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DAL#12 · Western Conference

Dallas Mavericks

26-56 (31.7%) · W1 · L10 3-7

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#3 of 30

Elo rating 1500 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Model picks on DAL

Below the 30-pick gate (n=0)

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

109.6

#27 of 30

DRtg

114.8

#20 of 30

Net rating

-5.2

#24 of 30

Pace

104.2

#5 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

1Cooper Flagg70 G21.0
2Naji Marshall74 G15.2
3P.J. Washington56 G14.2
4Brandon Williams66 G13.0
5Max Christie77 G12.3

Rebounds per game

Assists per game

True shooting %

1Daniel Gafford55 G67.7%
2Marvin Bagley III22 G65.2%
3Max Christie77 G60.1%
4Naji Marshall74 G59.2%
5Brandon Williams66 G57.2%

Effective FG %

1Daniel Gafford55 G65.5%
2Marvin Bagley III22 G65.5%
3Max Christie77 G56.6%
4Naji Marshall74 G54.8%
5Klay Thompson69 G53.2%

Usage %

1Cooper Flagg70 G26.9%
2Brandon Williams66 G25.7%
3Klay Thompson69 G22.1%
4Khris Middleton29 G21.9%
5Naji Marshall74 G20.7%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

82 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

52.7%vs 54.4%-1.7

Field goal %

46.6%vs 47.0%-0.4

Three-point %

34.4%vs 0.0%+34.4

Free throw %

76.0%vs 78.1%-2.1

PPG

114.1

APG

25.3

TO/G

14.0

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

Spot-Up0.98 PPP10th
Transition1.20 PPP97th
P&R Ball-Handler0.84 PPP17th
Isolation0.87 PPP14th
Cut1.24 PPP10th
P&R Roll Man1.10 PPP41st
Putbacks1.14 PPP52nd
Off Screen0.90 PPP7th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

Spot-Up1.02 PPP86th
Transition1.11 PPP83rd
P&R Ball-Handler0.89 PPP45th
Cut1.31 PPP59th
Isolation1.00 PPP7th
Putbacks1.16 PPP41st

Elite transition — 97th pct, 1.20 PPP. Spot-Up (10th pct) the soft spot.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

1Washington · Gafford · Marshall · Christie · Flagg190 off poss · 92m+1.7
2Washington · Gafford · Williams · Christie · Flagg151 off poss · 73m+0.8

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

1Ryan Nembhard+3.4
2Jaden Hardy+3.1
3D'Angelo Russell+2.5
4Anthony Davis+2.0

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 5.9% fewer of their shots from above the break than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 35.5% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 52.7% · lg 54.5%

Rim

28.8% of FGA · lg 28.4% (+0.4pp)

FG 65.6% · lg 67.0% · -1.4pp

Paint (non-RA)

22.8% of FGA · lg 20.1% (+2.7pp)

FG 45.9% · lg 44.4% · +1.5pp

Mid-range

12.9% of FGA · lg 10.1% (+2.8pp)

FG 39.0% · lg 41.6% · -2.6pp

Corner 3

10.7% of FGA · lg 10.7% (+0.0pp)

FG 37.1% · lg 38.5% · -1.4pp

Above the break 3

24.8% of FGA · lg 30.7% (-5.9pp)

FG 33.2% · lg 35.0% · -1.8pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=7,365 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

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