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MIN#6 · Western Conference

Minnesota Timberwolves

49-33 (59.8%) · W2 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#28 of 30

Elo rating 1450.7 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-05-06 → 2026-05-15 · Full ATS profile →

Model picks on MIN

Below the 30-pick gate (n=6)

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

115.2

#12 of 30

DRtg

111.8

#13 of 30

Net rating

+3.4

#10 of 30

Pace

102.5

#13 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

1Anthony Edwards61 G28.8
2Julius Randle79 G21.1
3Jaden McDaniels73 G14.8
4Ayo Dosunmu24 G14.4
5Naz Reid77 G13.6

Rebounds per game

1Rudy Gobert76 G11.5
2Julius Randle79 G6.7
3Naz Reid77 G6.2
4Anthony Edwards61 G5.0
5Jaden McDaniels73 G4.2

Assists per game

True shooting %

1Rudy Gobert76 G66.4%
2Ayo Dosunmu24 G61.9%
3Anthony Edwards61 G61.7%
4Jaden McDaniels73 G61.1%
5Bones Hyland71 G59.9%

Effective FG %

1Rudy Gobert76 G68.2%
2Ayo Dosunmu24 G59.0%
3Jaden McDaniels73 G57.9%
4Bones Hyland71 G57.7%
5Anthony Edwards61 G57.2%

Usage %

1Anthony Edwards61 G31.2%
2Julius Randle79 G27.1%
3Naz Reid77 G22.0%
4Bones Hyland71 G21.5%
5Ayo Dosunmu24 G19.6%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

94 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

55.1%vs 54.4%+0.6

Field goal %

47.6%vs 47.0%+0.6

Three-point %

36.6%vs 0.0%+36.6

Free throw %

75.1%vs 78.1%-2.9

PPG

116.8

APG

25.7

TO/G

14.0

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

Spot-Up1.12 PPP93rd
Transition1.17 PPP76th
P&R Ball-Handler0.88 PPP62nd
Isolation0.96 PPP83rd
Handoff0.98 PPP83rd
Putbacks1.16 PPP62nd
Cut1.18 PPP0th
Off Screen0.95 PPP35th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

Spot-Up1.03 PPP69th
Transition1.13 PPP55th
P&R Ball-Handler0.88 PPP52nd
Isolation0.86 PPP93rd
Cut1.23 PPP86th
P&R Roll Man1.09 PPP59th

Strong spot-up — 93rd pct, 1.12 PPP. Efficient across the play-type diet.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

1DiVincenzo · McDaniels · Conley · Gobert · Randle221 off poss · 106m+16.3
2DiVincenzo · Reid · Edwards · McDaniels · Gobert183 off poss · 92m+13.0
3DiVincenzo · Reid · Edwards · McDaniels · Randle186 off poss · 85m+11.8
4Reid · Edwards · Clark · Conley · Randle173 off poss · 83m+9.6

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

1Julius Randle+4.1
2Donte DiVincenzo+3.5
31642866+2.4
4Jaden McDaniels+2.1

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

8 games · for vs against

ForAgainst

106.3 avg / 118.4 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 1.3% more of their shots at the rim than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 41.2% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 55.4% · lg 54.5%

Rim

29.7% of FGA · lg 28.4% (+1.3pp)

FG 67.8% · lg 67.0% · +0.8pp

Paint (non-RA)

18.9% of FGA · lg 20.1% (-1.2pp)

FG 44.2% · lg 44.4% · -0.2pp

Mid-range

10.1% of FGA · lg 10.1% (+0.0pp)

FG 41.1% · lg 41.6% · -0.5pp

Corner 3

10.6% of FGA · lg 10.7% (-0.1pp)

FG 39.1% · lg 38.5% · +0.6pp

Above the break 3

30.6% of FGA · lg 30.7% (-0.1pp)

FG 35.9% · lg 35.0% · +0.9pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=8,069 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Scoring identity