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HOU#5 · Western Conference

Houston Rockets

52-30 (63.4%) · W1 · L10 9-1

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#18 of 30

Elo rating 1495.3 · as of 2026-06-14 · nba_team_ratings

Rank within the full 30-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 2 · 2026

2026-04-29 → 2026-05-01 · Full ATS profile →

Lines graded for 2 of 2 games

Model picks on HOU

Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)

Team efficiency

The possession economy

ORtg

115.8

#8 of 30

DRtg

111.1

#8 of 30

Net rating

+4.7

#7 of 30

Pace

99.0

#29 of 30

2025-26 regular season · ESPN advanced team statistics (per 100 possessions; pace = possessions / 48) · DRtg derived as points allowed (ESPN standings) ÷ pace × 100

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points per game

1Kevin Durant78 G26.0
2Alperen Sengun72 G20.4
3Amen Thompson79 G18.3
4Jabari Smith Jr.77 G15.8
5Reed Sheppard82 G13.5

Rebounds per game

1Alperen Sengun72 G8.9
2Steven Adams32 G8.6
3Amen Thompson79 G7.8
4Jabari Smith Jr.77 G6.9
5Tari Eason60 G6.3

Assists per game

True shooting %

1Kevin Durant78 G64.1%
2Amen Thompson79 G59.4%
3Jabari Smith Jr.77 G56.9%
4Alperen Sengun72 G56.9%
5Reed Sheppard82 G56.4%

Effective FG %

1Kevin Durant78 G58.8%
2Reed Sheppard82 G55.0%
3Amen Thompson79 G54.5%
4Jabari Smith Jr.77 G54.0%
5Alperen Sengun72 G53.7%

Usage %

1Alperen Sengun72 G28.6%
2Kevin Durant78 G28.3%
3Reed Sheppard82 G23.0%
4Amen Thompson79 G21.6%
5Tari Eason60 G19.2%

2025-26 regular season · ESPN per-athlete season statistics (team stint; same API family as the efficiency strip) · counting boards min 10 GP · TS% / eFG% / USG% min 20 GP & 15.0 MPG · current roster only

Shooting profile

How they shoot

Shooting profile · 2026

Splits vs league

88 games · hoopR

Effective FG%

53.7%vs 54.4%-0.7

Field goal %

47.4%vs 47.0%+0.4

Three-point %

36.0%vs 0.0%+36.0

Free throw %

76.4%vs 78.1%-1.7

PPG

114.1

APG

25.1

TO/G

14.3

Synergy identity

How they generate offense

2025-26 Synergy · percentile vs NBA

Spot-Up1.03 PPP41st
Transition1.18 PPP86th
P&R Ball-Handler0.88 PPP59th
Isolation0.92 PPP48th
Cut1.27 PPP21st
Putbacks1.01 PPP3rd
Post-Up0.96 PPP38th
P&R Roll Man1.01 PPP10th

Defense · play-type efficiency allowed

Spot-Up1.08 PPP24th
Transition1.12 PPP62nd
P&R Ball-Handler0.83 PPP90th
Isolation0.90 PPP83rd
Cut1.20 PPP100th
P&R Roll Man1.00 PPP100th

Strong transition — 86th pct, 1.18 PPP. Cut (21st pct) the soft spot.

Lineups & on/off

Best units, biggest lifts

Net rating per 100

Best 5-man units

min 150 off poss

1Finney-Smith · Thompson · Sheppard · Durant · Capela167 off poss · 84m+24.3
2Sengun · Smith · Eason · Thompson · Durant606 off poss · 306m+9.3
3Okogie · Sengun · Smith · Thompson · Durant747 off poss · 377m+9.0
4Sengun · Smith · Thompson · Durant · Adams187 off poss · 97m-2.7

Team eFG% on − off

Shooting lift

1Kevin Durant+2.5
2Alperen Sengun+1.7
3Amen Thompson+1.4
4Reed Sheppard+1.3

Quarter identity

When they score

Pattern by quarter

2 games · for vs against

ForAgainst

88.5 avg / 95.5 allowed

Shot diet

Where the shots come from

They take 6.1% fewer of their shots from above the break than the league average.

3PT attempt rate 35.3% · lg 41.4%

eFG% 53.7% · lg 54.5%

Rim

27.3% of FGA · lg 28.4% (-1.1pp)

FG 66.3% · lg 67.0% · -0.7pp

Paint (non-RA)

24.2% of FGA · lg 20.1% (+4.1pp)

FG 46.8% · lg 44.4% · +2.4pp

Mid-range

13.3% of FGA · lg 10.1% (+3.2pp)

FG 39.9% · lg 41.6% · -1.7pp

Corner 3

10.7% of FGA · lg 10.7% (+0.0pp)

FG 37.1% · lg 38.5% · -1.4pp

Above the break 3

24.6% of FGA · lg 30.7% (-6.1pp)

FG 35.5% · lg 35.0% · +0.5pp

Bar = share of team FGA · tick = league share · 2025-26 season · nba_shots · NBA Stats play-by-play · n=7,876 team FGA of 229,273 league-wide · backcourt heaves excluded

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