · model gave 62%HOU2026-05-01 · @ HOU · W 98-78 · model gave 39%HOU2026-05-05 · @ OKC · L 90-108 · model gave 31%OKC2026-05-07 · @ OKC · L 107-125 · model gave 29%OKC2026-05-09 · vs OKC · L 108-131 · model gave 49%OKC2026-05-11 · vs OKC · L 110-115 · model gave 49%OKC

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

6 games · 2026-04-29 → 2026-05-11

Peak 1505 · Now 1466 · Trough 1466

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

2 moves
  1. Apr 12

    Re-signed G Nick Smith Jr. to a contract.

  2. Apr 10

    Waived G Kobe Bufkin.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 18 players

The active roster

Guards

PG · SG

9 players

Bronny James

B. James

G · #9

Austin Reaves

A. Reaves

G · #15

Chris Manon

C. Manon

G · #30

Luka Doncic

L. Doncic

G · #77

Cameron Carr

C. Carr

G

Collin Sexton

C. Sexton

G

Jaden Hardy

J. Hardy

G

Matisse Thybulle

M. Thybulle

G

Quentin Grimes

Q. Grimes

G

Forwards

SF · PF

8 players

Adou Thiero

A. Thiero

F · #1

Jarred Vanderbilt

J. Vanderbilt

F · #2

Dalton Knecht

D. Knecht

F · #4

Jake LaRavia

J. LaRavia

F · #12

A

A. Okereke

F

Kevon Looney

K. Looney

F

Sandro Mamukelashvili

S. Mamukelashvili

F

Ziaire Williams

Z. Williams

F

Centers

1 player

Walker Kessler

W. Kessler

C

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 56-38
60%Last 30 · 246-166
Receipts →

Model picks on LAL

Below the 30-pick gate (n=3)