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DEN#3 · Western Conference

Denver Nuggets

54-28 (65.9%) · W12 · L10 10-0

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#17 of 30

Elo rating 1499.6 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 1 · 2026

2026-04-30 → 2026-04-30 · Full ATS profile →

Lines graded for 1 of 1 games

Model picks on DEN

Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

120.6

#1 of 30

DRtg

116.0

#23 of 30

Net rating

+4.6

#8 of 30

Pace

100.8

#21 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

1Nikola Jokic65 G27.7
2Jamal Murray75 G25.4
3Aaron Gordon36 G16.2
4Peyton Watson54 G14.6
5Tim Hardaway Jr.80 G13.5

Rebounds per game

Assists per game

1Nikola Jokic65 G10.7
2Jamal Murray75 G7.1
3Christian Braun44 G2.7
4Aaron Gordon36 G2.7
5Cameron Johnson54 G2.4

True shooting %

1Nikola Jokic65 G67.0%
2Cameron Johnson54 G62.9%
3Tim Hardaway Jr.80 G62.4%
4Jamal Murray75 G62.2%
5Aaron Gordon36 G62.0%

Effective FG %

1Nikola Jokic65 G61.8%
2Spencer Jones64 G61.3%
3Cameron Johnson54 G59.6%
4Tim Hardaway Jr.80 G59.0%
5Christian Braun44 G57.5%

Usage %

1Nikola Jokic65 G32.5%
2Jamal Murray75 G28.7%
3Aaron Gordon36 G21.7%
4Peyton Watson54 G20.1%
5Julian Strawther57 G19.1%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

88 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

57.2%vs 54.4%+2.7

Field goal %

49.2%vs 47.0%+2.2

Three-point %

39.0%vs 0.0%+39.0

Free throw %

81.0%vs 78.1%+2.9

PPG

121.1

APG

28.7

TO/G

12.1

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

Spot-Up1.14 PPP100th
Transition1.18 PPP90th
P&R Ball-Handler0.91 PPP76th
Cut1.31 PPP55th
Post-Up1.08 PPP86th
Handoff1.03 PPP93rd
Isolation1.02 PPP93rd
P&R Roll Man1.24 PPP97th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

Spot-Up1.02 PPP90th
Transition1.22 PPP0th
P&R Ball-Handler0.89 PPP41st
Cut1.29 PPP66th
Isolation0.97 PPP24th
Putbacks1.06 PPP86th

Elite spot-up — 100th pct, 1.14 PPP. Efficient across the play-type diet.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

1Murray · Johnson · Watson · Jones · Jokić351 off poss · 171m+17.9
2Murray · Watson · Jones · Hardaway · Jokić185 off poss · 85m+15.9
3Murray · Brown · Braun · Hardaway · Jokić196 off poss · 94m+14.3
4Murray · Johnson · Braun · Gordon · Jokić735 off poss · 360m+13.4

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

1Nikola Jokić+6.4
2Jamal Murray+5.9
3Cameron Johnson+3.8
4Peyton Watson+3.3

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

2 games · for vs against

ForAgainst

111.5 avg / 111.5 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 1.7% more of their shots from mid-range than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 40.6% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 57.1% · lg 54.5%

Rim

26.9% of FGA · lg 28.4% (-1.5pp)

FG 68.0% · lg 67.0% · +1.0pp

Paint (non-RA)

20.7% of FGA · lg 20.1% (+0.6pp)

FG 47.4% · lg 44.4% · +3.0pp

Mid-range

11.8% of FGA · lg 10.1% (+1.7pp)

FG 44.8% · lg 41.6% · +3.2pp

Corner 3

10.8% of FGA · lg 10.7% (+0.1pp)

FG 44.0% · lg 38.5% · +5.5pp

Above the break 3

29.8% of FGA · lg 30.7% (-0.9pp)

FG 37.2% · lg 35.0% · +2.2pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=7,691 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

Recent transactions

Latest player movement

3 moves

Mar 5
Signed G Tyus Jones to a rest-of-season contract.
Mar 4
Waived G Tamar Bates.
Feb 19
Converted the contract of F Spencer Jones to an NBA contract. Signed G KJ Simpson to a two-way contract.

Source · ESPN

Roster · 18 players