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MIA#10 · Eastern Conference

Miami Heat

43-39 (52.4%) · W2 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#3 of 30

Elo rating 1500 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Model picks on MIA

Below the 30-pick gate (n=0)

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

115.0

#13 of 30

DRtg

111.7

#11 of 30

Net rating

+3.3

#11 of 30

Pace

106.1

#1 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

1Norman Powell58 G21.7
2Tyler Herro33 G20.5
3Bam Adebayo73 G20.1
4Andrew Wiggins68 G15.4
5Jaime Jaquez Jr.75 G15.4

Rebounds per game

1Bam Adebayo73 G10.0
2Kel'el Ware77 G9.0
3Jaime Jaquez Jr.75 G5.0
4Andrew Wiggins68 G4.8
5Tyler Herro33 G4.8

Assists per game

1Davion Mitchell70 G6.5
2Jaime Jaquez Jr.75 G4.7
3Tyler Herro33 G4.1
4Pelle Larsson70 G3.4
5Bam Adebayo73 G3.2

True shooting %

1Kel'el Ware77 G61.6%
2Kasparas Jakucionis53 G61.4%
3Norman Powell58 G60.9%
4Pelle Larsson70 G60.5%
5Tyler Herro33 G60.2%

Effective FG %

1Kel'el Ware77 G60.1%
2Davion Mitchell70 G57.4%
3Kasparas Jakucionis53 G56.7%
4Tyler Herro33 G56.1%
5Andrew Wiggins68 G55.9%

Usage %

1Norman Powell58 G26.7%
2Tyler Herro33 G25.0%
3Bam Adebayo73 G24.9%
4Jaime Jaquez Jr.75 G23.2%
5Nikola Jovic47 G21.8%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

83 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

54.2%vs 54.4%-0.2

Field goal %

46.8%vs 47.0%-0.1

Three-point %

36.2%vs 0.0%+36.2

Free throw %

79.4%vs 78.1%+1.4

PPG

120.9

APG

29.0

TO/G

13.0

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

Spot-Up1.05 PPP52nd
Transition1.10 PPP24th
Isolation0.95 PPP72nd
Putbacks1.13 PPP48th
P&R Ball-Handler0.87 PPP48th
Cut1.28 PPP24th
Post-Up0.93 PPP21st
Off Screen0.96 PPP48th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

Spot-Up1.02 PPP79th
Transition1.13 PPP41st
P&R Ball-Handler0.90 PPP24th
Cut1.21 PPP97th
Isolation0.92 PPP59th
Putbacks1.17 PPP17th

Strong isolation — 72nd pct, 0.95 PPP. Transition (24th pct) the soft spot.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

1Adebayo · Smith · Jović · Jaquez · Fontecchio174 off poss · 78m+32.2
2Powell · Adebayo · Mitchell · Larsson · Wiggins251 off poss · 118m+23.1
3Powell · Adebayo · Mitchell · Jaquez · Wiggins177 off poss · 83m+17.0
4Powell · Mitchell · Jaquez · Ware · Wiggins177 off poss · 83m+12.8

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

1Davion Mitchell+4.0
2Pelle Larsson+2.3
3Bam Adebayo+2.1
4Tyler Herro+0.8

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 2.9% more of their shots in the paint outside the restricted area than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 40.6% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 54.2% · lg 54.5%

Rim

28.9% of FGA · lg 28.4% (+0.5pp)

FG 66.3% · lg 67.0% · -0.7pp

Paint (non-RA)

23.0% of FGA · lg 20.1% (+2.9pp)

FG 44.2% · lg 44.4% · -0.2pp

Mid-range

7.5% of FGA · lg 10.1% (-2.6pp)

FG 38.0% · lg 41.6% · -3.6pp

Corner 3

10.5% of FGA · lg 10.7% (-0.2pp)

FG 37.6% · lg 38.5% · -0.9pp

Above the break 3

30.1% of FGA · lg 30.7% (-0.6pp)

FG 35.6% · lg 35.0% · +0.6pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=7,646 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves

Apr 11
Re-signed G Jahmir Young to a rest-of-season contract.
Apr 10
Waived G Terry Rozier.
Feb 18
Signed F Myron Gardner to a rest-of-season contract and G Trevor Keels to a two-way contract.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 17 players