HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • NBA logo
  • NHL logo
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
NBA logoNBAHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersDraft '26LeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
Minnesota Timberwolves
MIN#6 · Western Conference

Minnesota Timberwolves

49-33 (59.8%) · W2 · L10 5-5

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#28 of 30

Elo rating 1450.7 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-05-06 → 2026-05-15 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 38 at SA, 95-133, 2026-05-06. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 7 vs SA, 108-115, 2026-05-08. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 5 vs SA, 114-109, 2026-05-10. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 29 at SA, 97-126, 2026-05-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 30 vs SA, 109-139, 2026-05-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

115.2

#12 of 30

DRtg

111.8

#13 of 30

Net rating

+3.4

#10 of 30

Pace

102.5

#13 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

  1. 1Anthony Edwards61 G28.8
  2. 2Julius Randle79 G21.1
  3. 3Jaden McDaniels73 G14.8
  4. 4Ayo Dosunmu24 G14.4
  5. 5Naz Reid77 G13.6

Rebounds per game

  1. 1Rudy Gobert76 G11.5
  2. 2Julius Randle79 G6.7
  3. 3Naz Reid77 G6.2
  4. 4Anthony Edwards61 G5.0
  5. 5Jaden McDaniels73 G4.2

Assists per game

  1. 1Julius Randle79 G5.0
  2. 2Donte DiVincenzo82 G3.8
  3. 3Anthony Edwards61 G3.7
  4. 4Ayo Dosunmu24 G3.5
  5. 5Kyle Anderson19 G3.3

True shooting %

  1. 1Rudy Gobert76 G66.4%
  2. 2Ayo Dosunmu24 G61.9%
  3. 3Anthony Edwards61 G61.7%
  4. 4Jaden McDaniels73 G61.1%
  5. 5Bones Hyland71 G59.9%

Effective FG %

  1. 1Rudy Gobert76 G68.2%
  2. 2Ayo Dosunmu24 G59.0%
  3. 3Jaden McDaniels73 G57.9%
  4. 4Bones Hyland71 G57.7%
  5. 5Anthony Edwards61 G57.2%

Usage %

  1. 1Anthony Edwards61 G31.2%
  2. 2Julius Randle79 G27.1%
  3. 3Naz Reid77 G22.0%
  4. 4Bones Hyland71 G21.5%
  5. 5Ayo Dosunmu24 G19.6%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

94 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

55.1%vs 54.4%+0.6

Field goal %

47.6%vs 47.0%+0.6

Three-point %

36.6%vs 0.0%+36.6

Free throw %

75.1%vs 78.1%-2.9

PPG

116.8

APG

25.7

TO/G

14.0

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

  1. Spot-Up1.12 PPP93rd
  2. Transition1.17 PPP76th
  3. P&R Ball-Handler0.88 PPP62nd
  4. Isolation0.96 PPP83rd
  5. Handoff0.98 PPP83rd
  6. Putbacks1.16 PPP62nd
  7. Cut1.18 PPP0th
  8. Off Screen0.95 PPP35th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

  1. Spot-Up1.03 PPP69th
  2. Transition1.13 PPP55th
  3. P&R Ball-Handler0.88 PPP52nd
  4. Isolation0.86 PPP93rd
  5. Cut1.23 PPP86th
  6. P&R Roll Man1.09 PPP59th

▸Strong spot-up — 93rd pct, 1.12 PPP. Efficient across the play-type diet.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

  1. 1DiVincenzo · McDaniels · Conley · Gobert · Randle221 off poss · 106m+16.3
  2. 2DiVincenzo · Reid · Edwards · McDaniels · Gobert183 off poss · 92m+13.0
  3. 3DiVincenzo · Reid · Edwards · McDaniels · Randle186 off poss · 85m+11.8
  4. 4Reid · Edwards · Clark · Conley · Randle173 off poss · 83m+9.6

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

  1. 1Julius Randle+4.1
  2. 2Donte DiVincenzo+3.5
  3. 31642866+2.4
  4. 4Jaden McDaniels+2.1

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

8 games · for vs against

8.116.324.432.5Q1 · 26.50 for / 29.25 against · margin -2.75Q1Q2 · 24.38 for / 27.50 against · margin -3.13Q2Q3 · 24.75 for / 32.25 against · margin -7.50Q3Q4 · 30.63 for / 29.38 against · margin +1.25PEAKQ4QUARTERS · LAST 8 GAMES
ForAgainst

106.3 avg / 118.4 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 1.3% more of their shots at the rim than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 41.2% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 55.4% · lg 54.5%

Rim

29.7% of FGA · lg 28.4% (+1.3pp)

FG 67.8% · lg 67.0% · +0.8pp

Paint (non-RA)

18.9% of FGA · lg 20.1% (-1.2pp)

FG 44.2% · lg 44.4% · -0.2pp

Mid-range

10.1% of FGA · lg 10.1% (+0.0pp)

FG 41.1% · lg 41.6% · -0.5pp

Corner 3

10.6% of FGA · lg 10.7% (-0.1pp)

FG 39.1% · lg 38.5% · +0.6pp

Above the break 3

30.6% of FGA · lg 30.7% (-0.1pp)

FG 35.9% · lg 35.0% · +0.9pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=8,069 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

8 games · avg 106.3 points

1223AVG 106.390+295+100+2105+3110+115+POINTS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 8 games · 2026-04-28 → 2026-05-15

Record

3-5

Win pct

37.5%

Avg margin

-12.1

Longest W

2

Longest L

2

Upset wins

1

Favorite losses

1

2026-04-28 · @ DEN · L 113-125 · model gave 39%DEN2026-04-30 · vs DEN · W 110-98 · model gave 62%DEN2026-05-04 · @ SA · W 104-102 · model gave 35%SA2026-05-06 · @ SA · L 95-133 · model gave 37%SA2026-05-08 · vs SA · L 108-115 · model gave 56%SA2026-05-10 · vs SA · W 114-109 · model gave 56%SA2026-05-12 · @ SA · L 97-126 · model gave 26%SA2026-05-15 · vs SA · L 109-139 · model gave 44%SA

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

8 games · 2026-04-28 → 2026-05-15

Peak 1510 · Now 1451 · Trough 1451

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

6 moves
  1. Mar 2

    Signed G Zyon Pullin to a two-way contract.

  2. Mar 1

    Signed G Zyon Pullin to a Two-Way Contract

  3. Feb 28

    Waived G Jules Bernard.

  4. Feb 25

    Signed G Jules Bernard to a two-way contract.

  5. Feb 18

    Waived G Johnny Juzang.

  6. Feb 17

    Signed G Mike Conley to a rest-of-season contract.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 18 players

The active roster

Guards

PG · SG

8 players

Donte DiVincenzo

D. DiVincenzo

G · #0

Terrence Shannon Jr.

T. Shannon Jr.

G · #1

Anthony Edwards

A. Edwards

G · #5

Bones Hyland

B. Hyland

G · #8

Mike Conley

M. Conley

G · #10

Ayo Dosunmu

A. Dosunmu

G · #13

Zyon Pullin

Z. Pullin

G · #15

Jaylen Clark

J. Clark

G · #22

Forwards

SF · PF

7 players

Jaden McDaniels

J. McDaniels

F · #3

Julian Phillips

J. Phillips

F · #4

Joe Ingles

J. Ingles

F · #7

Kyle Anderson

K. Anderson

F · #12

Joan Beringer

J. Beringer

F · #19

Enrique Freeman

E. Freeman

F · #25

Julius Randle

J. Randle

F · #30

Centers

3 players

Naz Reid

N. Reid

C · #11

Rudy Gobert

R. Gobert

C · #27

Rocco Zikarsky

R. Zikarsky

C · #44

Home›NBA›Players›Minnesota Timberwolves (MIN)

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 60-33
61%Last 30 · 297-187
Receipts →

Model picks on MIN

Below the 30-pick gate (n=6)